In the county of Stockholm, between 1970 and 2002, we have previously reported a 3‐fold parallel increase in the incidence of tonsillar squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and the proportion of human papillomavirus (HPV) positive tonsillar SCC. Here, we have followed the above parameters in all patients (n = 120) diagnosed with tonsillar SCC during 2003–2007 in the same area, and also in correlation to our previous data. Ninety‐eight pretreatment biopsies were available and presence of HPV DNA and HPV‐16 E6 and E7 RNA were tested by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and RT‐PCR. Incidence data were obtained from the Swedish Cancer Registry. Data reported from 1970 to 2002 were also obtained for comparison. HPV DNA was present in 83 of 98 (85%) of the tonsillar SCC biopsies from 2003 to 2007 and 77 of these were HPV‐16 positive. HPV‐16 E6 and E7 RNA were found in 98% of 52 analyzed HPV‐16 positive cases. The proportion of HPV‐positive cancers had significantly increased both from 1970 to 2007 (p < 0.0001) as well from 2000 to 2007 (p < 0.01), with 68% (95% confidence interval (CI), 53–81) 2000–2002; 77% (95% CI, 63–87) 2003–2005; and 93% (95% CI, 82–99) 2006–2007. The incidence rate of HPV‐positive tumors almost doubled each decade between 1970 and 2007, in parallel with a decline of HPV‐negative tumors. In conclusion, the incidence of HPV‐positive cancers is still increasing in the County of Stockholm, suggesting an epidemic of a virus‐induced carcinoma, with soon practically all tonsillar SCC being HPV positive, as in cervical cancer. © 2009 UICC

Numerous reports have shown that the incidence for oropharyngeal cancer is increasing and that human papillomavirus (HPV) is a risk factor. However, few studies have investigated the specific subsites of the oropharynx. Following our previous research on tonsillar cancer, we assessed the increase in the incidence of base of tongue cancer and the prevalence of HPV in this disease. Between 1998 and 2007, 109 patients were diagnosed for base of tongue cancer in Stockholm county. Ninety‐five paraffin‐embedded diagnostic tumor biopsies from patients were obtained and tested for HPV, both by general HPV PCR and HPV‐16/HPV‐33 type‐specific PCR. Expression of HPV‐16 RNA was analyzed to confirm E6 and/or E7 expression. Incidence data were obtained from the Swedish Cancer Registry. An overall increase in the incidence of base of tongue cancer from 0.15/100,000 person‐years during 1970–1974 to 0.47/100,000 person‐years during 2005–2007 was found in Sweden. The prevalence of HPV in base of tongue cancer in Stockholm county increased from 58% during 1998–2001 to 84% during 2004–2007 (p < 0.05). In the HPV‐positive tumors, HPV‐16 dominated (86%) but interestingly, HPV33 was detected in as many as 10%. E6 and/or E7 RNA were found in 85% of the samples tested. The incidence of base of tongue cancer, as well as the proportion of HPV‐positive tumors, has increased in Sweden during the study period, suggesting that HPV may contribute to this increase.

Human papillomavirus (HPV) is a causative factor for tonsillar squamous cell carcinoma (TSCC) and patients with HPV positive (HPV⁺) TSCC have a better clinical outcome than those with HPV negative (HPV⁻) TSCC. However, since not all patients with HPV⁺TSCC respond to treatment, additional biomarkers are needed together with HPV status to better predict response to therapy and to individualize treatment. For this purpose, we examined whether the number of tumor infiltrating cytotoxic and regulatory T-cells in TSCC correlated to HPV status and to clinical outcome. Formalin fixed paraffin embedded TSCC, previously analysed for HPV DNA, derived from 83 patients, were divided into four groups depending on the HPV status of the tumor and clinical outcome. Tumors were stained by immunohistochemistry and evaluated for the number of infiltrating cytotoxic (CD8⁺) and regulatory (Foxp3⁺) T-cells. A high CD8⁺ T-cell infiltration was significantly positively correlated to a good clinical outcome in both patients with HPV⁺ and HPV^- TSCC patients. Similarly, a high CD8⁺/Foxp3⁺ TIL ratio was correlated to a 3-year disease free survival. Furthermore, HPV⁺TSCC had in comparison to HPV⁻TSCC, higher numbers of infiltrating CD8⁺ and Foxp3⁺ T-cells. In conclusion, a positive correlation between a high number of infiltrating CD8⁺ cells and clinical outcome indicates that CD8⁺ cells may contribute to a beneficial clinical outcome in TSCC patients, and may potentially serve as a biomarker. Likewise, the CD8⁺/Foxp3⁺cell ratio can potentially be used for the same purpose.

In 2007, human papillomavirus (HPV) type 16 was finally recognized as a risk factor, besides smoking and alcohol, for oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC), including tonsillar squamous cell carcinoma (TSCC), by the International Agency for Research against Cancer. Just before, in 2006, the Food and Drug Administration had approved Gardasil, the first vaccine against HPV16, 18, 6 and 11, for preventive vaccination women against cervical cancer. Concurrently, some Western countries, where smoking was decreasing, disclosed an epidemic increase in the incidence of OPSCC, especially of TSCC and base of tongue cancer (BOTSCC), together accounting for 80–90% of all OPSCCs, and mainly affecting men. The epidemic was later revealed to be due to a rise in HPV‐positive cases, and scientists in the field suggested HPV vaccination also of boys. Globally, there are roughly 96 000 incident OPSCC cases/year of which 20–24% are caused by HPV, thereby accounting for around 22 000 OPSCC cases annually. Of these cases, 80–90% are due to HPV16 infection and would be prevented with the presently registered HPV vaccines. In Western countries, such as Sweden (with almost 400 TSCC and BOTSCC cases per year) and the United States, HPV prevalence in OPSCC is higher and around 70%. HPV vaccination of girls has been initiated in many countries, and the vaccines have been efficient and their side effects limited. HPV vaccination of boys has, however, been the exception, but should definitely not be delayed any further. It would benefit both girls and boys directly, and result in better and more robust herd immunity. Today, we have the possibility to eliminate several high‐risk HPV types in the younger generations and avoid more than 600 000 cancer cases annually worldwide, and this possibility should be embraced by offering global pan‐gender HPV vaccination.