Soil fertility is the essential attribute of soil quality. Large-scale coal mining has led to the continuous deterioration of the fragile ecosystems in arid and semi-arid mining areas. As one of the key indicators for land ecological restoration in these coal mining regions, rapidly and accurately monitoring topsoil fertility and its spatial variation information holds significant importance for ecological restoration evaluation. This study takes Wuhai City in the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region of China as a case study. It establishes and evaluates various soil indicator inversion models using multi-temporal Landsat8 OLI multispectral imagery and measured soil sample nutrient content data. The research constructs a comprehensive evaluation method for surface soil fertility based on multispectral remote sensing monitoring and achieves spatiotemporal variation analysis of soil fertility characteristics. The results show that: (1) The 6SV (Second Simulation of the Satellite Signal in the Solar Spectrum Vector version)-SVM (Support Vector Machine) prediction model for surface soil indicators based on Landsat8 OLI imagery achieved prediction accuracy with R² values above 0.85 for all six soil nutrient contents in the study area, thereby establishing for the first time a rapid assessment method for comprehensive topsoil fertility using multispectral remote sensing monitoring. (2) Long-term spatiotemporal evaluation of soil indicators was achieved: From 2015 to 2025, the spatial distribution of soil indicators showed certain variability, with soil organic matter, total phosphorus, available phosphorus, and available potassium contents demonstrating varying degrees of increase within different ranges, though the increases were generally modest. (3) Long-term spatiotemporal evaluation of comprehensive soil fertility was accomplished: Over the 10 years, Grade IV remained the dominant soil fertility level in the study area, accounting for about 32% of the total area. While the overall soil fertility level showed an increasing trend, the differences in soil fertility levels decreased, indicating a trend toward homogenization.

Land use/land cover (LULC) change is a key driving factor influencing the dynamics of terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage. In high-groundwater-level coal resource-based cities (HGCRBCs), the interplay of urban expansion, mining disturbances, and land reclamation makes the carbon storage evolution process more complex. This study takes Jining, Zaozhuang, and Heze cities in Shandong Province as the research area and constructs a coupled analytical framework of “mining–reclamation–carbon storage” by integrating the Patch-generating Land Use Simulation (PLUS), Probability Integral Method (PIM), InVEST, and Grey Multi-Objective Programming (GMOP) models. It systematically evaluates the spatiotemporal characteristics of carbon storage changes from 2000 to 2020 and simulates the carbon storage responses under different development scenarios in 2030. The results show that: (1) From 2000 to 2020, the total carbon storage in the region decreased by 31.53 Tg, with cropland conversion to construction land and water bodies being the primary carbon loss pathways, contributing up to 89.86% of the total carbon loss. (2) Among the 16 major LULC transition paths identified, single-process drivers dominated carbon storage changes. Specifically, urban expansion and mining activities individually accounted for nearly 70% and 8.65% of the carbon loss, respectively. Although the reclamation path contributed to a recovery of 1.72 Tg of carbon storage, it could not fully offset the loss caused by mining. (3) Future scenario simulations indicate that the ecological conservation scenario yields the highest carbon storage, while the economic development scenario results in the lowest. Mining activities generally lead to approximately 3.5 Tg of carbon loss, while post-mining reclamation can restore about 72% of the loss.