Highly pathogenic H5N1 (HP H5N1) influenza A virus (IAV) has been detected annually in North American ducks since its introduction during 2021, but it is unknown if this virus will follow the same seasonal and geographic patterns that have been observed with low-pathogenicity (LP) IAV in this reservoir. We monitored blue-winged teal in the Mississippi flyway prior to the detection of HP H5N1 and during two post-introduction migration cycles from spring 2022 to spring 2024, testing birds for infection and antibodies to IAV nucleoprotein (NP), hemagglutinin subtype H5, and neuraminidase subtype N1. Antigens representing clade 2.3.4.4b HP H5 and LP North American H5 were used for hemagglutination inhibition (HI) and virus neutralization (VN) tests for H5 antibodies. Virologic results were consistent with historic seasonal and geographic patterns reported for LP IAV with peak infections occurring in pre-migration staging areas in Minnesota during fall 2022. However, the high prevalence of the H5 subtype was exceptional compared to historic prevalence estimates at this same site and for the Mississippi flyway. HP H5N1 was detected on wintering areas in Louisiana and Texas during the fall of that same year and this was followed by an increase in estimated antibody prevalence to NP, H5, and N1 with no HP H5N1 detections during the wintering or spring migration periods of 2022/2023. HP H5N1 was not detected in Minnesota during fall 2023 but was detected from a single bird in Louisiana. However, a similar increase in antibody prevalence was observed during the winter and spring period of 2023 and 2024. Over the two migration cycles, there was a temporal shift in observed prevalence and relative titers against the H5 antigens with a higher proportion of ducks testing positive to the 2.3.4.4b H5 antigen and higher relative titer to that antigen compared to the representative LP North American H5 antigen. The seasonal and geographic patterns observed appear to be driven by population immunity during the migration cycle. Results support an initial high infection rate of HP H5N1 in blue-winged teal in the Mississippi flyway followed by a high prevalence of antibodies to NP, H5, and N1. Although prevalence was much reduced in the second migration cycle following introduction, it is not known if this pattern will persist in the longer term or affect historic patterns of subtype diversity in this reservoir.

Clade 2.3.4.4b A/goose/Guangdong/1/1996 (Gs/GD) H5N1 highly pathogenic (HP) influenza A virus (IAV) (HP H5N1) infection in Blue-winged Teal in the Mississippi Flyway in the United States during the 2022/2023 and 2023/2024 migratory seasons followed a seasonal pattern similar to low pathogenic IAV, with infection peaks in late summer and fall. To determine if this seasonal pattern persisted during the 2024/2025 migration season, we repeated testing of Blue-winged Teal from September 2024 to April 2025 in the Mississippi Flyway. Results from other dabbling duck species sampled concurrently with Blue-winged Teal during the 2023/2024 and 2024/2025 migratory seasons in the Mississippi and Central Flyways also were compared. For Blue-winged Teal in the Mississippi Flyway, a seasonal peak in infection was detected during late fall (November/December 2024) on wintering grounds in Louisiana and Texas corresponding to low H5 and N1 antibody prevalence in juvenile birds. Estimated antibody prevalence increased rapidly following this detection, and from January to April 2025, HP H5N1 infections were not detected. Virologic and serologic results in Mallard, Northern Pintail, American Wigeon, Northern Shoveler, and Green-winged Teal mirrored virologic and serologic results observed in Blue-winged Teal and were consistent between flyways.