Scott Orford

Prof. Scott Orford


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

25Years (2002-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

View All Publications
1 February 2002 in Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
SOScott Orford
Scott Orford
Hedonic house price modelling has been used extensively in the valuation of locational externalities. However, the theory of how locational externalities impact upon house prices is not reflected in the traditional measurements of location used in these studies. The result is that many hedonic house price models suffer from parameter estimates that are either insignificant or counterintuitive. In this paper I attempt to move towards a more realistic valuation of locational externalities by examining the effects of location upon house prices from a geographical as opposed to a purely economic perspective. A multilevel conceptualisation is presented, which takes into account the spatial effects of locational externalities upon house prices. A location-sensitive GIS of Cardiff and a multilevel specification of the hedonic model is then used to model these effects. I conclude that a more realistic treatment of location is required if locational externalities are to be valued successfully.

21 August 2015 in Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
Yang XiaoYang Xiao
Yang Xiao
SOScott Orford
Scott Orford
CWChris Webster
Chris Webster
The specification of locational attributes in hedonic houseprice models has traditionally been problematic. Whilst many studies use similar sets of structural attributes the range of locational attributes can be diverse and inconsistent both in their identification and in their measurement. To address this problem, researchers have adopted concepts related to urban configuration such as the monocentric city and the access – space trade-off model, and later multicentric and multiple accessibility models, to structure their enquiry. This has led to issues related to a priori variable specification using geometrically defined accessibility measures that can also lead to problems such as spatial autocorrelation. In this research, we investigate the use of network accessibility metrics in hedonic house price research using Cardiff, Wales as a case study. We hypothesize that a network-modelling approach to measuring accessibility will improve performance compared with conventional planar geometry specifications. We find that estimating centrality variables across a variety of spatial scales allows the impact on property prices of urban configurations to be modelled more accurately. The research shows that not all dimensions of accessibility can be adequately captured by network measures and that conventional planar geometry measures of accessibility can add additional explanatory power in certain circumstances.

1 March 2002 in Health & Place
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
SOScott Orford
Scott Orford
DDDanny Dorling
Danny Dorling
RMRichard Mitchell
Richard Mitchell
MSMary Shaw
Mary Shaw
GSGeorge Davey Smith
George Davey Smith

12 June 2012 in BMC Public Health
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
DFDavid Fone
David Fone
FDFrank Dunstan
Frank Dunstan
JWJames White
James White
CWChris Webster
Chris Webster
SRSarah Rodgers
Sarah Rodgers
RLRonan A Lyons
Ronan A Lyons
Excess alcohol consumption has serious adverse effects on health and violence-related harm. In the UK around 37% of men and 29% of women drink to excess and 20% and 13% report binge drinking. The potential impact on population health from a reduction in consumption is considerable. One proposed method to reduce consumption is to reduce availability through controls on alcohol outlet density. In this study we investigate the impact of a change in the density of alcohol outlets on alcohol consumption and alcohol-related harms to health in the community. A natural experiment of the effect of change in outlet density between 2005–09, in Wales, UK; population 2.4 million aged 16 years and over. Data on outlets are held by the 22 local authorities in Wales under The Licensing Act 2003. The study outcomes are change in (1) alcohol consumption using data from annual Welsh Health Surveys, (2) alcohol-related hospital admissions using the Patient Episode Database for Wales, (3) Accident & Emergency department attendances between midnight–6am, and (4) alcohol-related violent crime against the person, using Police data. The data will be anonymously record-linked within the Secure Anonymised Information Linkage Databank at individual and 2001 Census Lower Super Output Area levels. New methods of network analysis will be used to estimate outlet density. Longitudinal statistical analysis will use (1) multilevel ordinal models of consumption and logistic models of admissions and Accident & Emergency attendance as a function of change in individual outlet exposure, adjusting for confounding variables, and (2) spatial models of the change in counts/rates of each outcome measure and outlet density. We will assess the impact on health inequalities and will correct for population migration. This inter-disciplinary study requires expertise in epidemiology and public health, health informatics, medical statistics, geographical information science, and research into alcohol-related violence. Information governance requirements for the use of record-linked data have been approved together with formal data access agreements for the use of the Welsh Health Survey and Police data. The dissemination strategy will include policy makers in national and local government. Public engagement will be through the Clinical Research Collaboration-Cymru "Involving People" network, which will provide input into the implementation of the research.

1 November 2017 in The Lancet
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
AGAndrea Gartner
Andrea Gartner
DFDaniel M Farewell
Daniel M Farewell
JMJenny Morgan
Jenny Morgan
SRSarah Rodgers
Sarah Rodgers
SOScott Orford
Scott Orford
DFDavid L Fone
David L Fone