To evaluate and compare the effectiveness of prediction models for Argentine squid Illex argentinus trawling grounds in the Southwest Atlantic high seas based on vessel position and fishing log data, this study used AIS datasets and fishing log datasets from fishing seasons spanning 2019–2024 (December to June each year). Using a spatial resolution of 0.1° × 0.1° and a monthly temporal resolution, we constructed two datasets—one based on vessel positions and the other on fishing logs. Fishing ground levels were defined according to the density of fishing locations, and combined with oceanographic data (sea surface temperature, 50 m water temperature, sea surface salinity, sea surface height, and mixed layer depth). A CNN-Attention deep learning model was applied to each dataset to develop Illex argentinus trawling ground prediction models. Model accuracy was then compared and potential causes for differences were analyzed. Results showed that the vessel position-based model had a higher accuracy (Accuracy = 0.813) and lower loss rate (Loss = 0.407) than the fishing log-based model (Accuracy = 0.727, Loss = 0.513). The vessel-based model achieved a prediction accuracy of 0.763 on the 2024 test set, while the fishing log-based model reached an accuracy of 0.712, slightly lower than the former, indicating the high accuracy and unique advantages of the vessel position-based model in predicting fishing grounds. Using CPUE from fishing logs as a reference, we found that the vessel position-based model performed well from January to April, whereas the CPUE-based model consistently maintained good accuracy across all months. The 2024 fishing season predictions indicated the formation of primary fishing grounds as early as January 2023, initially near the 46° S line of the Argentine Exclusive Economic Zone, with grounds shifting southeastward from March onward and reaching around 42° S by May and June. This study confirms the reliability of vessel position data in identifying fishing ground information and levels, with higher accuracy in some months compared to the fishing log-based model, thereby reducing the data lag associated with fishing logs, which are typically available a year later. Additionally, national-level fishing log data are often confidential, limiting the ability to fully consider fishing activities across the entire fishing ground region, a limitation effectively addressed by AIS vessel position data. While vessel data reflects daily catch volumes across vessels without distinguishing CPUE by species, log data provide a detailed daily CPUE breakdown by species (e.g., Illex argentinus). This distinction resulted in lower accuracy for vessel-based predictions in December 2023 and May–June 2024, suggesting the need to incorporate fishing log data for more precise assessments of fishing ground levels or resource abundance during those months. Given the near-real-time nature of vessel position data, fishing ground dynamics can be monitored in near real time. The successful development of vessel position-based prediction models aids enterprises in reducing fuel and time costs associated with indiscriminate squid searches, enhancing trawling efficiency. Additionally, such models support quota management in global fisheries by optimizing resource use, reducing fishing time, and consequently lowering carbon emissions and environmental impact, while promoting marine environmental protection in the Southwest Atlantic high seas.

Understanding the alignment between fisher behavior and habitat dynamics is essential for data-driven fisheries management. This study analyzed high-resolution Automatic Identification System (AIS) and Vessel Monitoring System (VMS) data, integrated with logbooks from 10 stick-held dipnet vessels targeting Pacific saury (Cololabis saira) in the North Pacific high seas. We developed an optimized CNN-LSTM-SE model to classify vessel trajectories into eight operational states, achieving 91% accuracy. This model generated a high-confidence presence dataset, addressing spatiotemporal data limitations in pelagic species research. A dynamic Ensemble Species Distribution Model (ESDM) mapped habitat suitability index (HSI) for the primary fishing seasons (June–September) of 2023–2024, revealing seasonal northward migrations and an interannual eastward shift in core habitats, primarily driven by sea surface temperature (SST: 6.4–19.1 °C), chlorophyll-a (CHL: 0.2–2.0 mg/m³), mixed layer depth (MLD: 14–30 m), and dissolved oxygen (DO: 220–290 mmol/m³). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) sensitivity analysis identified an HSI threshold of ≥0.4 for suitable habitats, where 98.4% of fishing effort was concentrated. Kaplan–Meier survival analysis demonstrated that vessels in high-quality habitats (HSI ≥ 0.8) exhibited significantly longer fishing bout durations and lower cessation probabilities (log-rank test, χ² = 20.9, p < 0.001), providing empirical evidence for the Marginal Value Theorem and Optimal Foraging Theory. Although HSI showed a weak direct correlation with catch rates (R² = 0.007), it effectively delineated high-potential fishing grounds (>90% of high-catch days > 30 tonnes in HSI ≥ 0.6). By demonstrating that fishers’ spatial decisions appear to reflect environmental gradients, suggesting that fishing effort may indirectly act as an ecological indicator, this integrated framework bridges fisher behavior with ecological theory, supporting dynamic ocean management in climate-variable fisheries.

As economically important sympatric species in the Northwest Pacific, the Japanese sardine (Sardinops melanostictus) and Chub mackerel (Scomber japonicus) exhibit significant biological interactions. Understanding the impact of interspecies competition on their habitat dynamics can provide crucial insights for the sustainable development and management of these interconnected species resources. This study utilizes fisheries data of S. melanostictus and S. japonicus from the Northwest Pacific, collected from June to November between 2017 and 2020. We integrated various environmental parameters, including temperature at different depths (0, 50, 100, 150, and 200 m), eddy kinetic energy (EKE), sea surface height (SSH), chlorophyll-a concentration (Chl-a), and the oceanic Niño index (ONI), to construct interspecific competition species distribution model (icSDM) for both species. We validated these models by overlaying the predicted habitats with fisheries data from 2021 and performing cross-validation to assess the models’ reliability. Furthermore, we conducted correlation analyses of the habitats of these two species to evaluate the impact of interspecies relationships on their habitat dynamics. The results indicate that, compared to single-species habitat models, the interspecific competition species distribution model (icSDM) for these two species exhibit a significantly higher explanatory power, with R2 values increasing by up to 0.29; interspecific competition significantly influences the habitat dynamics of S. melanostictus and S. japonicus, strengthening the correlation between their habitat changes. This relationship exhibits a positive correlation at specific stages, with the highest correlations observed in June, July, and October, at 0.81, 0.80, and 0.88, respectively; interspecific competition also demonstrates stage-specific differences in its impact on the habitat dynamics of S. melanostictus and S. japonicus, with the most pronounced differences occurring in August and November. Compared to S. melanostictus, interspecific competition is more beneficial for the expansion of the optimal habitat (HIS ≥ 0.6) for S. japonicus and, to some extent, inhibits the habitat expansion of S. melanostictus. The variation in migratory routes and predatory interactions (with larger individuals of S. japonicus preying on smaller individuals of S. melanostictus) likely constitutes the primary factors contributing to these observed differences.

This study, based on the vessel position data of pump-suction beam trawlers and the integrated species distribution model (ISDM), deeply analyzes the spatio-temporal distribution characteristics of the habitat of Antarctic krill and the contributions of key environmental factors. The Convolutional Neural Network–attention model (CNN–attention model) was used to identify the fishing status of the vessel position data of Norwegian pump-suction beam trawlers for Antarctic krill during the fishing seasons from 2021 to 2023. Variables of marine environment, including sea surface temperature (SST), sea surface height (SSH), chlorophyll concentration (CHL), sea ice concentration (SIC), sea surface salinity (SSS), and spatial factor Geographical Offshore Linear Distance (GLD) were combined and input into the ISDM for simulating and predicting the spatial distribution of the habitat. The model results show that the Area Under the Curve (AUC) and True Skill Statistic (TSS) indices for all months exceed 0.9, with an average AUC of 0.997 and a TSS of 0.973, indicating extremely high accuracy of the model in habitat prediction. Further analysis of environmental factors reveals that Geographical Offshore Linear Distance (GLD) and chlorophyll concentration (CHL) are the main factors affecting habitat suitability, contributing 34.9% and 25.2%, respectively, and their combined contribution exceeds 60%. In addition, factors such as sea surface height (SSH), sea surface temperature (SST), sea ice concentration (SIC), and sea surface salinity (SSS) have impacts on the habitat distribution to varying degrees, and each factor exhibits different suitability response characteristics in different seasons and sub-regions. There is no significant correlation between the habitat area of Antarctic krill and catch (p > 0.05), while there is a significant positive correlation between the fishing duration and the catch (p < 0.001), indicating that a longer fishing duration can effectively increase the Antarctic krill catch.

Global climate change poses a significant management challenge for vital transboundary resources like the Pacific saury (Cololabis saira). To address this, we developed an innovative framework that uses high-resolution Automatic Identification System (AIS) data and deep learning to define species distribution, which then informs a robust Ensemble Species Distribution Model (ESDM). The model (TSS > 0.89, AUC > 0.97) identifies sea surface temperature (SST) and chlorophyll-a (CHL) as key habitat drivers. Projections under future climate scenarios reveal two critical threats: (1) a continuous northeastward migration of the habitat’s centroid, exceeding 400 km by 2100 under a high-emission SSP5-8.5 scenario, and (2) a drastic contraction of highly suitable habitat (suitability > 0.8), shrinking by up to 94% under the high-emission SSP3-7.0 scenario. By directly linking key oceanographic features to these climate-driven risks, this study delivers an essential scientific decision-support tool for management bodies like the North Pacific Fisheries Commission (NPFC) to develop climate-adaptive strategies.

The accurate assessment and management of Blue Mackerel (Scomber australasicus) and Chub Mackerel (Scomber japonicus) resources in the high seas of the Northwest Pacific are constrained by the persistent issue of data misreporting in catch records, which arises from their high morphological similarity. This study integrates fishery logbooks and field sampling data from Chinese purse seine fleets (2014–2023), along with key oceanographic factors—six of which were finally selected after correlation analysis. We introduce, for the first time, a Zero-One Inflated Beta Model (ZOIBM) to analyze the spatiotemporal distribution of the relative abundance of these two mackerel species. Furthermore, a Generalized Additive Model (GAM) was employed to reveal the environmental mechanisms driving their niche differentiation. The results show that the ZOIBM demonstrates excellent performance (R² = 0.63, RMSE = 0.305), effectively quantifying the proportional composition of the two species in mixed catches. Spatially, high-abundance areas of Blue Mackerel were concentrated within 35–44° N, 145–160° E, with its proportion decreasing at higher latitudes. In contrast, Chub Mackerel exhibited an opposite latitudinal pattern, with its high-abundance areas covering a broader latitudinal range (35–47.5° N). The analysis of environmental drivers indicated that SST was the most critical factor for differentiation, while Chla and VO further amplified the divergence in resource utilization strategies between the species. From 2014 to 2023, the distribution centroids of both mackerel species showed significant northward and eastward shifts, and their spatial overlap has been continuously increasing. This research provides a methodological reference for the fine-scale assessment of co-occurring fish resources and offers a scientific basis for the sustainable management of the North Pacific mackerel fishery.