The accurate prediction of crop yields is crucial for enhancing agricultural efficiency and ensuring food security. This study assesses the performance of the CNN-LSTM-Attention model in predicting the yields of maize, rice, and soybeans in Northeast China and compares its effectiveness with traditional models such as RF, XGBoost, and CNN. Utilizing multi-source data from 2014 to 2020, which include vegetation indices, environmental variables, and photosynthetically active parameters, our research examines the model’s capacity to capture essential spatial and temporal variations. The CNN-LSTM-Attention model integrates Convolutional Neural Networks, Long Short-Term Memory, and an attention mechanism to effectively process complex datasets and manage non-linear relationships within agricultural data. Notably, the study explores the potential of using kNDVI for predicting yields of multiple crops, highlighting its effectiveness. Our findings demonstrate that advanced deep-learning models significantly enhance yield prediction accuracy over traditional methods. We advocate for the incorporation of sophisticated deep-learning technologies in agricultural practices, which can substantially improve yield prediction accuracy and food production strategies.

Accurate crop yield prediction is crucial for formulating agricultural policies, guiding agricultural management, and optimizing resource allocation. This study proposes a method for predicting yields in China’s major winter wheat-producing regions using MOD13A1 data and a deep learning model which incorporates an Improved Gray Wolf Optimization (IGWO) algorithm. By adjusting the key parameters of the Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) with IGWO, the prediction accuracy is significantly enhanced. Additionally, the study explores the potential of the Green Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (GNDVI) in yield prediction. The research utilizes data collected from March to May between 2001 and 2010, encompassing vegetation indices, environmental variables, and yield statistics. The results indicate that the IGWO-CNN model outperforms traditional machine learning approaches and standalone CNN models in terms of prediction accuracy, achieving the highest performance with an R² of 0.7587, an RMSE of 593.6 kg/ha, an MAE of 486.5577 kg/ha, and an MAPE of 11.39%. The study finds that April is the optimal period for early yield prediction of winter wheat. This research validates the effectiveness of combining deep learning with remote sensing data in crop yield prediction, providing technical support for precision agriculture and contributing to global food security and sustainable agricultural development.

Against the backdrop of global food security challenges, precise pre-harvest yield estimation of large-scale soybean crops is crucial for optimizing agricultural resource allocation and ensuring stable food supplies. This study developed an integrated prediction model for county-level soybean yield forecasting, which combines multi-source remote-sensing data with advanced deep learning techniques. The ant colony optimization-convolutional neural network with gated recurrent units and multi-head attention (ACGM) model showcases remarkable predictive prowess, as evidenced by a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.74, a root mean square error (RMSE) of 123.94 kg/ha, and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 105.39 kg/ha. When pitted against other models, including the random forest regression (RFR), support vector regression (SVR), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and convolutional neural network (CNN) models, the ACGM model clearly emerges as the superior performer. This study identifies August as the optimal period for early soybean yield prediction, with the model performing best when combining environmental and photosynthetic parameters (ED + PP). The ACGM model demonstrates a good accuracy and generalization ability, providing a practical approach for refined agricultural management. By integrating deep learning with open-source remote-sensing data, this research opens up new avenues for enhancing agricultural decision-making and safeguarding food security.

Rice is a primary food crop, and rice production ensures food security and maintains social stability with great significance. Flooding paddy rice fields as an important step in rice production affects the entire growth process of rice. The selection of flooding time is highly correlated with paddy rice yield and water resource utilization. In the background of global warming, early flooding in high-latitude paddy rice planting areas can ensure that rice has sufficient growing time to increase yield. However, overly early flooding may cause waste of water resources due to insufficient heat. Currently, research on flooding timing is relatively lacking, and monitoring of temperature during flooding is particularly deficient. To respond to climate change, it is necessary to explore whether the current flooding schedule meets the actual needs. Based on MODIS surface reflectivity data, we identified the First Flooding Day (FFD) and Peak Flooding Day (PFD) in the Sanjiang Plain. Using MODIS Land Surface Temperature (LST) data and meteorological station-provided air temperature data, we analyzed the corresponding LST and air temperature for PFD from 2008 to 2024. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) both FFD and PFD in the Sanjiang Plain have a trend of advancing year by year, with PFD showing stronger advancement than FFD; (2) the LST and air temperature during flooding in the Sanjiang Plain show a downward trend year by year; and (3) by 2024, the flooding temperature of paddy rice fields in the Sanjiang Plain has generally met the needs for the next step of production. This study first attempts to use high-temporal-resolution remote sensing images to identify the flooding time of paddy fields and achieve timely monitoring of flooding and changes in flooding temperature.