This paper discusses the efficient implementation of a new hybrid approach to forecasting short-term PV power production for four different PV plants in Algeria. The developed model incorporates a time-varying filter-empirical mode decomposition (TVF-EMD) and an extreme learning machine (ELM) as an essence regression. The TVF-EMD technique is used to deal with the fluctuation of PV power data by splitting it into a series of more stable and constant subseries. The specified set of features (intrinsic mode functions (IMFs)) is utilized for training and improving our forecasting extreme learning machine model. The adjusted ELM model is used to evaluate prediction efficiency. The suggested TVF-EMD-ELM model is assessed and verified in various Algerian locations with varying climate conditions. In all examined regions, the TVF-EMD-ELM model generates less than 4% error in terms of normalized root mean square error (nRMSE).
Remote agricultural regions in desert areas, such as Ghardaïa in southern Algeria, face significant challenges in energy supply due to their isolated locations and harsh climatic conditions. Harnessing solar energy through photovoltaic (PV) systems offers a sustainable solution to these energy needs. This study aims to identify suitable areas for PV power installations in Ghardaïa, utilizing a geographic information system (GIS) combined with the fuzzy analytical hierarchy process (AHP). Various environmental, economic, and technical factors, such as solar radiation, land use, and proximity to infrastructure, are incorporated into the analysis to create a multi-criteria decision-making framework. The integration of fuzzy logic into AHP enables a more flexible evaluation of these factors. The results revealed the presence of ideal locations for installing photovoltaic stations, with 346,673.30 hectares identified as highly suitable, 977,606.84 hectares as very suitable, and 937,385.97 hectares as suitable. These areas are characterized by high levels of solar radiation and suitable infrastructure availability, contributing to reduced implementation costs and facilitating logistical operations. Additionally, the proximity of these locations to agricultural areas enhances the efficiency of electricity delivery to farmers. The study emphasizes the need for well-considered strategic planning to achieve sustainable development in remote rural areas.
24 March 2026 in Environmental Progress & Sustainable Energy