The coupling coordination degree (CCD) of the production-living-ecological space (PLES) functional index is an indicator of regional sustainable development potential. However, previous studies have failed to reveal the driving mechanisms of the CCD of PLES functional index on a global scale. Therefore, this study employed the CCD model to evaluate the CCD of the PLES functional index and spatial regression models to measure the heterogeneous drivers using multi-source data in 2000, 2010, and 2020. The results demonstrated that ecological spaces dominated (85%) globally, while living spaces comprised the smallest share (3%). The ecological functional index was higher than the production and living functional indices. Further analyses revealed that topographic factors were the main restricting factors for PLES; the proportion of production and living spaces decreased with increasing altitude and slope, whereas ecological spaces showed the opposite trend. The global CCD values of the PLES functional index in 2000, 2010, and 2020 were 0.186, 0.189, and 0.198, respectively, showing an increasing trend. High CCD was generally observed in areas with dense population and industry where human activity systems interact with natural ecosystems. The formation of the CCD of the global PLES functional pattern results from the joint action of natural and socioeconomic factors, with pronounced spatial heterogeneity. Our findings can help optimize global territorial space utilization, improve territorial space utilization efficiency, and realize global sustainable development goals.

Ecosystem services (ESs) are increasingly recognized as critical to sustainable development and human well-being and are frequently used as indicators in environmental governance policies. However, existing studies mostly assess the performance of isolated single ESs, ignoring the management data needs of local governments for comprehensive gate-keeping and the easy monitoring of regional ecosystems, and lacking holistic gate-keeping indicators for local ESs. To address these shortcomings, this study assessed the spatial changes in five main ESs in the Yangtze River basin (YTRB) in China by creating a comprehensive ESs indicator (CESI) using multi-source data, and introduced the hotspot analyses and spatial econometric models to explore the driving forces of CESI. Results showed that during the study period, the CESI in the YTRB increased from 0.44 in 2000 to 0.47 in 2020. High-value areas were mainly concentrated in the hilly and mountainous regions, whereas the low-value areas were predominantly situated in the plain areas. From 2000 to 2020, the hot spots of CESI were primarily located in the middle and the lower reaches of the YTRB. Conversely, the cold spots were situated in the upper reaches of the YTRB. The regression analysis revealed a significant negative association between socioeconomic factors and CESI, while a significant positive association between natural background factors and CESI. Of the natural background factors, average precipitation has the largest positive effect on CESI, with each 1% increase resulting in up to 0.369% increase in CESI. In contrast, GDP density had the greatest negative impact on CESI, with each 1% increase triggering a reduction in CESI of up to 6.210%. The findings suggest that CESI, which integrates multiple ESs, can effectively simplify the difficulty of regional ecological regulation. The driving mechanism indicates that environmental protection policies, when combined with the natural conditions and intensity of human activities in the region, would be more coherent with varying regulatory intensities.

China’s commitment to carbon neutrality necessitates precise spatial management of land-use carbon emissions (LCE), yet subnational heterogeneity of mitigation potential remains inadequately quantified. Here, we combine retrospective analysis (2000–2020) with future scenario projections (2020–2100) across 30 Chinese provinces, revealing substantial regional disparities in emission trajectories and peak timings. In historical LCE, indirect emissions linked to energy consumption exhibited pronounced spatial polarization, particularly in northern provinces dominated by heavy industries, whereas direct emissions from terrestrial ecosystems remained relatively stable. Scenario analyses demonstrate national LCE will peak around 2030–2035, yet nearly half of the provinces will experience delayed peaks. Emission hotspots are projected to shift southward, exacerbating pressures on southeastern provinces characterized by rapid urban growth and constrained carbon sink capacities. Our findings highlight the critical need for regional mitigation strategies that jointly consider emission peak timing, magnitude, and long-term reduction trajectories, informing targeted governance towards China’s climate goals.

The rapid urban expansion (UE) in the Yangtze River Economic Belt (YREB) in China has profoundly reshaped landscape patterns and ecosystem functions. Understanding the impact of UE on ecosystem health (EH) across different urban agglomerations is crucial for informing effective ecological governance and sustainability strategies. However, whether UE ultimately promotes or constrains EH across urban agglomerations under multi-scenario remains unclear. This study aims to address this gap by employing the Patch-generating Land Use Simulation model and the Vigor–Organization–Resilience–Service framework to simulate UE and EH in three major urban agglomerations of the YREB, while also examining the mechanisms through which UE influences EH. The results revealed substantial UE under all scenarios, with the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomerations exhibiting the most pronounced growth. The EH index showed a downward trend, from 0.621 in 2010 to 0.613 in 2020. Bivariate spatial autocorrelation and spatial regression analyses revealed a significant negative correlation between UE and EH. The study identified land fragmentation and occupation due to UE as the primary factors contributing to the deterioration of EH. The findings indicated the necessity of strategic urban planning to mitigate potential ecosystem risks while promoting sustainable urban development. Furthermore, regional cooperation is critical for addressing transboundary ecological challenges and ensuring the long-term sustainability and resilience of the YREB ecosystem.