Objective: TURKBIO registry, established in 2011, is the first nationwide biological database in Turkey. This study aimed to provide an overview of TURKBIO data collected by June 2018. Methods: The registry included adult patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA), ankylosing spondylitis (AS), nonradiographic axial spondyloarthritis (nr-AxSpA), and psoriatic arthritis (PsA). Demographic and clinical features, disease activity markers, and other follow-up parameters, current and previous treat- ments, and adverse events were registered electronically at each visit using open-source software. The registration of patient-reported outcome measures was carried out electronically by the patients using touch screens. Results: TURKBIO registry included a total of 41,145 treatment series with biologicals. There were 2,588 patients with axSpA (2,459 AS and 129 nr-axSpA), 2,036 with RA, and 428 with PsA. The total number of patients, including those with other diagnoses, was 5,718. In the follow-up period, the number of patients and also visits steadily increased by years. The yearly mean number of visits per patient was found to be 2.3. Significant improvements in disease activity and health assessment parameters were observed following the biological treatments. Biologics were often given in combination with a con- ventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drug in patients with RA. Infections were the most commonly seen adverse events, followed by allergic reactions. Tuberculosis was observed in 12 patients, malignancy in 18, and treatment-related mortality in 31. Conclusion: TURKBIO provided a valuable real-life experience with the use of biologics in rheumatic diseases in Turkey. Cite this article as: O€ nen F, Can G, C apar S, et al. A real-life analysis of patients with rheumatologic diseases on biological treatments: Data from TURKBIO Registry.Eur J Rheumatol. 2022;9(2):82-87.

In this study, the forecasting accuracy of a new forecasting method that is alternative to two major forecasting approaches: exponential smoothing (ES) and ARIMA, will be evaluated. Using the results from the M3-competition, the forecasting performance of this method will be compared to not only these two major approaches but also to other successful methods derived from these two approaches with respect to simplicity and cost in addition to accuracy.

Background/aim: To investigate the impact of smoking on disease activity, treatment retention, and response in patients with ankylosing spondylitis (AS) treated with their first tumor necrosis factor-α inhibitor (TNFi). Materials and methods: AS patients who started their first TNFi treatment for the active axial disease (BASDAI ≥ 4) from TURKBIO Registry were included. Treatment response of smoker (current and ex-smokers) and nonsmoker (never smoker) patients were primarily evaluated as achievement of BASDAI50 or improvement in BASDAI at least 20 mm at 3 months and 6 months compared to baseline. Results: There were 322 patients with AS (60% male, 59% smoker, mean age: 38.3 years). The median follow-up time was 2.8 years (Q1- Q3: 1.3-3.8), and disease duration was 3.5 years (Q1-Q3: 0.7-8.2). Smokers had male predominance (p < 0.001), lower ESR (p = 0.03), higher BASDAI (p = 0.02), BASFI (p = 0.05), HAQ-AS (p = 0.007), and ASDAS-CRP (p = 0.04) compared with nonsmokers at baseline. In the multivariate analysis, male gender [OR 2.7 (95%CI 1.4-5), p = 0.002], and concomitant conventional synthetic disease-modifying antirheumatic drug use [OR 2.4 (95%CI 1.1-5.2), p = 0.03] were associated with better treatment response. There was an association of male gender [HR 2.4 (95%CI 1.6-3.7), p < 0.001], older age (≥ 30years) [HR 1.8 (95%CI 1.1-2.8), p = 0.01], and response to treatment [HR 1.8 (95%CI 1.2-2.9), p = 0.008] with better treatment retention. No impact of smoking status was found on treatment retention and response in univariate and multivariate analyses. Conclusion: This study suggested that smoking was associated with poorer patient-reported outcomes in biologic naïve AS patients initiating their first TNFi treatment, but it had no impact on the TNFi treatment response and retention rate.

Background/Objectives: CT-P13 is a biosimilar version of infliximab, a monoclonal antibody. In individuals with ankylosing spondylitis (AS), CT-P13 has been shown to be effective and to have a well-tolerated safety profile. The aim of this study was to evaluate the long-term drug persistence, safety, and efficacy of infliximab biosimilar CT-P13 in patients with AS undergoing first-line (1st-line) and later (≥2nd-line) treatment in clinical practice. Methods: We performed an observational cohort study that included AS patients based on the biological drug database in the TURKBIO Registry between 2014 and 2021. The patients were divided into two groups: those receiving CT-P13 as first-line treatment or as a switch (≥2nd-line) from another TNF inhibitor (TNFi). Standard disease activity metrics were used to assess the effectiveness of CT-P13, and drug retention rates were investigated. Results: There were 179 AS patients using CT-P13 (47.4% male, mean age: 42.9 ± 11.3 years). Of these patients, 123 (68.7%) were receiving CT-P13 as a first-line treatment. The mean length of treatment was 3.5 years. CT-P13 drug retention rates in the general patient population were 58.6% and 48.2% in the first-line and ≥second-line treatment, respectively, after 3 years of follow-up. The most common reason for CT-P13 treatment discontinuation was lack of efficacy. The first-line CT-P13 group had statistically substantially higher ASAS20/40 response rates at three and six months. Nonetheless, both groups’ response rates at one year were comparable. Conclusions: In this real-world data analysis, AS patients who were TNFi naïve (1st-line) and subsequently treated (≥2nd-line) with CT-P13 showed encouraging drug retention rates with acceptable long-term effectiveness and safety.

ÜSTEL DÜZLEŞTİRME YÖNTEMLERİNDE BAŞLANGIÇ DEĞERİNİN ÖNEMİ Öz Üstel düzleştirme çeşitli zaman serisi verileri için yaygın olarak kullanılan popüler bir tahmin yöntemidir. Üstel düzleştirme ile ilgili iki önemli problem mevcuttur. Birincisi, düzleştirme sabitinin değerine karar vermek. İkincisi de başlangıç değerini belirlemektir. Bu çalışmada başlangıç değerinin önemi ve tahmin üzerindeki etkisi araştırılmış ve araştırmacılara yardımcı olmak amacıyla bir çapraz tablo oluşturulmuştur. Anahtar Kelimeler: Üstel Düzleştirme, Basit Üstel Düzleştirme, Başlangıç Değeri.