To develop and validate a radiomics signature for the prediction of gastric cancer (GC) survival and chemotherapeutic benefits. In this multicenter retrospective analysis, we analyzed the radiomics features of portal venous-phase computed tomography in 1591 consecutive patients. A radiomics signature was generated by using the Lasso-Cox regression model in 228 patients and validated in internal and external validation cohorts. Radiomics nomograms integrating the radiomics signature were constructed, demonstrating the incremental value of the radiomics signature to the traditional staging system for individualized survival estimation. The performance of the nomograms was assessed with respect to calibration, discrimination, and clinical usefulness. The radiomics signature consisted of 19 selected features and was significantly associated with DFS (disease-free survival) and OS (overall survival). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that the radiomics signature was an independent prognostic factor. Incorporating the radiomics signature into the radiomics-based nomograms resulted in better performance for the estimation of DFS and OS than the clinicopathological nomograms and TNM staging system, with improved accuracy of the classification of survival outcomes. Further analysis showed that stage II and III patients with higher radiomics scores exhibited a favorable response to chemotherapy. In conclusion, the newly developed radiomics signature is a powerful predictor of DFS and OS, and it may predict which patients with stage II and III GC benefit from chemotherapy.

We aimed to evaluate whether radiomic feature-based fluorine 18 (¹⁸F) fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) positron emission tomography (PET) imaging signatures allow prediction of gastric cancer (GC) survival and chemotherapy benefits.

The tumor immune microenvironment (TIME) is associated with tumor prognosis and immunotherapy response. Here we develop and validate a CT-based radiomics score (RS) using 2272 gastric cancer (GC) patients to investigate the relationship between the radiomics imaging biomarker and the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in the TIME, including its correlation with prognosis and immunotherapy response in advanced GC. The RS achieves an AUC of 0.795–0.861 in predicting the NLR in the TIME. Notably, the radiomics imaging biomarker is indistinguishable from the IHC-derived NLR status in predicting DFS and OS in each cohort (HR range: 1.694–3.394, P < 0.001). We find the objective responses of a cohort of anti-PD-1 immunotherapy patients is significantly higher in the low-RS group (60.9% and 42.9%) than in the high-RS group (8.1% and 14.3%). The radiomics imaging biomarker is a noninvasive method to evaluate TIME, and may correlate with prognosis and anti PD-1 immunotherapy response in GC patients.

Current gastric cancer staging alone cannot predict prognosis and adjuvant chemotherapy benefits in stage II and III gastric cancer. Tumor immune microenvironment biomarkers and tumor-cell chemosensitivity might add predictive value to staging. This study aimed to construct a predictive signature integrating tumor immune microenvironment and chemosensitivity-related features to improve the prediction of survival and adjuvant chemotherapy benefits in patients with stage II to III gastric cancer. We used IHC to assess 26 features related to tumor, stroma, and chemosensitivity in tumors from 223 patients and evaluated the association of the features with disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS). Support vector machine (SVM)–based methods were used to develop the predictive signature, which we call the SVM signature. Validation of the signature was performed in two independent cohorts of 445 patients. The diagnostic signature integrated seven features: CD3+ cells at the invasive margin (CD3 IM), CD8+ cells at the IM (CD8 IM), CD45RO+ cells in the center of tumors (CD45RO CT), CD66b+ cells at the IM (CD66b IM), CD34+ cells, periostin, and cyclooxygenase-2. Patients fell into low- and high-SVM groups with significant differences in 5-year DFS and OS in the training and validation cohorts (all P < 0.001). The signature was an independent prognosis indicator in multivariate analysis in each cohort. The signature had better prognostic value than various clinicopathologic risk factors and single features. High-SVM patients exhibited a favorable response to adjuvant chemotherapy. Thus, this SVM signature predicted survival and has the potential for identifying patients with stage II and III gastric cancer who could benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy.

Background Despite remarkable benefits have been provided by immune checkpoint inhibitors in gastric cancer (GC), predictions of treatment response and prognosis remain unsatisfactory, making identifying biomarkers desirable. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a CT imaging biomarker to predict the immunotherapy response in patients with GC and investigate the associated immune infiltration patterns. Methods This retrospective study included 294 GC patients who received anti-PD-1/PD-L1 immunotherapy from three independent medical centers between January 2017 and April 2022. A radiomics score (RS) was developed from the intratumoral and peritumoral features on pretreatment CT images to predict immunotherapy-related progression-free survival (irPFS). The performance of the RS was evaluated by the area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to construct predictive nomogram of irPFS. The C-index was used to determine the performance of the nomogram. Bulk RNA sequencing of tumors from 42 patients in The Cancer Genome Atlas was used to investigate the RS-associated immune infiltration patterns. Results Overall, 89 of 294 patients (median age, 57 years (IQR 48–66 years); 171 males) had an objective response to immunotherapy. The RS included 13 CT features that yielded AUCs of 12-month irPFS of 0.787, 0.810 and 0.785 in the training, internal validation, and external validation 1 cohorts, respectively, and an AUC of 24-month irPFS of 0.805 in the external validation 2 cohort. Patients with low RS had longer irPFS in each cohort (p<0.05). Multivariable Cox regression analyses showed RS is an independent prognostic factor of irPFS. The nomogram that integrated the RS and clinical characteristics showed improved performance in predicting irPFS, with C-index of 0.687–0.778 in the training and validation cohorts. The CT imaging biomarker was associated with M1 macrophage infiltration. Conclusion The findings of this prognostic study suggest that the non-invasive CT imaging biomarker can effectively predict immunotherapy outcomes in patients with GC and is associated with innate immune signaling, which can serve as a potential tool for individual treatment decisions.

Background Only a subset of patients with gastric cancer experience long-term benefits from immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs). Currently, there is a deficiency in precise predictive biomarkers for ICI efficacy. The aim of this study was to develop and validate a pathomics-driven ensemble model for predicting the response to ICIs in gastric cancer, using H&E-stained whole slide images (WSI). Methods This multicenter study retrospectively collected and analyzed H&E-stained WSIs and clinical data from 584 patients with gastric cancer. An ensemble model, integrating four classifiers: least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, k-nearest neighbors, decision trees, and random forests, was developed and validated using pathomics features, with the objective of predicting the therapeutic efficacy of immune checkpoint inhibition. Model performance was evaluated using metrics including the area under the curve (AUC), sensitivity, and specificity. Additionally, SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) analysis was used to explain the model’s predicted values as the sum of the attribution values for each input feature. Pathogenomics analysis was employed to explain the molecular mechanisms underlying the model’s predictions. Results Our pathomics-driven ensemble model effectively stratified the response to ICIs in training cohort (AUC 0.985 (95% CI 0.971 to 0.999)), which was further validated in internal validation cohort (AUC 0.921 (95% CI 0.839 to 0.999)), as well as in external validation cohort 1 (AUC 0.914 (95% CI 0.837 to 0.990)), and external validation cohort 2 (0.927 (95% CI 0.802 to 0.999)). The univariate Cox regression analysis revealed that the prediction signature of pathomics-driven ensemble model was a prognostic factor for progression-free survival in patients with gastric cancer who underwent immunotherapy (p<0.001, HR 0.35 (95% CI 0.24 to 0.50)), and remained an independent predictor after multivariable Cox regression adjusted for clinicopathological variables, (including sex, age, carcinoembryonic antigen, carbohydrate antigen 19-9, therapy regime, line of therapy, differentiation, location and programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1) expression in all patients (p<0.001, HR 0.34 (95% CI 0.24 to 0.50)). Pathogenomics analysis suggested that the ensemble model is driven by molecular-level immune, cancer, metabolism-related pathways, and was correlated with the immune-related characteristics, including immune score, Estimation of STromal and Immune cells in MAlignant Tumor tissues using Expression data score, and tumor purity. Conclusions Our pathomics-driven ensemble model exhibited high accuracy and robustness in predicting the response to ICIs using WSIs. Therefore, it could serve as a novel and valuable tool to facilitate precision immunotherapy.