Seismic hazards are typical mining hazards causing dynamic failure of coal and rock mass, which greatly threatens the safety of personnel and equipment. At present, various seismic analysis methods are used to assess seismic risks but their accuracy is significantly limited by the incompleteness of seismic data. The probability of detecting earthquakes (PDE) method has been proven as a powerful means for retrieving missed seismic events and enhancing the seismic data integrity in mines. However, to date, the reliability of the results of the PDE method has not been assessed and the highly integrated seismic data have not been linked with the actual hazard potential. To fill these gaps, this paper investigated the impacts of the seismic data volume used for calculation and the modification of the layout of sensors on the reliability and robustness of the PDE method. The event counts and seismic energy were compensated using the PDE method, correlated with strong seismic events. The results indicated that the compensated seismic data presented higher accuracy in locating future hazardous events than before. This research provides references on enhancing the performance of seismic analysing methods for seismic risk assessments.

The hazardous effect of a mine earthquake on a roadway is not only related to its energy scale but also to its distance from the roadway. In this study, a signal attenuation model and a disaster-causing model were established to evaluate the mine earthquake effects based on peak particle velocity (PPV) data recorded for 37221-1 upper roadway of the Dongxia Coal Mine, China. The characteristic of dynamic loads due to mine earthquake propagation to roadway surfaces was researched, and critical PPV values were identified using FLAC^3D numerical simulation, which can be used to evaluate the roadway anti-burst performance under the existing support system. The results show that the support system is able to resist a mine earthquake with energy below 2.33 × 10³ J; however, considering the energy accumulation volume of surrounding rocks and the range of source fracture, the maximum resistible mine earthquake energy can be up to 7.09 × 10⁶ J when the roadway is 50 m away from the source. The validity and applicability of the disaster-causing models was verified by two rockburst cases that occurred during the excavation of the working face.

Frequent rockbursts in staggered roadways beneath residual coal pillars pose a critical challenge for the slice mining of ultra-thick coal seams. Taking the LW250101-2 of Huating Coal Mine as a case study, this paper systematically reveals the stress evolution laws and rockburst mechanism induced by irregular residual pillars by integrating microseismic (MS) monitoring, moment tensor inversion, and numerical simulation. First, source mechanism inversion analysis elucidated that compressive-shear failure of coal pillars was the dominant rupture mode in five of the eight recorded rockburst events. Second, numerical simulations demonstrate that the width of the left wing and the thickness of the right wing of the “L-shaped” coal pillar structure are the key geometric factors controlling rockburst risk; larger dimensions correlate with more intense stress concentration and higher-energy MS events. Moreover, the stress deflection effect of “L-shaped” coal pillars causes the haulage gateway of the LW250101-2 to remain in a state of stress accumulation, increasing its susceptibility to rockburst. Finally, a synergistic prevention system consisting of deep-hole roof blasting, large-charge coal blasting, and ultra-deep large-diameter boreholes was implemented. Field monitoring confirms that these measures dissipated high-stress concentrations, reduced rockburst frequency to zero and ensured safe mining.

Directional long-borehole hydraulic fracturing is an important technique for controlling rockbursts induced by hard roofs. Its effectiveness depends primarily on whether fracturing-induced damage can modify the roof-bearing structure and thereby regulate stress concentration and elastic strain energy accumulation in the coal-rock mass ahead of the working face. However, existing numerical simulations commonly rely on predefined weakened zones or empirical parameter reduction, which makes it difficult to represent the spatial heterogeneity and mechanical evolution of rock damage during field hydraulic fracturing. Taking the 2803 goaf-side working face in Hetaoyu Coal Mine as the engineering background, this study proposes a microseismic-data-driven method for characterizing hydraulic fracturing-induced damage and incorporates it into a FLAC3D finite-difference model. The stress field, elastic strain energy field, and damage distribution ahead of the working face are compared under non-fractured and hydraulically fractured conditions. In the proposed method, the energy of fracturing-induced microseismic events is converted into the Benioff strain of numerical zones according to the attenuation law of microseismic wave propagation, and the corresponding rock damage variable is then calculated using a Weibull damage model. The fracturing-damaged rock mass is further represented by weakening the elastic modulus, cohesion, and friction angle, together with the stochastic generation of strongly damaged zones. The results show that, without hydraulic fracturing, the hard roof maintains a strong, continuous bearing capacity, resulting in a continuous lateral abutment stress concentration zone and a high elastic strain energy accumulation zone ahead of the working face and near the goaf-side boundary. After hydraulic fracturing, a patchy and locally connected high-damage weakening zone forms in the target roof strata. This damaged zone cuts the original continuous load-transfer structure through which the hard roof concentrates load toward the goaf side, reduces the extent of high-stress and high-energy zones in the coal seam, and induces an asymmetric adjustment of the dominant mining-induced energy release zone from the goaf side toward the solid-coal side. These simulation results agree well with the field observation that microseismic activity is mainly concentrated near the roadway on the solid-coal side. The study indicates that the rockburst-control mechanism of directional long-borehole hydraulic fracturing is not limited to simple overall stress dissipation. A key finding is that the fracturing-induced heterogeneous damage zone effectively interrupts the continuous load-transfer and energy-storage paths on the goaf side. This induces an asymmetric spatial redistribution of the mining-induced energy field from the goaf side toward the solid-coal side, thereby mitigating the high static-load and high-energy-storage state ahead of the working face.