Long series time forecasting has become a popular research direction in recent years, due to the ability to predict weather changes, traffic conditions and so on. This paper provides a comprehensive discussion of long series time forecasting techniques and their applications, using the Informer algorithm model as a framework. Specifically, we examine sequential time prediction models published in the last two years, including the tightly coupled convolutional transformer (TCCT) algorithm, Autoformer algorithm, FEDformer algorithm, Pyraformer algorithm, and Triformer algorithm. Researchers have made significant improvements to the attention mechanism and Informer algorithm model architecture in these different neural network models, resulting in recent approaches such as wavelet enhancement structure, auto-correlation mechanism, and depth decomposition architecture. In addition to the above, attention algorithms and many models show potential and possibility in mechanical vibration prediction. In recent state-of-the-art studies, researchers have used the Informer algorithm model as an experimental control, and it can be seen that the algorithm model itself has research value. The informer algorithm model performs relatively well on various data sets and has become a more typical algorithm model for time series forecasting, and its model value is worthy of in-depth exploration and research. This paper discusses the structures and innovations of five representative models, including Informer, and reviews the performance of different neural network structures. The advantages and disadvantages of each model are discussed and compared, and finally, the future research direction of long series time forecasting is discussed.

The accurate prediction of marine shaft centerline trajectories is essential for ensuring the operational performance and safety of ships. In this study, we propose a novel Transformer-based model to forecast the lateral and longitudinal displacements of ship main shafts. A key challenge in this prediction task is capturing both short-term fluctuations and long-term dependencies in shaft displacement data, which traditional models struggle to address. Our Transformer-based model integrates Bidirectional Splitting–Agg Attention and Sequence Progressive Split–Aggregation mechanisms to efficiently process bidirectional temporal dependencies, decompose seasonal and trend components, and handle the inherent symmetry of the shafting system. The symmetrical nature of the shafting system, with left and right shafts experiencing similar dynamic conditions, aligns with the bidirectional attention mechanism, enabling the model to better capture the symmetric relationships in displacement data. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model significantly outperforms traditional methods, such as Autoformer and Informer, in terms of prediction accuracy. Specifically, for 96 steps ahead, the mean absolute error (MAE) of our model is 0.232, compared to 0.235 for Autoformer and 0.264 for Informer, while the mean squared error (MSE) of our model is 0.209, compared to 0.242 for Autoformer and 0.286 for Informer. These results underscore the effectiveness of Transformer-based models in accurately predicting long-term marine shaft centerline trajectories, leveraging both temporal dependencies and structural symmetry, thus contributing to maritime monitoring and performance optimization.