Saima Afzal

Dr. Saima Afzal

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

11Years (2016-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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4 August 2020 in Communications in Statistics - Simulation and Computation
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
MAMuhammad Amin
Muhammad Amin
MQMuhammad Qasim
Muhammad Qasim
SASaima Afzal
Saima Afzal
KNKhalid Naveed
Khalid Naveed
In numerous application areas, when the response variable is continuous, positively skewed, and well fitted to the inverse Gaussian distribution, the inverse Gaussian regression model (IGRM) is an effective approach in such scenarios. The problem of multicollinearity is very common in several application areas like chemometrics, biology, finance, and so forth. The effects of multicollinearity can be reduced using the ridge estimator. This research proposes new ridge estimators to address the issue of multicollinearity in the IGRM. The performance of the new estimators is compared with the maximum likelihood estimator and some other existing estimators. The mean square error is used as a performance evaluation criterion. A Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted to assess the performance of the new ridge estimators based on the minimum mean square error criterion. The Monte Carlo simulation results show that the performance of the proposed estimators is better than the available methods. The comparison of proposed ridge estimators is also evaluated using two real chemometrics applications. The results of Monte Carlo simulation and real applications confirmed the superiority of the proposed ridge estimators to other competitor methods.

14 July 2020 in Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
KNKhalid Naveed
Khalid Naveed
MAMuhammad Amin
Muhammad Amin
SASaima Afzal
Saima Afzal
MQMuhammad Qasim
Muhammad Qasim
In the Inverse Gaussian Regression (IGR), there is a significant increase in the variance of the commonly used Maximum Likelihood (ML) estimator in the presence of multicollinearity. Alternatively, we suggested the Liu Estimator (LE) for the IGR that is the generalization of Liu. In addition, some estimation methods are proposed to estimate the optimal value of the Liu shrinkage parameter, d. We investigate the performance of these methods by means of Monte Carlo Simulation and a real-life application where Mean Squared Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE) are considered as performance criteria. Simulation and application results show the superiority of new shrinkage parameters to the ML estimator under certain condition.

7 October 2021 in Mathematical Problems in Engineering
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
SASaima Afzal
Saima Afzal
AAAyesha Afzal
Ayesha Afzal
MAMuhammad Amin
Muhammad Amin
SSSehar Saleem
Sehar Saleem
NANouman Ali
Nouman Ali
MSMuhammad Sajid
Muhammad Sajid
Outlier detection is a challenging task especially when outliers are defined by rare combinations of multiple variables. In this paper, we develop and evaluate a new method for the detection of outliers in multivariate data that relies on Principal Components Analysis (PCA) and three-sigma limits. The proposed approach employs PCA to effectively perform dimension reduction by regenerating variables, i.e., fitted points from the original observations. The observations lying outside the three-sigma limits are identified as the outliers. This proposed method has been successfully employed to two real life and several artificially generated datasets. The performance of the proposed method is compared with some of the existing methods using different performance evaluation criteria including the percentage of correct classification, precision, recall, and F-measure. The supremacy of the proposed method is confirmed by abovementioned criteria and datasets. The F-measure for the first real life dataset is the highest, i.e., 0.6667 for the proposed method and 0.3333 and 0.4000 for the two existing approaches. Similarly, for the second real dataset, this measure is 0.8000 for the proposed approach and 0.5263 and 0.6315 for the two existing approaches. It is also observed by the simulation experiments that the performance of the proposed approach got better with increasing sample size.

9 January 2022 in Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
MAMuhammad Nauman Akram
Muhammad Nauman Akram
MAMuhammad Amin
Muhammad Amin
ALAdewale Folaranmi Lukman
Adewale Folaranmi Lukman
SASaima Afzal
Saima Afzal
The inverse Gaussian regression model (IGRM) is applied when the response variable y is continuous, positively skewed and well fitted to the inverse Gaussian distribution. In the presence of multicollinearity, the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is not a right choice. Therefore, we proposed a new estimator called the principal component ridge estimator for the IGRM which combines the principal component estimator and the ridge estimator. We also consider a two-parameter estimator (TPE) and other biased estimators to see a clear image of our proposed estimator. A Monte Carlo simulation study is also presented to examine the performance of the proposed estimators. Furthermore, we analysed a dataset to assess the superiority of the proposed estimator. Based on the simulation and application results, it is evident that the proposed estimator dominates the classical MLE, and other considered biased estimation methods.

12 September 2021 in Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
MAMuhammad Nauman Akram
Muhammad Nauman Akram
MAMuhammad Amin
Muhammad Amin
MUMuhammad Aman Ullah
Muhammad Aman Ullah
SASaima Afzal
Saima Afzal
This paper considers the parameter estimation for the inverse Gaussian regression model (IGRM) in the presence of multicollinearity. The inverse Gaussian modified ridge-type estimator (IGMRTE) is developed for efficient parameter estimation and compared with other estimation methods such as the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), ridge and Liu estimator. We derived the properties of the proposed estimator and conducted a theoretical comparison with some of the existing estimators using the matrix mean squared error and mean squared error criterions. Furthermore, the statistical properties of these estimators are systematically scrutinized via a Monte Carlo simulation study under different conditions. The findings of the simulation study demonstrate that the proposed IGMRTE showed a much more robust behavior in the presence of severe multicollinearity. A real life example is also analyzed to evaluate the effectiveness of the estimators under study. Both the simulation and the application results confirm the use of IGMRTE for the estimation of unknown regression coefficients of the IGRM when the explanatory variables are highly correlated.

10 May 2022 in Advances in Materials Science and Engineering
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
AHAzhar Hayat
Azhar Hayat
MAMuhammad Amin
Muhammad Amin
SASaima Afzal
Saima Afzal
Abdisalam Hassan MuseAbdisalam Hassan Muse
Abdisalam Hassan Muse
OEOmer Mohamed Egeh
Omer Mohamed Egeh
HHHafiz Saqib Hayat
Hafiz Saqib Hayat
In farming and related fields, numerous connections exist that should be distinguished quantitatively. Several factors affect the various crop yields in different dimensions. These factors may have relation with farmers practices or with quality of soil. In this study, our main focus is to explore the effect of soil and other factors on the wheat yield. Regression modeling plays an important role in the identification of such factors that greatly affect the crops yield. For reliable and valid results, one has to check the data for outliers and other critical results. In this study, we have fitted the regression models with and without satisfying some regression assumptions to determine the factors affecting yield of wheat. For analysis purposes, the required data were collected from the district Multan. It was observed that when the regression assumptions were satisfied, then coefficient of determination (R2) was improved from 45 to 48, R2 (adjusted) was improved from 40 to 46, and the standard error of the estimates was reduced from 2.772 to 2.649. These results indicate that the soil characteristics, such as saturation, electrical conductivity, organic matter, phosphorus, potassium, calcium carbonate, and micronutrients (zinc, copper, iron, manganese, and boron), are the significant factors for wheat yield. While among all other factors, urea, chemical coating of seed, use of compost, and previously sown crops are the significant factors for wheat yield.