The transactional assets pricing approach within valuation theory (TAPA) reviewed in this paper and developed by the authors, now more than a decade ago (MICHALETZ, ARTEMENKOV A. & ARTEMENKOV L., (2007), has found many applications in professional valuation practices dealing with illiquid assets (Leyfer 2006; Andrews 2011)). Consequently, challenges have arisen to ascertain its performance and develop tools, on its basis, which can be employed by valuers in their everyday practice and which are aligned as much as possible with the income approach tools used by them in their professional work. This paper proposes modifications to the standard direct income capitalization technique to align it as closely as possible with the results derivable under the applications of the TAPA basic pricing formula. The authors develop the respective adjustments using the Taylor series expansion and then, using a simulation technique, outline the performance of the resulting modified (“quick”) income capitalization model against the TAPA benchmark. The findings indicate that such a modified (“quick”) income capitalization approach has reasonable accuracy, which makes it amenable to direct usage in valuation practice, given the described assumptions.

This paper discusses the role of afforestation projects and other climate technologies in the green agenda for Russia and aims to justify the anchoring of jurisdictional carbon pricing in the cost approach to valuation, specifically, with reference to the cost economics for afforestation projects given their centrality to the agenda. Through that, and due to the inchoate state of carbon pricing in the study jurisdiction, this paper aims to advance price discovery for national carbon credits in both compliance and voluntary schemes. The cost approach framework, moderated by international market comparisons, indicates the fair price of carbon in Russian jurisdiction at the level of USD 20–25 per tonne of CO₂-eq, which is close to the global median but is more than double the amount of carbon levies set under the Sakhalin GHG quota experiment. It is argued that unless such a fair price for carbon is set in the country, the national carbon credits market will not achieve viable growth, nor will sustainable development be advanced, and funds for it be adequately collected. This represents a relevant contribution to the literature on the development of the national carbon credit markets.

In the paper, using the three-statement financial modelling methodology as applied to a representative development project, we aim to analyse, ex ante, the industry-level impact of transition to mandatory escrow schemes in residential and mixed-use construction in Tashkent city (due to be implemented in Uzbekistan from 2026). Modelling single-milestone escrow plans against the current steep-discount advance-based system of off-plans as a baseline, the model accounts for salient institutional features of the Tashkent city development market, including land auctioning, full-cycle Value-added tax (VAT) accounting, and Tax loss carryforward provisions. It also incorporates a framework for demand-driven residual valuations for the development land element. Our findings indicate practically unchanged cashflow profitability of developers on the market in question. Around 30% p.a. in nominal Free-cashflow-to-equity based IRRs expressed in the national currency, provided that the transition to the greater use of leverage in funding unfolds as expected. The disappearance of steep off-plan discounts while the transition to escrows unfolds will be countervailed by the reliance on costly loans from escrow banks. Absent the greater use of leverage, the IRR (FCFE) profitability of the developers is expected to decline by some 5%. For the apartment buyers, this is effectively equivalent to increasing property transaction prices on the primary market in line with their headline asking amounts. Thus-generated economic surplus will be partially captured by the developers and partially passed through to escrow banks, increasing their gross profits by up to $50M, p.a. due to their new role in financing Tashkent city residential developments that are still largely equity-driven. Apart from this effect, we find only a moderate financial leverage influence on developers’ profitability due to the high-interest-rate environment prevailing in Uzbekistan. We also find a demand-driven pressure on land auction prices suggested by increasingly back-loaded alterations in project cashflow profiles. This study also purports to make a material contribution to the evolving body of literature on financial modelling of apartment and mixed-use property developments by offering a flexible three-statement modelling framework with innovative endogenised equity management features.

Two problems appear to be most topical in conjunction with mortgage valuation practices during an economic crisis: the assessment of sustainable long-term mortgage values and the assessment of liquidation discounts to prevailing market values which would provide for the most advantageous liquidation/quick sale strategy. This paper addresses the latter issue, which has traditionally proven intractable to analytical modeling. Apart from reviewing some research devoted to the subject of liquidation value modeling, predominantly from the Eastern European perspective, where this issue has, for years, commanded a particular economic interest, this paper synthesizes the best features of this research and builds on it to propose its own model, which lays equal emphasis on both the sellerside and demand-side perspectives. The first perspective accounts for the financial interests of a lender in forced sale disposals, while the latter perspective engages economic analysis on the side of market feasibility of identified efficient lender disposal strategies. By negotiating both perspectives, an optimal analytic solution to the issue of liquidation value discounts can be obtained. This is achieved by what we call a SI-MI framework which is developed throughout the paper. We also adapt this framework specifically to the mortgage banking context where we use it to bring to light some rarely discussed linkages between the LTV policies of a bank and its mortgage liquidation strategies. This also allows us to propose a model and an LTV formula which can help organize thinking about optimal LTV policies in credit issuing processes. We hope that, with the re-appearance of liquidation value basis/premise of valuation as a recognized international basis of valuation in the new edition of the International Valuation Standards (IVS 2017), the findings of this paper will become topical.

The methodology of economic valuation of ecosystem services of the marine environment has been considered, which implies identification and valuation of the benefits obtained by humans from using marine ecosystems. It has been found that the previous research disregarded and did not assess the assimilation potential of port water areas, which consists in the absorption and dispersion of pollution that arise in the course of port activities. A methodological approach has been proposed for its assessment as well as an algorithm for calculating the rent-based assimilation potential by the amount of saving of expenses of economic entities that they do not pay to compensate for the damage caused or do not invest in its reduction and prevention, that is, by the amount of environmental damage caused by sea-going ships and port activities. The cost of the assimilation potential for the largest ports of Russia, the European Union (EU) and China has been calculated based on the monetized metrics of environmental damage applied in the EU countries and the indicator of pollutant emissions per 1 million tons of cargo transshipments carried out in ports, as well as the costs of cleaning polluted water discharged by ships. The latter value has been calculated only for the ports of Russia.