Background: The main motor subtypes of Parkinson’s disease (PD) include tremor-dominant (TD) and postural instability gait disorder (PIGD), with varying disease course that warrant the development of biomarkers capable of predicting progression according to motor subtype. The PIGD subtype is associated with a poorer prognosis, hence identification of a biomarker associated with PIGD is clinically relevant. Neurofilament light (NfL) chain is a potential biomarker of disease severity in neurological disorders including PD. However, no study has investigated NfL and PD motor subtypes. Here, we aimed to investigate the diagnostic and prognostic utility of plasma NfL for PD motor subtypes in early Parkinson’s disease. Given the higher risk for cognitive and motor decline in PIGD, we hypothesized that plasma NfL is a potential biomarker for PIGD. Methods: Plasma NfL was measured in 199 participants (149 PD and 50 healthy controls, HC) using an ultrasensitive single molecule array. Patients were classified into TD or PIGD based on MDS-UPDRS components. After 2 years, 115 patients were reassessed. Association between NfL and clinical measures in PIGD and TD at baseline and at 2-year follow-up were analysed. Results: At baseline, plasma NfL levels were higher in PD than HC (8.8 ± 3.4 vs 16.2 ± 7.6 pg/ml, p < 0.0001), and differentiated PD from HC with a good diagnostic accuracy (AUC = 0.833, p < 0.001). At 2 years, NfL was higher in PIGD than TD (18.4 ± 14.5 vs 12.6 ± 4.4 pg/ml, p = 0.039). Within the PIGD group, higher NfL associated significantly with worse global cognition and UPDRS motor scores at baseline, and was able to predict motor and cognitive decline at a mean follow-up duration of 1.9 years, controlled for age, sex and disease duration. Conclusions: In this longitudinal study, we demonstrated for the first time the potential utility of plasma NfL as a diagnostic and prognostic biomarker in PIGD even at early stages of PD. These important novel findings will require further confirmation in larger, longitudinal PD cohorts.

Background: Parkinson’s disease (PD) is the second most common neurodegenerative disease, primarily affecting the middle-aged to elderly population. Among its nonmotor symptoms, cognitive decline (CD) is a precursor to dementia and represents a critical target for early risk assessment and diagnosis. Accurate CD prediction is crucial for timely intervention and tailored management of at-risk patients. This study used machine learning (ML) techniques to predict the CD risk over five-year in early-stage PD. Methods: Data from the Early Parkinson’s Disease Longitudinal Singapore (2014 to 2018) was used to predict CD defined as a one-unit annual decrease or a one-unit decline in Montreal Cognitive Assessment over two consecutive years. Four ML methods—AutoScore, Random Forest, K-Nearest Neighbors and Neural Network—were applied using baseline demographics, clinical assessments and blood biomarkers. Results: Variable selection identified key predictors of CD, including education year, diastolic lying blood pressure, diastolic standing blood pressure, systolic lying blood pressure, Hoehn and Yahr scale, body mass index, phosphorylated tau at threonine 181, total tau, Neurofilament light chain and suppression of tumorigenicity 2. Random Forest was the most effective, achieving an AUC of 0.93 (95% CI: 0.89, 0.97), using 10-fold cross-validation. Conclusions: Here, we demonstrate that ML-based models can identify early-stage PD patients at high risk for CD, supporting targeted interventions and improved PD management.

The SNCA gene, encoding alpha-synuclein, is implicated in the pathogenesis of Parkinson’s disease (PD), with several single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) linked to increased risk. This study systematically evaluated the association between common SNCA polymorphisms and PD through a meta-analysis of cohort and case–control studies published before 20 November 2023. Eligible studies were identified via comprehensive searches of PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science, and pooled odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals were calculated under allelic, dominant, and recessive models. Heterogeneity and publication bias were assessed, and subgroup and sensitivity analyses were performed. Twenty-seven studies were included. SNP rs11931074 showed consistent associations with PD across all models, with low heterogeneity and no evidence of publication bias. rs356219 and rs356165 were also significantly associated with PD, although regional differences contributed to heterogeneity. In contrast, rs2583988 showed marginal significance in the allelic model, which was lost after sensitivity analyses. No associations were found under dominant or recessive models for this SNP. These findings confirm rs11931074 as a robust PD risk variant and support the roles of rs356219 and rs356165 while suggesting weaker evidence for rs2583988. Large, multi-ethnic studies are warranted to elucidate underlying mechanisms and support precision medicine in PD.