As the understanding of how different aspects of the physical activity (PA) pattern relate to health and disease, proper assessment is increasingly important. In clinical care, self-reports are the most commonly used assessment technique. However, systematic comparisons between questions regarding concurrent or criterion validity are rare, as are measures of predictive validity. The aim of the study was to examine the concurrent (using accelerometry as reference) and predictive validity (for metabolic syndrome) of five PA questions. A sample of 948 middle-aged Swedish men and women reported their PA patterns via five different questions and wore an accelerometer (Actigraph GT3X) for a minimum of 4 days. Concurrent validity was assessed as correlations and ROC-analyses. Predictive validity was assessed using logistic regression, controlling for potential confounders. Concurrent validity was low-to-moderate (r <0.35 and ROC AUC <0.7) with large misclassifications regarding time spent sitting/sedentary and in moderate-to vigorous PA. The predictive validity of the questions was good, and one question (PHAS) showed an 80 % decreased odds-ratio of having metabolic syndrome, after taking potential confounders into consideration. In this mixed sample of adults, both concurrent and predictive validity vaired between items and between measures of the physical activity pattern. The PHAS and WALK items are proposed for assessment of adherence to PA recommendations. Assessing PA patterns using self-report measures results in methodological problems when trying to predict individual risk for the metabolic syndrome, as the concurrent validity generally was low. However, several of the investigated questions may be useful for assessing risk at a group level, showing better predictive validity.

The objective of the present study was to investigate if there was a difference in baseline serum concentrations of intercellular adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1) and vascular cell adhesion molecule-1 (VCAM-1) between groups with and without cardiovascular events during a mean follow-up of 6.6 years in a group of initially healthy 58-year-old men. A further aim was to examine if high serum concentrations of ICAM-1 and VCAM-1 were associated with carotid and femoral artery plaque occurrence, separately. Men with cardiovascular events during follow-up had higher median serum ICAM-I and VCAM-I than those without events (P < .05). The median of serum ICAM-I and VCAM-1 in the event group was used as the cutoff level, and in those with ICAM-1 and VCAM-1 above the cutoff value, there was an increased risk of having a plaque in the femoral artery (OR = 2.8, 95% CI = 1.8-4.3; and OR = 1.6, 95% CI = 1.1-2.5, respectively).

Circulating C-reactive protein (CRP), reflective of systemic chronic low-grade inflammation, is a marker associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD). One of the mechanisms through which physical activity might promote cardiovascular health is by preventing changes in inflammation biomarkers, such as CRP. The present study examined the association of self-reported physical activity with an inflammation biomarker, high-sensitivity CRP (hs-CRP), in a population-based cohort of clinically healthy 58-year-old men. Compared with a sedentary lifestyle both moderate (1.81 [0.94-3.69] vs 1.28 [0.55-2.90] mg/L; P < .05) and vigorous physical activity (1.81 [0.94-3.69] vs 0.88 [0.42-1.81] mg/L; P < .001) were associated with decrease in hs-CRP levels. In summary, we identified an association between self-reported leisure time physical activity and hs-CRP in a cross-sectional study of healthy 58-year-old men, with decreased levels of CRP by increased intensities of physical activity.

Self-efficacy has been determined to be a strong predictor of who will engage in physical activity. We aimed to evaluate the associations between self-efficacy to perform physical activity, self-reported leisure-time physical activity and cardiovascular events in a population-based cohort of middle-aged Swedish men with no previous cardiovascular disease, or treatment with cardiovascular drugs. Analyses are based on 377 men randomly selected and stratified for weight and insulin sensitivity from a population sample of 58-year-old men (n = 1728) and who had answered a question about their competence to perform exercise (as an assessment of physical self-efficacy). The Saltin-Grimby Physical Activity Level Scale was used to assess self-reported levels of leisure-time physical activity. Cardiovascular events were recorded during 13-years of follow-up. The group with poor self-efficacy to perform physical activity had a significantly higher incidence of cardiovascular events compared with the group with good physical self-efficacy (32.1 % vs 17.1 %, p < 0.01). Multivariate analyses showed that poor physical self-efficacy was associated with an increased relative risk of 2.0 (95 % CI 1.2 to 3.0), of having a cardiovascular event during follow-up also after adjustments for co-variates such as waist to hip ratio, heart rate, fasting plasma glucose, serum triglycerides, systolic blood pressure, apoB/apoA-I ratio and leisure-time physical activity. Self-efficacy to perform physical activity was strongly and independently associated with cardiovascular events and was superior to self-assessed physical activity in predicting cardiovascular events during 13-years of follow-up in a group of middle-aged men, without known CVD or treatment with cardiovascular drugs.

Background: The metabolic syndrome is a global health problem and is associated with subsequent development of cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, data are scarce concerning prospective association of the syndrome and CVD in populations free of diabetes and previous CVD that also is free of all cardiovascular drugs. The aim of this study was to assess the risk of cardiovascular events due to the metabolic syndrome in a population-based cohort of initially healthy, low-risk, and medication-free 58-year-old Swedish men during 13-years of follow-up. Methods: From a total population sample of 1728 subjects, a stratified and randomly selected group of 391 subjects was included. The metabolic syndrome was defined according to the National Cholesterol Education Program. Cardiovascular events and cause of death were investigated by contact with the Centre of Epidemiology at the National Board of Health and Welfare. Results: The metabolic syndrome increased the risk of cardiovascular events with a hazard ratio of 2.1 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.3–3.4], P=0.003. When adjusted for the factors of leisure-time physical activity, smoking habits, alcohol intake, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), the hazard ratio was 2.0 (95% CI 1.1–3.4), P=0.016. Conclusion: In a 13-year follow-up in initially healthy men, the metabolic syndrome increases the risk of cardiovascular events by two-fold. This risk was maintained also after adjustment for lifestyle factors.