The emerald ash borer (EAB) is rapidly spreading throughout eastern North America and devastating ecosystems where ash is a component tree. This rapid and sustained loss of ash trees has already resulted in ecological impacts on both terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems and is projected to be even more severe as EAB invades black ash-dominated wetlands of the western Great Lakes region. Using two companion studies that are simulating short- and long-term EAB infestations and what is known from the literature, we synthesize our current limited understanding and predict anticipated future impacts of EAB on black ash wetlands. A key response to the die-back of mature black ash will be higher water tables and the potential for flooding and resulting changes to both the vegetation and animal communities. Although seedling planting studies have shown some possible replacement species, little is known about how the removal of black ash from the canopy will affect non-ash species growth and regeneration. Because black ash litter is relatively high in nitrogen, it is expected that there will be important changes in nutrient and carbon cycling and subsequent rates of productivity and decomposition. Changes in hydrology and nutrient and carbon cycling will have cascading effects on the biological community which have been scarcely studied. Research to address these important gaps is currently underway and should lead to alternatives to mitigate the effects of EAB on black ash wetland forests and develop management options pre- and post-EAB invasion.

Rainfall thresholds for streamflow generation are commonly mentioned in the literature, but studies rarely include methods for quantifying and comparing thresholds. This paper quantifies thresholds in ephemeral streams and evaluates how they are affected by rainfall and watershed properties. The study sites are in southern Arizona, USA; one is hyperarid and the other is semiarid. At both sites rainfall and streamflow were monitored in watersheds ranging from 10⁻³ to 10² km². Streams flowed an average of 0–5 times per year in hyperarid watersheds and 3–11 times per year in semiarid watersheds. Although hyperarid sites had fewer flow events, their flow frequency (fraction of rain events causing flow) was higher than in semiarid sites for small (<1 km²) watersheds. At both locations flow frequency decreased with drainage area, but the decrease was steeper in hyperarid watersheds. Watershed mean 60‐min intensity thresholds ranged from 3–13 mm/hr in hyperarid watersheds and 7–16 mm/hr in semiarid watersheds. Higher runoff thresholds and lower flow frequencies in small semiarid watersheds likely relate to greater ground cover and soil development compared to the desert pavement and bedrock surfaces in hyperarid sites. The choice of rain data strongly influenced threshold values; single rain gauges were only adequate for threshold prediction in <1‐km² watersheds, and incomplete rainfall data led to increases in thresholds with drainage area. We recommend using mean rainfall intensity over the drainage area for threshold analysis because this reduces apparent scale dependence in thresholds caused by incomplete rainfall information.