In the CARMENA (Cancer du Rein Metastatique Nephrectomie et Antiangiogéniques) trial, Méjean et al. (Aug. 2 issue)
1 determine the noninferiority of sunitinib alone, as compared with nephrectomy followed by sunitinib, on the basis of the observation that the 95% confidence interval for the hazard ratio of death did not exceed 1.20 (the noninferiority margin for the trial). This conclusion was derived from the second interim analysis, in which a criterion for statistical significance was defined according to the O’Brien–Fleming boundary; this boundary was not met, but the trial was terminated early because of slow enrollment. The confidence limits of the confidence interval should have accordingly corresponded to the O’Brien–Fleming boundary, instead of the usual 95% confidence interval, and the resulting confidence interval did exceed 1.20. It is sometimes necessary to end clinical trials at an interim analysis regardless of whether they have satisfied a rigorous statistical criterion, and we believe that this is the case with the CARMENA trial. It is therefore important to clarify whether the result at the interim analysis was significant at a type I error with adjustment for multiple comparisons or was premature but sufficient to meet the objectives of the trial.