Sam Dulin

Mr. Sam Dulin

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

5Years (2022-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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12 February 2025 in Environments
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
KKKatarzyna Klasa
Katarzyna Klasa
BTBenjamin D. Trump
Benjamin D. Trump
SDSam Dulin
Sam Dulin
MSMadison Smith
Madison Smith
HJHolly Jarman
Holly Jarman
Igor LinkovIgor Linkov
Igor Linkov
Compound threats—two or more relatively rare and high-consequence events that co-occur in time and space, amplifying their effects—present difficult-to-predict events that can impose potentially grave consequences. While there has been increasing attention placed on modeling the probabilities and outcomes of compounding threats, there are no proposed governance models for compound threats, limiting the ability of policymakers and decisionmakers to manage such crises in the future. We visualize resilience for compound threats to understand how critical functioning and system utility to contain hazards, to absorb losses, and to recover from stressors shifts over time. Using North Carolina as a case study, we conduct a compound threats assessment for disaster risk to showcase its effectiveness in more accurately predicting disaster risk areas, as well highlight the limitations of existing risk models used by policymakers. We propose a resilience-augmented conceptual framework to rethink risk governance for compound threats that allows for speed (specifically flexibility and adaptability) in situations of high uncertainty while working within the rigid, slow-moving boundaries of government and bureaucracy. Finally, we discuss strategies for key actors to apply a resilience-augmented governance approach to compound threats into operational decision-making during crisis situations.

1 March 2022 in International Journal of Mechanical Sciences
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
SDSam Dulin
Sam Dulin
KLKailee Lin
Kailee Lin
LSLarissa Serdukova
Larissa Serdukova
RKRachel Kuske
Rachel Kuske
DYDaniil Yurchenko
Daniil Yurchenko

3 November 2025 in Nature Communications
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
SDSam Dulin
Sam Dulin
SMStergios-Aristoteles Mitoulis
Stergios-Aristoteles Mitoulis
ABAlexandre Bredikhin
Alexandre Bredikhin
ETEric Treyz
Eric Treyz
BLBilly Leung
Billy Leung
Igor LinkovIgor Linkov
Igor Linkov
Bridge design typically uses load-based design criteria focused on risk thresholds from engineering practice and standards, overlooking cascading effects on connected infrastructure and regional economies. We argue for a systems-based design that balances risk reduction with resilience — the capacity to recover from disruptions. Using the Francis Scott Key Bridge collapse as a case study, we estimate economic impacts assuming impact on local transportation networks only as well as integrating cascading failures on surrounding infrastructure (e.g., closure of the Port of Baltimore), employing the regional economic model TranSight. Results show combined bridge-and-port disruptions produce substantially larger losses in GDP, employment, disposable income, and labor force, with some indicators not recovering until 2040. The Baltimore region exhibits lower resilience to compounding shocks, highlighting the need for a resilience-based framework that considers interconnected infrastructure. We conclude infrastructure design must move beyond component-focused risk criteria toward an explicit, quantifiable resilience framework.

26 August 2025 in Journal of Building Engineering
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
SDSam Dulin
Sam Dulin
MKMargaret Kurth
Margaret Kurth
TBTrevor Betz
Trevor Betz
JRJoanna Robaszewski
Joanna Robaszewski
MGMichael Grussing
Michael Grussing
ILIgor Linkov
Igor Linkov

1 December 2024 in Journal of Performance of Constructed Facilities
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
SDSam Dulin
Sam Dulin
TBTrevor Betz
Trevor Betz
LBLouis Bartels
Louis Bartels
MGMichael Grussing
Michael Grussing