Underground metal mines operated using the natural caving method often result in significant surface collapses. Key parameters such as settlement magnitude, settlement rate, settlement extent, and the influence of underground mining on surface deformation warrant serious attention. However, due to the long operational timespan of mines and incomplete data from early collapse events, coupled with the inaccessibility of collapse zones for field measurements, it is challenging to obtain accurate displacement data, thereby posing significant difficulties for follow-up research. This study employs small baseline subset InSAR (SBAS-InSAR) technology to retrieve time series data on early-stage surface displacement and deformation rates in collapse areas, thereby compensating for the lack of historical data and eliminating the safety risks associated with on-site measurements. The 5th percentile of settlement rates across all monitoring points is used to define the severe settlement threshold, determined to be −42.1 mm/year. Continuous wavelet transform (CWT) is applied to calculate the time-series power spectrum, allowing the analysis of long-term stable and periodic settlement patterns in the collapse area. The instantaneous change rate at each point in the study area is identified. Using the 97th percentile of change rates in the time series, the number of severe change events at each point is determined. High-incidence zones of sudden surface deformation are visualized through QGIS 3.16 heat map clustering. The high-risk collapse area, identified by integrating both long-term stable settlement and sudden surface deformation patterns, accounts for multiple deformation modes. This provides robust technical support for the management of mine collapse zones and offers important theoretical guidance.
Mining activities in Pakistan’s mineral-rich provinces threaten freshwater security through groundwater depletion, contamination, and flood-induced pollution. This study develops an Inclusive Disaster Risk Reduction (IDRR) framework integrating governance, social, environmental, and technical (GSET) dimensions to holistically assess mining-induced water hazards across Balochistan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and Punjab. Using GIS-based spatial risk mapping with multi-layer hydrological modeling, we combine computational analysis and participatory validation to identify vulnerability hotspots and prioritize high-risk mines. Community workshops involving women water collectors, indigenous leaders, and local experts enhanced map accuracy by translating indigenous knowledge into spatially referenced mitigation plans and integrating gender-sensitive metrics to address gendered water access disparities. Key findings reveal severe groundwater depletion, acid mine drainage, and gendered burdens near Saindak and Cherat mines. Multi-sectoral engagements secured corporate commitments for water stewardship and policy advances in inclusive governance. The framework employs four priority-ranked risk categories (Governance-Economic 15%, Social-Community 30%, Environmental 40%, Technical-Geological 15%) derived via local stakeholder collaboration, enabling context-specific interventions. Despite data limitations, the GIS-driven methodology provides a scalable model for regions facing socio-environmental vulnerabilities. The results demonstrate how community participation directly shaped village-level water management alongside GSET analysis to craft equitable risk reduction strategies. Spatially explicit risk maps guided infrastructure upgrades and zoning regulations, advancing SDG 6 and 13 progress in Pakistan. This work underscores the value of inclusive, weighted frameworks for sustainable mining–water nexus management in Pakistan and analogous contexts.
Slope stability and landslide analysis in open-pit mines present significant engineering challenges due to the complexity of predisposing factors. The Sijiaying Iron Mine has an annual production capacity of 21 million tons, with a mining depth reaching 330 m. Numerous small-scale landslides have occurred in the shallow areas. This study identifies four key factors contributing to landslides: topography, engineering geology, ecological environment, and mining engineering. These factors encompass both microscopic and macroscopic geological aspects and temporal surface displacement rates. Data are extracted using ArcGIS Pro 3.0.2 based on slope units, with categorical data encoded via LabelEncoder. Multivariate polynomial expansion is applied for data coupling, and SMOTENC–TomekLinks is used for resampling landslide samples. A landslide sensitivity model is developed using the LightGBM algorithm, and SHAP is applied to interpret the model and assess the impact of each factor on landslide likelihood. The primary sliding factors at Sijiaying mine include distance from rivers, slope height, profile curvature, rock structure, and distance from faults. Safety thresholds for each factor are determined. This method also provides insights for global and individual slope risk assessment, generating high-risk factor maps to aid in managing and preventing slope instability in open-pit mines.