The BCL2 inhibitor venetoclax (VEN) in combination with azacitidine (5-AZA) is currently transforming acute myeloid leukemia (AML) therapy. However, there is a lack of clinically relevant biomarkers that predict response to 5-AZA/VEN. Here, we integrated transcriptomic, proteomic, functional, and clinical data to identify predictors of 5-AZA/VEN response. Although cultured monocytic AML cells displayed upfront resistance, monocytic differentiation was not clinically predictive in our patient cohort. We identified leukemic stem cells (LSC) as primary targets of 5-AZA/VEN whose elimination determined the therapy outcome. LSCs of 5-AZA/VEN-refractory patients displayed perturbed apoptotic dependencies. We developed and validated a flow cytometry-based “Mediators of apoptosis combinatorial score” (MAC-Score) linking the ratio of protein expression of BCL2, BCL-xL, and MCL1 in LSCs. MAC scoring predicts initial response with a positive predictive value of more than 97% associated with increased event-free survival. In summary, combinatorial levels of BCL2 family members in AML-LSCs are a key denominator of response, and MAC scoring reliably predicts patient response to 5-AZA/VEN. Significance: Venetoclax/azacitidine treatment has become an alternative to standard chemotherapy for patients with AML. However, prediction of response to treatment is hampered by the lack of clinically useful biomarkers. Here, we present easy-to-implement MAC scoring in LSCs as a novel strategy to predict treatment response and facilitate clinical decision-making. This article is highlighted in the In This Issue feature, p. 1275

Venetoclax/azacitidine combination therapy is effective in acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and tolerable for older, multimorbid patients. Despite promising response rates, many patients do not achieve sustained remission or are upfront refractory. Identification of resistance mechanisms and additional therapeutic targets represent unmet clinical needs. By using a genome-wide CRISPR/Cas9 library screen targeting 18,053 protein- coding genes in a human AML cell line, various genes conferring resistance to combined venetoclax/azacitidine treatment were identified. The ribosomal protein S6 kinase A1 (RPS6KA1) was among the most significantly depleted sgRNA-genes in venetoclax/azacitidine- treated AML cells. Addition of the RPS6KA1 inhibitor BI-D1870 to venetoclax/azacitidine decreased proliferation and colony forming potential compared to venetoclax/azacitidine alone. Furthermore, BI-D1870 was able to completely restore the sensitivity of OCI-AML2 cells with acquired resistance to venetoclax/azacitidine. Analysis of cell surface markers revealed that RPS6KA1 inhibition efficiently targeted monocytic blast subclones as a potential source of relapse upon venetoclax/azacitidine treatment. Taken together, our results suggest RPS6KA1 as mediator of resistance towards venetoclax/azacitidine and additional RPS6KA1 inhibition as strategy to prevent or overcome resistance.

MAC-Score predict response within mutational subgroups

Bcl-2 family gene expression in LSCs predicts in vitro response to HMA/VEN

Comparison of MAC-Score and BH-3 profiling based response prediction

Subpopulation specific Bcl-2 family levels and response to HMA/Venetoclax