The electrification of the transport sector together with large renewable energy deployment requires powerful tools to efficiently use energy assets and infrastructure. In this framework, the forecast of electric vehicle demand and solar photovoltaic (PV) generation plays a fundamental role. This paper studies the impact of forecast accuracy on total electric cost of a simulated electric vehicles (EVs) charging station coupled with true solar PV and stationary battery energy storage. The optimal energy management system is based on the rolling horizon approach implemented in with a mixed integer linear program which takes as input the EV load forecast using long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network and persistence approaches and PV production forecast using a physical hybrid artificial neural network. The energy management system is firstly deployed and validated on an existing multi-good microgrid by achieving a discrepancy of state variables below 10% with respect to offline simulations. Then, eight weeks of simulations from each of the four seasons show that the accuracy of the forecast can increase operational costs by 10% equally distributed between the PV and EV forecasts. Finally, the accuracy of the combined PV and EV forecast matters more than single accuracies: LSTM outperforms persistence to predict the EV load (−30% root mean squared error), though when combined with PV forecast it has higher error (+15%) with corresponding higher operational costs (up to 5%).
The increasing adoption of intermittent renewable energy sources and electric vehicles in households necessitates effective energy management systems (EMS) in the residential sector. This study quantifies the economic benefits of using a state-of-the-art EMS for optimally controlling a grid-connected smart home, which includes PV panels, a battery, and an EV charging station with either monodirectional or bidirectional charging modes. The EMS uses a two-layer approach: the first layer handles strategic decisions with day-ahead forecasts and solving a mixed-integer linear program (MILP) model; the second layer manages the real-time control decisions based on a heuristic strategy. Tested on 396 real-world case studies (based on measured data) with varying user types and energy systems (different PV plant sizes, with or without BESS, and different EV charging modes), different EV models, and weekly commutes, the results demonstrate the EMS’s cost-effectiveness compared to current non-predictive heuristic strategies. Annual cost savings exceed 20% in all cases and reach up to 900 €/year for configurations with large (6 kW) PV plants. Additionally, while installing a battery is not economically advantageous, bidirectional EV chargers yield 10–15% additional savings compared to monodirectional chargers, increasing with more weekly remote working days.