Background: Although there is cross-sectional evidence that changes in the immune system contribute to the pathophysiology of depression, longitudinal data capable of elucidating cause and effect relationships are lacking.Aims: We aimed to determine whether subclinical systemic inflammation, as measured by serum high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP) concentration, is associated with an increased risk of de novo major depressive disorder.Method: Major depressive disorder was diagnosed using a clinical interview (SCID–I/NP). This is a retrospective cohort study; from a population-based sample of 1494 randomly selected women recruited at baseline during the period 1994–7, 822 were followed for a decade and provided measures of both exposure and outcome. Of these women, 644 (aged 20–84 years) had no prior history of depression at baseline and were eligible for analysis.Results: During 5827 person-years of follow-up, 48 cases of de novo major depressive disorder were identified. The hazard ratio (HR) for depression increased by 44% for each standard deviation increase in log-transformed hsCRP (ln-hsCRP) (HR = 1.44, 95% CI 1.04–1.99), after adjusting for weight, smoking and use of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs. Further adjustment for other lifestyle factors, medications and comorbidity failed to explain the observed increased risk for depression.Conclusions: Serum hsCRP is an independent risk marker for de novo major depressive disorder in women. This supports an aetiological role for inflammatory activity in the pathophysiology of depression.

In this population-based study, seasonal periodicity was seen with reduced serum vitamin D, increased serum PTH, and increased bone resorption in winter. This was associated with an increased proportion of falls resulting in fracture and an increased risk of wrist and hip fractures. Introduction: In a population of women who reside in a temperate climate and do not generally receive dietary vitamin D supplementation, we investigated whether seasonal vitamin D insufficiency is associated with increased risk of fracture. Materials and Methods: An observational, cross-sectional, population-based study set in southeastern Australia (latitude 38–39° S). Participants were drawn from a well-defined community of 27,203 women ≥55 years old: 287 randomly selected from electoral rolls, 1635 with incident fractures, and 1358 presenting to a university hospital with falls. The main outcome measures were annual periodicities of ultraviolet radiation, serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D], serum parathyroid hormone (PTH), serum C-telopeptide (CTx), BMD, falls, and fractures. Results: Cyclic variations in serum 25(OH)D lagged 1 month behind ultraviolet radiation, peaking in summer and dipping in winter (p < 0.001). Periodicity of serum PTH was the inverse of serum 25(OH)D, with a phase shift delay of 1 month (p = 0.004). Peak serum CTx lagged peak serum PTH by 1–2 months. In late winter, a greater proportion of falls resulted in fracture (p < 0.001). Seasonal periodicity in 439 hip and 307 wrist fractures also followed a simple harmonic model (p = 0.078 and 0.002, respectively), peaking 1.5–3 months after the trough in 25(OH)D. Conclusions: A fall in 25(OH)D in winter is accompanied by increases in (1) PTH levels, (2) bone resorption, (3) the proportion of falls resulting in fracture, and (4) the frequency of hip and wrist fracture. Whether vitamin D supplementation in winter can reduce the population burden of fractures requires further investigation.

Procalcitonin measurement has been claimed as a helpful marker in bacterial infection and sepsis. It has obtained FDA approval and is now widely marketed in the United States and Europe. This review summarises the current assays available, the evidence for its use and possible future applications of the assay.

To the Editor: Reduced bone mass and increased risk of fracture have been associated with inflammatory diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis, inflammatory bowel

Atherosclerosis is a major cause of mortality and morbidity, which is mainly driven by complications such as myocardial infarction and stroke. These complications are caused by thrombotic arterial occlusion localized at the site of high-risk atherosclerotic plaques, of which early detection and therapeutic stabilization are urgently needed. Here we show that near-infrared autofluorescence is associated with the presence of intraplaque hemorrhage and heme degradation products, particularly bilirubin by using our recently created mouse model, which uniquely reflects plaque instability as seen in humans, and human carotid endarterectomy samples. Fluorescence emission computed tomography detecting near-infrared autofluorescence allows in vivo monitoring of intraplaque hemorrhage, establishing a preclinical technology to assess and monitor plaque instability and thereby test potential plaque-stabilizing drugs. We suggest that near-infrared autofluorescence imaging is a novel technology that allows identification of atherosclerotic plaques with intraplaque hemorrhage and ultimately holds promise for detection of high-risk plaques in patients.

Background—: Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFPEF) is a common and increasing public health problem. Myocardial fibrosis is a key pathological feature of HFPEF. Peripheral collagen markers may reflect this excess fibrosis; however, the relation of these markers to prognosis in patients with HFPEF has not as yet been determined. Methods and Results—: This substudy of the Irbesartan in Heart Failure With Preserved Systolic Function (I-PRESERVE) trial measured plasma levels of procollagen type I amino-terminal peptide, procollagen type III amino-terminal peptide, and osteopontin in 334 patients with HFPEF. Measurements were performed at baseline and 6 months after randomization to placebo or irbesartan 300 mg/day. The relation of baseline collagen markers to the I-PRESERVE primary end point (all-cause death and hospitalization for prespecified cardiovascular causes) was evaluated by single and multivariable analysis. Similar evaluations were performed for all-cause death alone as well as heart failure events (death or hospitalization because of heart failure). Increased plasma levels of collagen markers at baseline were associated with increased frequency of the study primary end point for all collagen markers. For each 10-μg/L increase in procollagen type I amino-terminal peptide, the hazard ratio (HR) for the primary end point was 1.09 (95% CI, 1.052 to 1.13; P <0.0001); for each 10-μg/L increase in procollagen type III amino-terminal peptide procollagen type I amino-terminal peptide, the HR was 2.47 (95% CI, 0.97 to 6.33; P =0.059); and for each 10-nmol/L increase in osteopontin, the HR was 1.084 (95% CI, 1.026 to 1.15; P =0.004). No variable remained significant as an independent predictor when introduced into a multivariable model. Both treatment groups tended to reduce collagen markers, with the reduction significantly greater for placebo versus irbesartan for procollagen type III amino-terminal peptide only ( P =0.0185). Conclusions—: Increased peripheral collagen turnover markers were not independently associated with increased mortality and cardiovascular hospitalization in an HFPEF population on multivariable analysis but were associated on single-variable analysis. These findings provide some support to the hypothesis that pathological fibrosis in the heart, and possibly the peripheral vasculature, may be contributory to adverse clinical outcomes in patients with HFPEF. Clinical Trial Registration—: URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier: NCT00095238.