The study of vegetation phenology changes is important because it is a sensitive indicator of climate change, affecting the exchange of carbon, energy and water fluxes between the land and the atmosphere. Previous studies have focused on the effects of climatic factors among environmental factors on vegetation phenology, thus the effects of non-climatic factors among environmental factors have not been well quantified. This study endeavors to scrutinize the spatiotemporal inconsistency in the start-of-season (SOS) and the end-of-season (EOS) on the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and to quantify the effects of environmental factors on phenology. To this end, the Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiomater (MODIS) Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) data from 2001 to 2018 and four common used methods were employed to extract SOS and EOS, and the site data was used to select the most appropriate phenology results. The Geodetector model was used to assess and measure the explanatory power of different environmental factors. The research results indicate that temperature exerts a more substantial impact on phenology than precipitation on TP. non-climatic factors such as longitude, latitude, and elevation are more influential in determining the distribution of phenological trends than climatic factors. Among these non-climatic factors, latitude has the most prominent effect on the trends of SOS. Furthermore, non-climatic factors exhibit a stronger effect on SOS, whereas EOS is more susceptible to climatic factors and less influenced by non-climatic factors. These discoveries bear great significance in comprehending the intricate outcomes of regional changes on vegetation phenology and enhancing phenology models.
Noxious weeds (NWs) are increasingly recognized as a significant threat to the native alpine grassland ecosystems of the Qinghai–Tibetan Plateau (QTP). However, large-scale quantification of their continuous fractional cover remains challenging. This study proposes a pixel-level estimation framework utilizing time-series Sentinel-2 imagery. A Dynamic Mask Non-Stationary Transformer (DMNST) model was developed and trained using multi-temporal multispectral data to map the spatial distribution of NWs in the Three-River Headwaters Region. The model was calibrated and validated using field data collected from 170 plots (1530 quadrats). The results demonstrated that both the dynamic masking module and the non-stationary normalization significantly enhanced the prediction accuracy and robustness, particularly when applied jointly. The model performance varied across different combinations of spectral bands and temporal inputs, with the optimal configurations achieving a test R2 of 0.770, MSE of 0.009, and RMSE of 0.096. These findings underscore the critical role of the input configuration and architectural enhancements in accurately modeling the fractional cover of NWs. This study confirms the applicability of Sentinel-2 time-series imagery for modeling the continuous fractional cover of NWs and provides a scalable tool for invasive species monitoring and ecological risk assessment in alpine ecosystems.