Yongho Ko

Mr. Yongho Ko


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

5Years (2022-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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4 July 2022 in Sustainability
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
HKHyeonho Kim
Hyeonho Kim
YKYujin Kim
Yujin Kim
YKYongho Ko
Yongho Ko
SHSeungwoo Han
Seungwoo Han
Research related to the carbon-emission credit-price prediction model has only considered the effects of specific indicators, such as coal and oil prices, and only long-term prediction studies have been conducted. Recently, carbon emission credits have been recognized as investment assets, such as stocks and real estate. Accordingly, a carbon-emission credit prediction method is needed to establish an industrial strategy with low risk. In this study, an attempt was made to model the behavior of market participants in the time series model by analyzing the correlation between the search query volume data and the Korean Allowance Unit (KAU). Multiple Linear Regression Analysis (MRA) and Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average models were developed. In all price prediction models, the error of the prediction model at the 4th time was low. In the case of MRA, the error in the predicted near future price was small, but the error rate increased with increasing analysis period and prediction time. The error rate of ARIMA was lower than that of MRA, but it did not show a rapid change. These research findings will be beneficial to investigating and finding more rigid and reliable methodologies that can be used to predict various important values in similar fields in the future.