Brazil’s status as a rapidly developing country is visible in its need for more energy, including electricity. While the current electricity generation mix is primarily hydropower based, high-quality dam sites are diminishing and diversification to other sources is likely. We combined life-cycle data for electricity production with scenarios developed using the IAEA’s MESSAGE model to examine environmental impacts of future electricity generation under a baseline case and four side cases, using a Monte-Carlo approach to incorporate uncertainty in power plant performance and LCA impacts. Our results show that, under the cost-optimal base case scenario, Brazil’s GHGs from electricity (excluding hydroelectric reservoir emissions) rise 370% by 2040 relative to 2010, with the carbon intensity per MWh rising 100%. This rise would make Brazil’s carbon emissions targets difficult to meet without demand-side programs. Our results show a future electricity mix dominated by environmental tradeoffs in the use of large-scale renewables, questioning the use tropical hydropower and highlighting the need for additional work to assess and include ecosystem and social impacts, where information is currently sparse.

As part of a streetlight-retrofitting project in Pittsburgh, this study performed a cradle-to-grave life-cycle assessment of four lighting technologies: the widespread high-pressure sodium and metal halide lights, and the newer and more efficient induction and light-emitting-diode technologies. The study used a hybrid life-cycle-assessment approach to build life-cycle models for the various technologies, including manufacturing and installation data for process models and energy supply and input-output data to complete life-cycle models. Three different electricity scenarios were used to examine the sensitivity of the impacts to changes in energy supply: the United States average mix, the regional mix for the ReliabilityFirst Corporation region, and a scenario with 100% wind power. The results show that for all technologies, the impacts of electricity in the use phase dominates the results. Because of their lower wattage, light-emitting diode (LED) and induction technology perform favorably and similarly....