This study suggests a hybrid approach that combines improved feature selection and intelligent diagnosis to increase the operational safety and intelligent diagnosis capabilities of hydropower units. In order to handle the vibration data, complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) is used initially. A novel comprehensive index is constructed by combining the Pearson correlation coefficient, mutual information (MI), and Kullback–Leibler divergence (KLD) to select intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). Next, feature extraction is performed on the selected IMFs using Refined Composite Multiscale Fluctuation Dispersion Entropy (RCMFDE). Then, time and frequency domain features are screened by calculating dispersion and combined with IMF features to build a hybrid feature vector. The vector is then fed into a CNN-GRU-Attention model for intelligent diagnosis. The improved slime mold algorithm (ISMA) is employed for the first time to optimize the hyperparameters of the CNN-GRU-Attention model. The experimental results show that the classification accuracy reaches 96.79% for raw signals and 93.33% for noisy signals, significantly outperforming traditional methods. This study incorporates entropy-based feature extraction, combines hyperparameter optimization with the classification model, and addresses the limitations of single feature selection methods for non-stationary and nonlinear signals. The proposed approach provides an excellent solution for intelligent optimized diagnosis of hydropower units.

Accurate prediction of effluent total nitrogen (TN) is important for early exceedance warning and operational control in wastewater treatment plants. Existing decomposition-based models may overestimate performance when full-series decomposition is performed before data splitting, causing potential temporal information leakage. To address this issue, this study compares noncausal and strictly causal Improved Complete Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition with Adaptive Noise combined with Long Short-Term Memory (ICEEMDAN-LSTM) and Variational Mode Decomposition–Long Short-Term Memory network (VMD-LSTM) settings, and proposes a Level–Trend Persistence-Residual LSTM (LT-PR-LSTM) for univariate effluent TN prediction. The model uses Persistence as the short-term state baseline, extracts level features from historical TN, and introduces first- and second-order differences to learn residual corrections relative to the current state. Multi-model comparison, ablation experiments, stability tests, SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) interpretation, supplementary dataset validation, and efficiency analysis were conducted. Results show that noncausal decomposition inflates predictive performance. LT-PR-LSTM achieves the best main-test performance, with RMSE 1.1273, MAE 0.6082, MAPE 7.5455%, and $R^2$ 0.8512, reducing RMSE, MAE, and MAPE by 6.73%, 7.64%, and 8.56% compared with Persistence. SHAP identifies $TN(t-2h)$ as the dominant predictor, and the model requires only 0.5348 ms/sample, indicating potential for online TN early warning.

Photovoltaic (PV) power exhibits high variability and non-stationarity due to irradiance fluctuations, cloud shading, and seasonal changes, which complicate ultra-short-term multi-step forecasting. This study proposes a Solar-Historical Prior Network (SHPNet) for forecasting at 5 min resolution. SHPNet integrates a solar-geometry clear-sky prior-guided temporal convolutional network (SGCP-TCN), a similar historical window (SHW) branch, and horizon-wise adaptive fusion (HA). SGCP-TCN estimates clear-sky power potential from site coordinates and timestamps and reformulates direct power prediction as clear-sky power ratio forecasting. SHW retrieves training windows from the same intra-day time slot that exhibit similar power–irradiance evolution, thereby constructing a non-parametric historical prior, while HA determines horizon-specific fusion weights based on validation errors. Unlike purely data-driven predictors and conventional similar-day methods, SHPNet combines a physically interpretable power scale with input-window-level historical evolution patterns and adaptively balances the two priors across forecasting horizons. Across the two sites, SHPNet reduced the mean MAE and RMSE by 14.07% and 10.26%, respectively, compared with the original TCN, while increasing the mean R² from 0.8279 to 0.8613. Evaluations under different weather conditions and across seasons demonstrate consistent forecasting performance, while convergence analysis confirms stable training behavior.

Climate change and rapid urbanization increasingly threaten water security in large river basins, yet existing assessments often fail to capture the multi-scale interactions between hydroclimatic extremes and human activities. To address this gap, we developed an integrated framework combining risk assessment, multi-method driver diagnosis (Geodetector, Multi-Scale Geographically Weighted Regression (MGWR), and Structural Equation Modeling (SEM)), and Zoned Management. Using a landscape-derived Ecological Risk Index (ERI) as a proxy indicator of runoff and non-point source potential, based on established empirical linkages between landscape metrics and hydrological processes, we applied the framework to three major urban agglomerations in the Yangtze River Basin from 2000 to 2020. Our results reveal three distinct risk mechanisms: in the Chengdu–Chongqing area (CYUA), a 165.8% increase in impervious surfaces drives altered runoff; in the Middle Reaches (MRC), the q-value of the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) rose from 0.017 in 2000 to 0.146 in 2020, corresponding to a 759% relative increase. Although the absolute q-value of SPI remains moderate at around 0.15, its rapid rise suggests increasing hydrological sensitivity of the MRC’s river–lake system to precipitation extremes; in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD), socioeconomic activities exert overriding pressure. Based on these diagnostics, we propose tailored strategies for water environment management, adaptive planning, and disaster mitigation. This framework offers a scientific basis for differentiated water governance in large river basins facing coupled anthropogenic and hydroclimatic pressures.