Germano Correa Silva de Carvalho

Mr. Germano Correa Silva de Carvalho


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

2Years (2025-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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18 June 2025 in Future Internet
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
Sikha BaguiSikha Bagui
Sikha Bagui
GCGermano Correa Silva de Carvalho
Germano Correa Silva de Carvalho
AMAsmi Mishra
Asmi Mishra
DMDustin Mink
Dustin Mink
SBSubhash Bagui
Subhash Bagui
SEStephanie Eager
Stephanie Eager
In an era marked by the rapid growth of the Internet of Things (IoT), network security has become increasingly critical. Traditional Intrusion Detection Systems, particularly signature-based methods, struggle to identify evolving cyber threats such as Advanced Persistent Threats (APTs)and zero-day attacks. Such threats or attacks go undetected with supervised machine-learning methods. In this paper, we apply K-means clustering, an unsupervised clustering technique, to a newly created modern network attack dataset, UWF-ZeekDataFall22. Since this dataset contains labeled Zeek logs, the dataset was de-labeled before using this data for K-means clustering. The labeled data, however, was used in the evaluation phase, to determine the attack clusters post-clustering. In order to identify APTs as well as zero-day attack clusters, three different labeling heuristics were evaluated to determine the attack clusters. To address the challenges faced by Big Data, the Big Data framework, that is, Apache Spark and PySpark, were used for our development environment. In addition, the uniqueness of this work is also in using connection-based features. Using connection-based features, an in-depth study is done to determine the effect of the number of clusters, seeds, as well as features, for each of the different labeling heuristics. If the objective is to detect every single attack, the results indicate that 325 clusters with a seed of 200, using an optimal set of features, would be able to correctly place 99% of attacks.

19 February 2026 in Electronics
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
RFRaymond Freeman
Raymond Freeman
Sikha BaguiSikha Bagui
Sikha Bagui
SBSubhash Bagui
Subhash Bagui
DMDustin Mink
Dustin Mink
SCSarah Cameron
Sarah Cameron
GCGermano Correa Silva de Carvalho
Germano Correa Silva de Carvalho
Intrusion detection systems face challenges in processing high-volume network traffic while maintaining accuracy across diverse low volume attack types. This study presents a hybrid approach combining ARIMA time series forecasting with Decision Tree classification to detect attacks in Zeek network flow data labeled with MITRE ATT&CK tactics, leveraging PySpark for scalability. ARIMA identifies temporal anomalies which Decision Trees then classify by attack type. The ARIMA model was evaluated across 13 MITRE ATT&CK tactics, though only 7 maintained sufficient class balance for valid assessment. Results are reported at three evaluation levels: Baseline (Decision Tree only), ARIMA-DT (Decision Tree tested on ARIMA-filtered anomalies), and End-to-End (pipeline performance measured against the original test population). The hybrid model demonstrated two distinct benefits: performance improvement for detectable attacks and detection enablement for previously undetectable attacks. For high-volume attacks with existing baseline detection, ARIMA preprocessing substantially improved performance, for example, Reconnaissance achieved an ARIMA-DT F1 score of 99.71% (from a baseline of 80.88%) with End-to-End metrics confirming this improvement at 97.59% F1-score. Credential Access reached a perfect 100% precision and recall on the ARIMA-filtered subset (from a baseline recall of 7.48%); however, End-to-End evaluation revealed that ARIMA filtering removed the vast majority of Credential Access attacks, resulting in a 1.28% End-to-End F1-score—worse than the baseline F1-score of 7.41%—demonstrating that the hybrid pipeline is counterproductive for attack types whose flow characteristics closely resemble legitimate traffic. More significantly, ARIMA preprocessing enabled detection where traditional Decision Trees completely failed (0% recall) for four stealthy attack types: Defense Evasion (ARIMA-DT recall of 93.22%, End-to-End 67.83%), Discovery (ARIMA-DT recall of 100%, End-to-End 63.43%), Persistence (ARIMA-DT recall of 86.92%, End-to-End 73.38%), and Privilege Escalation (ARIMA-DT recall of 89.93%, End-to-End 64.68%). These results demonstrate that ARIMA-based statistical anomaly detection is particularly effective for attacks involving subtle, low-volume activities that blend with legitimate operations, while also improving classification accuracy for high-volume reconnaissance activities.