During the last decades photovoltaic solar energy has continuously increased its share in the electricity mix and has already surpassed 5% globally. Even though photovoltaic (PV) installations are considered to require very little maintenance, their efficient exploitation relies on accounting for certain environmental factors that affect energy generation. One of these factors is the soiling of the PV surface, which could be observed in different forms, such as dust and bird droppings. In this study, visible spectrum data and machine learning algorithms were used for the identification of soiling. A methodology for preprocessing the images is proposed, which puts focus on any soiling of the PV surface. The performance of six classification machine learning algorithms is evaluated and compared—convolutional neural network (CNN), support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), k-nearest neighbor (kNN), naïve-Bayes, and decision tree. During the training and validation phase, RF proved to be the best-performing model with an F1 score of 0.935, closely followed by SVM, CNN, and kNN. However, during the testing phase, the trained CNN achieved the highest performance, reaching F1 = 0.913. SVM closely followed it with a score of 0.895, while the other two models returned worse results. Some results from the application of the optimal model after specific weather events are also presented in this study. They confirmed once again that the trained convolutional neural network can be successfully used to evaluate the soiling state of photovoltaic surfaces.
1 June 2018 in IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science
Forecasting the energy consumption of different consumers became an important procedure with the creation of the European Electricity Market. This study presents a methodology for 24-hour ahead prediction of the energy consumption, which is suitable for application in animal husbandry facilities, such as pig farms. To achieve this, 24 individual models are trained using artificial neural networks that forecast the energy production 1 to 24 h ahead. The selected features include power consumption over the last 72 h, time-based data, average, minimum, and maximum daily temperatures, relative humidities, and wind speeds. The models’ Normalized mean absolute error (NMAE), Normalized root mean square error (NRMSE), and Mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) vary between 16.59% and 19.00%, 22.19% and 24.73%, and 9.49% and 11.49%, respectively. Furthermore, the case studies showed that in most situations, the forecasting error does not exceed 10% with several cases up to 25%. The proposed methodology can be useful for energy managers of animal farm facilities, and help them provide a better prognosis of their energy consumption for the Energy Market. The proposed methodology could be improved by selecting additional features, such as the variation of the controlled meteorological parameters over the last couple of days and the schedule of technological processes.
18 September 2014 in Springer Proceedings in Energy
Faced with the continuous increase in electricity consumption, particularly in urban areas, it is necessary to find sustainable, efficient and inexpensive energy-supply solutions. This necessarily involves the development of renewable energies which, due to their intermittency, are not always easily integrated into the electricity grid. Emerging solutions, made possible by the development of new information technologies and by changes in regulations, have emerged. Among them, collective renewable self-consumption, coupled with smart micro-grids and the development of storage, is a serious and rapidly developing candidate. The objective of this article is to present the principle of this collective self-consumption, its advantages as well as its constraints and the wide range of research that this sector opens up in the fields of energy, electrical engineering, new technologies without forgetting the sociological aspects.