Chen yuan Yu

Dr. Chen yuan Yu


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

2Years (2025-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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30 August 2025 in Applied Sciences
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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JLJingyu Li
Jingyu Li
YSYu Shi
Yu Shi
NZNa Zhang
Na Zhang
CYChen yuan Yu
Chen yuan Yu
High energy-consuming industrial parks are characterized by high base-load-to-peak-valley ratios, overlapping production cycles, and megawatt-scale step changes, which significantly complicate short-term load forecasting. To tackle these challenges, this study proposes a novel forecasting framework that combines hierarchical multimodal decomposition with a hybrid deep learning architecture. First, Maximal Information Coefficient (MIC) analysis is applied to identify key input features and eliminate redundancy. The load series is then decomposed in two stages: seasonal-trend decomposition uses the Loess (STL) isolates trend and seasonal components, while variational mode decomposition (VMD) further disaggregates the residual into multi-scale modes. This hierarchical approach enhances signal clarity and preserves temporal structure. A parallel neural architecture is subsequently developed, integrating an Informer network to model long-term trends and a bidirectional gated recurrent unit (BiGRU) to capture short-term fluctuations. Case studies based on real-world load data from a typical industrial park in northeastern China demonstrate that the proposed model achieves significantly improved forecasting accuracy and robustness compared to benchmark methods. These results provide strong technical support for fine-grained load prediction and intelligent dispatch in high energy-consuming industrial scenarios.