Miao Cai

Mr. Miao Cai

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

12Years (2015-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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30 May 2024 in Nature Medicine
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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MCMiao Cai
Miao Cai
YXYan Xie
Yan Xie
ETEric J. Topol
Eric J. Topol
ZAZiyad Al-Aly
Ziyad Al-Aly
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection causes post-acute sequelae of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) (PASC) in many organ systems. Risks of these sequelae have been characterized up to 2 years after infection, but longer-term follow-up is limited. Here we built a cohort of 135,161 people with SARS-CoV-2 infection and 5,206,835 controls from the US Department of Veterans Affairs who were followed for 3 years to estimate risks of death and PASC. Among non-hospitalized individuals, the increased risk of death was no longer present after the first year of infection, and risk of incident PASC declined over the 3 years but still contributed 9.6 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.4–18.7) disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) per 1,000 persons in the third year. Among hospitalized individuals, risk of death declined but remained significantly elevated in the third year after infection (incidence rate ratio: 1.29 (95% CI: 1.19–1.40)). Risk of incident PASC declined over the 3 years, but substantial residual risk remained in the third year, leading to 90.0 (95% CI: 55.2–124.8) DALYs per 1,000 persons. Altogether, our findings show reduction of risks over time, but the burden of mortality and health loss remains in the third year among hospitalized individuals.

9 September 2015 in BMJ Open
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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ZCZhaohui Cheng
Zhaohui Cheng
HTHongbing Tao
Hongbing Tao
MCMiao Cai
Miao Cai
HLHaifeng Lin
Haifeng Lin
XLXiaojun Lin
Xiaojun Lin
RZRu-Ning Zhang
Ru-Ning Zhang
Objectives Chinese county hospitals have been excessively enlarging their scale during the healthcare reform since 2009. The purpose of this paper is to examine the technical efficiency and productivity of county hospitals during the reform process, and to determine whether, and how, efficiency is affected by various factors. Setting and participants 114 sample county hospitals were selected from Henan province, China, from 2010 to 2012. Outcome measures Data envelopment analysis was employed to estimate the technical and scale efficiency of sample hospitals. The Malmquist index was used to calculate productivity changes over time. Tobit regression was used to regress against 4 environmental factors and 5 institutional factors that affected the technical efficiency. Results (1) 112 (98.2%), 112 (98.2%) and 104 (91.2%) of the 114 sample hospitals ran inefficiently in 2010, 2011 and 2012, with average technical efficiency of 0.697, 0.748 and 0.790, respectively. (2) On average, during 2010–2012, productivity of sample county hospitals increased by 7.8%, which was produced by the progress in technical efficiency changes and technological changes of 0.9% and 6.8%, respectively. (3) Tobit regression analysis indicated that government subsidy, hospital size with above 618 beds and average length of stay assumed a negative sign with technical efficiency; bed occupancy rate, ratio of beds to nurses and ratio of nurses to physicians assumed a positive sign with technical efficiency. Conclusions There was considerable space for technical efficiency improvement in Henan county hospitals. During 2010–2012, sample hospitals experienced productivity progress; however, the adverse change in pure technical efficiency should be emphasised. Moreover, according to the Tobit results, policy interventions that strictly supervise hospital bed scale, shorten the average length of stay and coordinate the proportion among physicians, nurses and beds, would benefit hospital efficiency.

1 September 2021 in Environment International
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
BBBenjamin Bowe
Benjamin Bowe
YXYan Xie
Yan Xie
AGAndrew K. Gibson
Andrew K. Gibson
MCMiao Cai
Miao Cai
ADAaron van Donkelaar
Aaron van Donkelaar
ZAZiyad Al-Aly
Ziyad Al-Aly
Ecologic analyses suggest that living in areas with higher levels of ambient fine particulate matter air pollution (PM2.5) is associated with higher risk of adverse COVID-19 outcomes. Studies accounting for individual-level health characteristics are lacking. We leveraged the breadth and depth of the US Department of Veterans Affairs national healthcare databases and built a national cohort of 169,102 COVID-19 positive United States Veterans, enrolled between March 2, 2020 and January 31, 2021, and followed them through February 15, 2021. Annual average 2018 PM2.5 exposure, at an approximately 1 km2 resolution, was linked with residential street address at the year prior to COVID-19 positive test. COVID-19 hospitalization was defined as first hospital admission between 7 days prior to, and 15 days after, the first COVID-19 positive date. Adjusted Poisson regression assessed the association of PM2.5 with risk of hospitalization. There were 25,422 (15.0%) hospitalizations; 5,448 (11.9%), 5,056 (13.0%), 7,159 (16.1%), and 7,759 (19.4%) were in the lowest to highest PM2.5 quartile, respectively. In models adjusted for State, demographic and behavioral factors, contextual characteristics, and characteristics of the pandemic a one interquartile range increase in PM2.5 (1.9 µg/m3) was associated with a 10% (95% CI: 8%–12%) increase in risk of hospitalization. The association of PM2.5 and risk of hospitalization among COVID-19 individuals was present in each wave of the pandemic. Models of non-linear exposure–response suggested increased risk at PM2.5 concentrations below the national standard 12 µg/m3. Formal effect modification analyses suggested higher risk of hospitalization associated with PM2.5 in Black people compared to White people (p = 0.045), and in those living in socioeconomically disadvantaged neighborhoods (p < 0.001). Exposure to higher levels of PM2.5 was associated with increased risk of hospitalization among COVID-19 infected individuals. The risk was evident at PM2.5 levels below the regulatory standards. The analysis identified those of Black race and those living in disadvantaged neighborhoods as population groups that may be more susceptible to the untoward effect of PM2.5 on risk of hospitalization in the setting of COVID-19.

13 February 2018 in Journal of Diabetes
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Journal Article
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NZNan Zhang
Nan Zhang
XHXiang Hu
Xiang Hu
QZQiao Zhang
Qiao Zhang
PBPeng Bai
Peng Bai
MCMiao Cai
Miao Cai
LCLu-Lu Chen
Lu-Lu Chen

11 November 2016 in BMJ Open
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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ZCZhaohui Cheng
Zhaohui Cheng
MCMiao Cai
Miao Cai
HTHongbing Tao
Hongbing Tao
ZHZhifei He
Zhifei He
XLXiaojun Lin
Xiaojun Lin
YZYuling Zuo
Yuling Zuo
Objective Township hospitals (THs) are important components of the three-tier rural healthcare system of China. However, the efficiency and productivity of THs have been questioned since the healthcare reform was implemented in 2009. The objective of this study is to analyse the efficiency and productivity changes in THs before and after the reform process. Setting and participants A total of 48 sample THs were selected from the Xiaogan Prefecture in Hubei Province from 2008 to 2014. Outcome measures First, bootstrapping data envelopment analysis (DEA) was performed to estimate the technical efficiency (TE), pure technical efficiency (PTE) and scale efficiency (SE) of the sample THs during the period. Second, the bootstrapping Malmquist productivity index was used to calculate the productivity changes over time. Results The average TE, PTE and SE of the sample THs over the 7-year period were 0.5147, 0.6373 and 0.7080, respectively. The average TE and PTE increased from 2008 to 2012 but declined considerably after 2012. In general, the sample THs experienced a negative shift in productivity from 2008 to 2014. The negative change was 2.14%, which was attributed to a 23.89% decrease in technological changes (TC). The sample THs experienced a positive productivity shift from 2008 to 2012 but experienced deterioration from 2012 to 2014. Conclusions There was considerable space for TE improvement in the sample THs since the average TE was relatively low. From 2008 to 2014, the sample THs experienced a decrease in productivity, and the adverse alteration in TC should be emphasised. In the context of healthcare reform, the factors that influence TE and productivity of THs are complex. Results suggest that numerous quantitative and qualitative studies are necessary to explore the reasons for the changes in TE and productivity.

14 June 2022 in Neurology
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
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MCMiao Cai
Miao Cai
SZShiyu Zhang
Shiyu Zhang
XLXiaojun Lin
Xiaojun Lin
ZQZhengmin Qian
Zhengmin Qian
SMStephen Edward McMillin
Stephen Edward McMillin
HLHualiang Lin
Hualiang Lin
Background and Objectives To characterize the association of ambient particulate matter (PM) pollution of different sizes (PM ≤1 µm in aerodynamic diameter [PM1], PM2.5, and PM10) with in-hospital case fatality among patients with stroke in China. Methods We collected hospitalizations due to stroke in 4 provinces in China from 2013 to 2019. Seven-day and annual averages of PM prior to hospitalization were estimated using bilinear interpolation and residential addresses. Associations with in-hospital case fatality were estimated using random-effects logistic regression models. Potential reducible fraction and the number of fatalities attributed to PM were estimated using a counterfactual approach. Results Among 3,109,634 stroke hospitalizations (mean age 67.23 years [SD 12.22]; 1,765,644 [56.78%] male), we identified 32,140 in-hospital stroke fatalities (case fatality rate 1.03%). Each 10 µg/m3 increase in 7-day average (short-term) exposure to PM was associated with increased in-hospital case fatality: odds ratios (ORs) were 1.058 (95% CI 1.047–1.068) for PM1, 1.037 (95% CI 1.031–1.043) for PM2.5, and 1.025 (95% CI 1.021–1.029) for PM10. Similar but larger ORs were observed for annual averages (long-term): 1.240 (95% CI 1.217–1.265) for PM1, 1.105 (95% CI 1.094–1.116) for PM2.5, and 1.090 (95% CI 1.082–1.099) for PM10. In counterfactual analyses, PM10 was associated with the largest potential reducible fraction in in-hospital case fatality (10% [95% CI 8.3–11.7] for short-term exposure and 21.1% [19.1%–23%] for long-term exposure), followed by PM1 and PM2.5. Discussion PM pollution is a risk factor for in-hospital stroke-related deaths. Strategies that target reducing PM pollution may improve the health outcomes of patients with stroke.