Background: In locoregionally advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (LANPC) patients, variance of tumor response to induction chemotherapy (ICT) was observed. We developed and validated a novel imaging biomarker to predict which patients will benefit most from additional ICT compared with chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) alone.Methods: All patients, including retrospective training (n = 254) and prospective randomized controlled validation cohorts (a substudy of NCT01245959,n = 248), received ICT+CCRT or CCRT alone. Primary endpoint was failure-free survival (FFS). From the multi-parameter magnetic resonance images of the primary tumor at baseline, 819 quantitative 2D imaging features were extracted. Selected key features (according to their interaction effect between the two treatments) were combined into an Induction Chemotherapy Outcome Score (ICTOS) with a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model using modified covariate method. Kaplan-Meier curves and significance test for treatment interaction were used to evaluate ICTOS, in both cohorts.Results: Three imaging features were selected and combined into ICTOS to predict treatment outcome for additional ICT. In the matched training cohort, patients with a high ICTOS had higher 3-year and 5-year FFS in ICT+CCRT than CCRT subgroup (69.3% vs. 45.6% for 3-year FFS, and 64.0% vs. 36.5% for 5-year FFS; HR = 0.43, 95% CI = 0.25–0.74,p = 0.002), whereas patients with a low ICTOS had no significant difference in FFS between the subgroups (p = 0.063), with a significant treatment interaction (p_interaction < 0.001). This trend was also found in the validation cohort with high (n = 73, ICT+CCRT 89.7% and 89.7% vs. CCRT 61.8% and 52.8% at 3-year and 5-year; HR = 0.17, 95% CI = 0.06–0.51,p < 0.001) and low ICTOS (n = 175,p = 0.31), with a significant treatment interaction (p_interaction = 0.019). Compared with 12.5% and 16.6% absolute benefit in the validation cohort (3-year FFS from 69.9 to 82.4% and 5-year FFS from 63.4 to 80.0% from additional ICT), high ICTOS group in this cohort had 27.9% and 36.9% absolute benefit. Furthermore, no significant survival improvement was found from additional ICT in both groups after stratifying low ICTOS patients into low-risk and high-risks groups, by clinical risk factors.Conclusion: An imaging biomarker, ICTOS, as proposed, identified patients who were more likely to gain additional survival benefit from ICT+CCRT (high ICTOS), which could influence clinical decisions, such as the indication for ICT treatment.Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov,NCT01245959. Registered 23 November 2010.

Previous studies have reported radiotherapy interruption (RTI) is associated with poor local control in two-dimensional radiotherapy (2DRT) era. However, it remains unclear whether RTI still affects local control for advanced T stage (T3–4) in the intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) era. We aim to evaluate whether RTI affects local control for T3–4 NPC treated with definitive IMRT. In this observational prospective study, 447 T3–4 NPC patients treated with IMRT plus concurrent chemotherapy were included. All patients completed the planned radiotherapy course, and RTI was defined as the actual time taken to finish the prescribed course of radiotherapy minus the planned radiotherapy time. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used for determined the cutoff point of RTI. The effects of RTI on local control were analyzed in multivariate analysis. At 5 years, the local relapse-free survival (LRFS) and overall survival (OS) rates were 93.7 and 85.7%, respectively. The cutoff RTI for LRFS was 5.5 days by ROC curve. Compared to patients with RTI > 5 days, patients with RTI ≤ 5 days had a significantly lower rate of LRFS (97% vs. 83%; P < 0.001). In multivariate analysis, RTI was a risk factor independently associated with LRFS (HR = 9.64, 95% CI, 4.10–22.65), but not for OS (HR = 1.09, 95% CI, 0.84–1.64). The current analysis demonstrates a significant correlation between prolonged RTI and local control in NPC, even when concurrent chemotherapy is used. We consider that attention to RTI seems to be warranted for patients with advanced T-stage NPC in the era of IMRT.

Findings remain unclear whether neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) detrimentally affects advanced nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) prognosis. We aim to evaluate the prognostic value of NLR in patients with NPC based on a large-scale cohort from an endemic area. We selected patients retrospectively from a cohort examining long-term cancer outcomes following diagnosis. Neutrophil counts and lymphocyte counts were assessed prior to treatment. Kaplan–Meier method and log-rank test were used to calculate and compare survival outcomes. Additionally, Cox proportional hazards model was utilized to carry out univariate and multivariate analyses. Between October 2009 and August 2012, we enrolled 1550 consecutive NPC patients staged II-IVB. The median value of NLR was 2.27 (interquartile range [IQR], 1.71–3.12). Determined by operating characteristic curve using overall survival (OS) as an endpoint, the cutoff value for NLR was 2.50. At 5 years, NLR > 2.50 was associated with inferior OS (90.3% vs 82.5%; P < 0.001), distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS, 89.4% vs 85.0%; P = 0.014), and progression-free survival (PFS, 80.9% vs 76.5%; P = 0.031) than NLR ≤2.50. In multivariate analysis, NLR was found to be a significant prognostic factor for OS (HR, 1.72; 95% CI, 131–2.24; P < 0.001), DMFS (HR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.10–1.92; P = 0.009), and PFS (HR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.04–1.59; P = 0.021). Pretreatment NLR independently affects survival. Our findings suggest that NLR measurements will be of great clinical significance in the management of NPC.

In the era of intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT), the role of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) in treating ascending-type nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) is under-evaluated. This study was to compare the efficacy of NACT followed by IMRT (NACT + RT) with the efficacy of concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) on ascending-type NPC. Clinical data of 214 patients with ascending-type NPC treated with NACT + RT or CCRT between December 2009 and July 2011 were analyzed. Of the 214 patients, 98 were treated with NACT followed by IMRT, and 116 were treated with CCRT. The survival rates were assessed using Kaplan–Meier analysis, and the survival curves were compared using a log-rank test. The 4-year overall survival, locoregional failure-free survival, distant failure-free survival, and failure-free survival rates were not significantly different between the two groups (all P > 0.05). However, patients in the CCRT group exhibited more severe acute adverse events than did patients in the NACT + RT group during radiotherapy, including leukopenia (30.2% vs. 15.3%, P = 0.016), neutropenia (25.9% vs. 11.2%, P = 0.011), and mucositis (57.8% vs. 40.8%, P = 0.028). After radiotherapy, patients in the CCRT group exhibited significantly higher rates of xerostomia (21.6% vs. 10.2%, P = 0.041) and hearing loss (17.2% vs. 6.1%, P = 0.023). The treatment outcomes of the NACT + RT and CCRT groups were similar; however, CCRT led to higher rates of acute and late toxicities. NACT + RT may therefore be a better treatment strategy for ascending-type NPC.

According to the 7th edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system, over 50% of patients with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) have N1 disease at initial diagnosis. However, patients with N1 NPC are relatively under-researched, and the metastasis risk of this group is not well-stratified. This study aimed to evaluate the prognostic values of gross tumor volume of metastatic regional lymph node (GTVnd) and pretreatment serum copy number of Epstein–Barr virus (EBV) DNA in predicting distant metastasis of patients with N1 NPC, and to develop an integrated prognostic model that incorporates GTVnd and EBV DNA copy number for this group of patients. The medical records of 787 newly diagnosed patients with nonmetastatic, histologically proven N1 NPC who were treated at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center between November 2009 and February 2012 were analyzed. Computed tomography-derived GTVnd was measured using the summation-of-area technique. Blood samples were collected before treatment to quantify plasma EBV DNA. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to evaluate the cut-off point for GTVnd, and the area under the ROC curve was used to assess the predicted validity of GTVnd. The survival rates were assessed by Kaplan–Meier analysis, and the survival curves were compared using a log-rank test. Multivariate analysis was conducted using the Cox proportional hazard regression model. The 5-year distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) rates for patients with GTVnd > 18.9 vs. ≤ 18.9 mL were 82.2% vs. 93.2% (P < 0.001), and for patients with EBV DNA copy number > 4000 vs. ≤ 4000 copies/mL were 83.5% vs. 93.9% (P < 0.001). After adjusting for GTVnd, EBV DNA copy number, and T category in the Cox regression model, both GTVnd > 18.9 mL and EBV DNA copy number > 4000 copies/mL were significantly associated with poor prognosis (both P < 0.05). According to combination of GTVnd and EBV DNA copy number, all patients were divided into low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups, with the 5-year DMFS rates of 96.1, 87.4, and 73.8%, respectively (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis confirmed the prognostic value of this model for distant metastatic risk stratification (hazard ratio [HR], 4.17; 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.34–7.59; P < 0.001). GTVnd and serum EBV DNA copy number are independent prognostic factors for predicting distant metastasis in NPC patients with N1 disease. The prognostic model incorporating GTVnd and EBV DNA copy number may improve metastatic risk stratification for this group of patients.