Since the reform and opening up, the massive transfer of rural labor from agriculture to non-agricultural sectors and from rural to urban areas has been one of the most prominent features of China's economic and social transformation. According to the National Bureau of Statistics, the total number of migrant workers in China reached 297.53 million in 2023, of which 176.58 million were out-migrants. However, with the inland transfer of coastal industries, the deepening of the rural revitalization strategy, and the aging of the migrant workforce, an increasing number of migrants are returning to their hometowns. This "return wave" has become an undeniable social phenomenon.Returning migrants bring back not only funds and technology but also human capital and modern ideas accumulated in cities, profoundly shaping their post-return employment choices and production methods (Zhou et al., 2025;Todaro, 1969).The new economics of labor migration (NELM) views migration as an optimal decision by rural laborers and their families under given opportunities and resource constraints, and as an active choice to enhance human capital (Stark and Bloom, 1985). Human capital theory posits that human capital investment is a decisive factor in increasing individual income, alleviating household economic constraints, and driving economic development (Schultz, 1961). Heterogeneity in human capital is a major cause of income disparities among laborers (Dustmann and Kirchkamp, 2002). Migration experience serves as an important form of human capital investment for agricultural and pastoral laborers, operating through two mechanisms: first, higher human capital endowments enhance competitiveness in non-agricultural job markets and increase non-agricultural income, thereby facilitating the economic transition of individuals and households away from farming and herding (Zhao, 2002); second, human capital forms the basis for risk mitigation and future capability development-richer human capital accumulation leads to higher expected non-agricultural income and a stronger psychological foundation for non-agricultural transition (Hare, 2013).In recent years, academic research on the relationship between migration experience and the employment behavior of returning migrant workers has yielded rich, multi-dimensional evidence. Some studies have found that migration experience significantly reduces the willingness to continue engaging in agricultural production after returning (Murphy , 2002; Wang and Fan, 2006), as non-agricultural skills and urban life experiences accumulated during migration reshape workers' occupational identity (Démurger and Xu, 2011). Regarding human capital effects, migration experience significantly enhances non-agricultural skills through "learning by doing" and skills training, and this human capital appreciation is a key mechanism promoting non-agricultural employment and entrepreneurship upon return (Démurger and Xu, 2015;Zhao, 2002). In terms of regional differences, returning migrants in eastern coastal areas are more inclined toward non-agricultural employment and entrepreneurship, while those in central and western regions face more limited non-agricultural employment opportunities due to weaker industrial bases (Yu et al., 2017).Despite considerable progress, existing research has three main limitations. First, most studies focus on agricultural areas, with little attention paid to returning laborers in agro-pastoral and pastoral areas, and comparative studies across these three regional types are especially lacking. Second, the potential pathways through which human capital may account for the association between migration experience and employment intentions have yet to be systematically examined in comparative perspective. Third, many studies rely on single econometric methods and inadequately address endogeneity issues or the sensitivity of findings to potential confounding factors.Northern China can be divided into agricultural, agro-pastoral, and pastoral areas based on natural geographic conditions and production methods (Li et al., 2022). These regions differ significantly in resource endowments, industrial bases, and labor market development, so the pathways and intensity of migration experience's association with employment intentions are likely to vary. To address this gap, this study uses household survey data collected in 2023 from Pengyang County (agricultural area), Yanchi County (agro-pastoral area), and Otog Banner (pastoral area) to systematically examine the relationship between migration experience and non-agricultural and non-pastoral employment intentions and the potential mediating role of human capital.The contributions of this study are threefold. (1) Theoretical contribution: By constructing an analytical framework of "migration experience, human capital, employment intentions," this study systematically examines the differentiated associations of skill capital, knowledge capital, and health capital, revealing the structural characteristics of multi-dimensional human capital's potential mediating role. (2) Empirical contribution: This study extends the research scope from agricultural areas to agro-pastoral and pastoral areas, providing comparative empirical evidence for understanding the employment choices of returning laborers across different regional types in China. (3) Methodological contribution: By employing multiple complementary estimation strategies, including ordered Probit models, the Karlson-Holm-Breen (KHB) method for nonlinear mediation analysis, instrumental variable sensitivity analyses, and Oster's (2019) test for omitted variable bias, this study addresses potential endogeneity concerns to the extent feasible with the available data and provides a more credible empirical foundation than studies relying on single-method approaches.The remainder of the article is structured as follows: Section 2 develops a theoretical model based...