Corrosion-induced cracking of reinforced-concrete (RC) covers is well known, yet key knowledge gaps persist. Most studies isolate uniform corrosion or a single non-uniform corrosion pattern and ignore the effects of boundary restraint and structural configurations, leading to inaccurate predictions of cracking thresholds and crack propagation patterns. This study systematically investigates the influence mechanisms of constraint conditions and structural configurations on corrosion-induced cracking behavior using the phase-field model. The results indicate that the non-uniformity of steel corrosion is a critical factor governing cover cracking. As the corrosion non-uniformity coefficient increases, the critical corrosion level exhibits a monotonic decreasing trend—from 0.95% to 0.15% under strong constraints and from 0.52% to 0.15% under weak constraints. Concurrently, the crack morphology evolves from a single radial crack to a wedge-shaped crack oriented toward the peak corrosion side. The influence of constraint conditions is dualistic, while strong constraints enhance the failure threshold, their mitigating effect diminishes markedly under highly non-uniform corrosion. The critical corrosion threshold for eccentrically arranged corner reinforcement is significantly lower than that for centrally arranged reinforcement; the corrosion angle only induces slight crack deflection and minor threshold fluctuations; and the curved top section, due to its weaker equivalent constraint, exhibits inferior crack resistance compared to the linear top section. Three-dimensional analysis reveals a pronounced longitudinal discreteness effect, which not only substantially elevates the critical corrosion threshold but also leads to diverse spatial failure modes. This work links rust-expansion eigen-displacement to crack propagation within a unified phase-field framework, providing materials-level criteria for evaluating corrosion tolerance and guiding the design of cover materials and reinforcement layouts to enhance durability.

Safety, progress, and investment risks are correlated during the construction period of large-scale water transfer projects. However, previous studies have only considered individual risk factors, overlooking the potential systemic risk posed to safety, progress, and investment, as well as any underlying common cause failures. Since traditional risk analysis methods are ill-suited to addressing common cause failure, this paper’s objective was to establish a comprehensive evaluation index framework and to identify the basic events of common cause failure. To do that, we developed a risk analysis method that models common cause failure based on a Bayesian network for assessing that systemic risk. The Henan Section of the Yangtze-to-Huaihe River Water Diversion Project in China was then used as a case study. The results show that a variety of common cause failure events, such as epidemic disease, design alteration, lagged approval process, heavy rain in the flood season, renewal material and failing equipment, construction accidents, and external interference, can significantly impact the safety, progress, and investment systemic risk. Design alteration poses the greatest risk, with renewal material and failing equipment exerting the strongest influence among all common cause failure events. It is also possible to elucidate the predominant causal chains; specifically, the contributing influence of each basic failure event to the systemic risk can be clarified by adjusting their respective initial state. The failure of renewal material and failing equipment was found to significantly increase the safety risk. This study effectively simulated the complex causal relationships and uncertainties of pertinent risk factors, thereby enhancing our understanding of the systemic risk associated with safety, progress, and investment in large-scale water transfer projects.

Ecological water supply has been integrated into the water supply scope of numerous water diversion projects, yet ecosystem complexity makes ecological benefit assessment difficult. Traditional quantitative methods for water supply benefits mainly focus on economic benefits from productive and domestic water use, ignoring the ecological benefits and real-time benefit changes over the project service period. This study categorizes ecological water supply separately in benefit calculation and considers enhanced ecosystem service value brought by ecological water replenishment. Based on emergy analysis, the water resource values of domestic, productive, and ecological water supply are calculated individually, and a water supply benefits evaluation model is established in combination with corresponding water supply volumes. A dynamic evaluation method for the project service period is further proposed using a Grey Model (1,1). Verified via the Yangtze-to-Huaihe Water Diversion Project (Henan section), results indicate that from 2021 to 2070, comprehensive water supply benefits increase yearly from 5.19 billion yuan to 16.18 billion yuan. Productive water supply provides the largest benefits (67–74%), followed by urban domestic (19–25%), rural domestic (5–7%), and ecological water supply (1–2%). This study constructs a comprehensive, systematic, and dynamic evaluation system, supporting the holistic assessment of the long-term economic and environmental impacts of water diversion projects.