Ali Ozcan Kures

Mr. Ali Ozcan Kures

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

3Years (2024-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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22 July 2024 in Engineering Proceedings
Verified
Conference Paper
Open access
PDF file
SPSarthak Pattnaik
Sarthak Pattnaik
NLNatasya Liew
Natasya Liew
AKAli Ozcan Kures
Ali Ozcan Kures
EPEugene Pinsky
Eugene Pinsky
KPKathleen Park
Kathleen Park
The integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) into Supply-Chain Management (SCM) has revolutionized operations, offering avenues for enhanced efficiency and decision-making. AI has become pivotal in tackling various Supply-Chain Management challenges, notably enhancing demand forecasting precision and automating warehouse operations for improved efficiency and error reduction. However, a critical debate arises concerning the choice between less accurate explainable models and more accurate yet unexplainable models in Supply-Chain Management applications. This paper explores this debate within the context of various Supply-Chain Management challenges and proposes a methodology for developing models tailored to different Supply-Chain Management problems. Drawing from academic research and modelling, the paper discusses the applications of AI in demand forecasting, inventory optimization, warehouse automation, transportation management, supply chain planning, supplier management, quality control, risk management, and customer service. Additionally, it examines the trade-offs between model interpretability and accuracy, highlighting the need for a nuanced approach. The proposed methodology advocates for the development of explainable models for tasks where interpretability is crucial, such as risk management and supplier selection, while leveraging unexplainable models for tasks prioritizing accuracy, like demand forecasting and predictive maintenance. Through this approach, stakeholders gain insights into Supply-Chain Management processes, fostering better decision-making and accountability.

12 December 2025 in Forecasting
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
KPKathleen Park
Kathleen Park
SPSarthak Pattnaik
Sarthak Pattnaik
NLNatasya Liew
Natasya Liew
TKTriparna Kundu
Triparna Kundu
AKAli Ozcan Kures
Ali Ozcan Kures
EPEugene Pinsky
Eugene Pinsky
Pharmaceutical manufacturing and logistics rely on accurate prediction and decision making to safeguard product quality, delivery reliability, and patient outcomes. Despite rapid advances in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML), few studies benchmark model performance across the diverse operational demands of global pharmaceutical supply chains. Predictive setbacks contribute to financial losses, reduced supply chain efficacy, and potential adverse health consequences, yet understanding these failures offers firms opportunities to refine strategy and strengthen resilience. Drawing on 1.2 million shipments spanning 39 countries, we compare traditional statistical models (ARIMA), ensemble methods (random forests, gradient boosting), and deep neural networks (LSTM, GRU, CNN, ANN) across pricing, demand forecasting, vendor management, and shipment planning. Gradient boosting produced the strongest pricing performance, while ARIMA delivered the lowest demand-forecasting errors but with limited explanatory power; neural networks captured nonlinear demand shocks and achieved superior maintenance-risk classification. We also identified three vendor performance clusters—high-performing, cost-efficient, and mixed-reliability vendors—enabling firms to better align shipment criticality with vendor capabilities by prioritizing high performers for urgent deliveries, leveraging cost-efficient vendors for non-urgent volumes, and managing mixed performers through targeted oversight. These insights highlight the value of our evidence-based roadmap for selecting algorithms in high-stakes healthcare logistics, in rapidly evolving, technologically complex global contexts where increasing algorithmic sophistication elevates the standards for safer, smarter pharmaceutical supply chains.

7 July 2025 in Sustainability
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
KPKathleen Park
Kathleen Park
NLNatasya Liew
Natasya Liew
SPSarthak Pattnaik
Sarthak Pattnaik
AKAli Ozcan Kures
Ali Ozcan Kures
EPEugene Pinsky
Eugene Pinsky
Considering the United Nations Climate Change Accord and insights from the OECD Global Material Resources Outlook to 2060, this study explores the intricate interrelationships of population growth, economic expansion, energy consumption, and carbon emissions in key OECD and BRICS countries. With the global economy heavily reliant on fossil fuels—the primary drivers of carbon emissions—we examine historic and projected energy use trends in developed and emerging economies. Through a combination of exploratory data analysis and ARIMA-based statistical forecasting, we investigate the relationships among GDP growth, energy use, and emissions, drawing distinctions between OECD and BRICS nations. Our findings reveal that, while developed economies demonstrate declining energy use, emerging markets show an upsurge in usage tied to economic growth. This research presents a compelling case for transitioning to a low-carbon future, drawing on renewable energy sources and proposing a roadmap to achieve both economic resilience and environmental sustainability. Our work serves as a call to action for policy-driven, cleaner energy investments to curb emissions and safeguard the planet.