We consider a general class of mean field control problems described by stochastic delayed differential equations of McKean–Vlasov type. Two numerical algorithms are provided based on deep learning techniques, one is to directly parameterize the optimal control using neural networks, the other is based on numerically solving the McKean–Vlasov forward anticipated backward stochastic differential equation (MV-FABSDE) system. In addition, we establish the necessary and sufficient stochastic maximum principle of this class of mean field control problems with delay based on the differential calculus on function of measures, and the existence and uniqueness results are proved for the associated MV-FABSDE system under suitable conditions. Mathematical Subject Classification (2000): 93E20, 60G99, 68-04
15 January 2022 in Mathematics of Control, Signals, and Systems
This paper studies the effect of introducing stochastic volatility in the first‐passage structural approach to default risk. The impact of volatility time scales on the yield spread curve is analyzed. In particular it is shown that the presence of a short time scale in the volatility raises the yield spreads at short maturities. It is argued that combining first passage default modelling with multiscale stochastic volatility produces more realistic yield spreads. Moreover, this framework enables the use of perturbation techniques to derive explicit approximations which facilitate the complicated issue of calibration of parameters.
In this paper, we introduce the use of interacting particle systems in the computation of probabilities of simultaneous defaults in large credit portfolios. The method can be applied to compute small historical as well as risk-neutral probabilities. It only requires that the model be based on a background Markov chain for which a simulation algorithm is available. We use the strategy developed by Del Moral and Garnier in (Ann. Appl. Probab. 15:2496–2534, 2005) for the estimation of random walk rare events probabilities. For the purpose of illustration, we consider a discrete-time version of a first passage model for default. We use a structural model with stochastic volatility, and we demonstrate the efficiency of our method in situations where importance sampling is not possible or numerically unstable.