With the widespread application of high-resolution remote sensing imagery and unmanned aerial vehicle technologies in agricultural scenarios, accurately characterizing spatial pest diffusion from multi-temporal images has become a critical issue in intelligent agricultural management. To overcome the limitations of existing machine learning approaches that focus mainly on static recognition and lack effective spatio-temporal diffusion modeling, a UAV-based pest diffusion prediction and simulation framework is proposed. Multi-temporal UAV RGB and multispectral imagery are jointly modeled using a graph-based representation of farmland parcels, while temporal modeling and environmental embedding mechanisms are incorporated to enable simultaneous prediction of diffusion intensity and propagation paths. Experiments conducted on two real agricultural regions, Bayan Nur and Tangshan, demonstrate that the proposed method consistently outperforms representative spatio-temporal baselines. Compared with ST-GCN, the proposed framework achieves approximately 17–22% reductions in MAE and MSE, together with 8–12% improvements in PMR, while maintaining robust classification performance with precision, recall, and F1-score exceeding 0.82. These results indicate that the proposed approach can provide reliable support for agricultural information systems and diffusion-aware decision generation.

In this study, a cross-hierarchical intelligent modeling framework integrating an ecological semantic encoder, a distribution-aligned contrastive loss, and a disturbance-aware attention mechanism was developed to address the semantic alignment challenge between aboveground vegetation and belowground seed banks within forest ecosystems. The proposed framework leverages artificial intelligence and deep learning to characterize the structural and functional coupling between vegetation and soil communities, thereby elucidating the ecological mechanisms that underlie forest regeneration and stability. Experiments using representative forest ecological plot datasets demonstrated that the model achieved a top-1 accuracy of 78.6%, a top-5 accuracy of 89.3%, a mean cosine similarity of 0.784, and a reduced Kullback–Leibler divergence of 0.128, while the Jaccard index increased to 0.512—surpassing traditional statistical and machine-learning baselines such as RDA, CCA, Procrustes, Siamese, and SimCLR. The model also reduced NMDS stress to 0.094 and improved the Sørensen coefficient to 0.713, reflecting high robustness and precision in reconstructing community structure and ecological distributions. Additionally, the integration of distribution alignment and disturbance-aware mechanisms allows the model to capture dynamic vegetation–soil feedbacks across environmental gradients and disturbance regimes. This enables more accurate identification of regeneration potential, resilience thresholds, and restoration trajectories in degraded forests. Overall, the framework provides a novel theoretical foundation and a data-driven pathway for applying artificial intelligence to forest ecosystem monitoring, degradation diagnosis, and adaptive management for sustainable recovery.