Alejandra Ibarra

Prof. Alejandra Ibarra

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

2Years (2025-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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8 December 2025 in Mathematics
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
HVHugo G. Venegas
Hugo G. Venegas
AIAlejandra Ibarra
Alejandra Ibarra
PRPedro Misraim Gómez Rodríguez
Pedro Misraim Gómez Rodríguez
EMEduardo Mendez-Palos
Eduardo Mendez-Palos
JGJorge Gálvez
Jorge Gálvez
Alma Y. AlanisAlma Y. Alanis
Alma Y. Alanis
Financial stability in interconnected markets is increasingly challenged by nonlinear interactions that amplify local disturbances into systemic crises. This study models a financial system as a complex network of coupled chaotic nodes, where each node represents a nonlinear macroeconomic subsystem governed by endogenous feedback dynamics. In contrast to traditional centralized interventions, a pinning control strategy is proposed to stabilize a network through selective control of a small subset of influential nodes. Numerical simulations show how local crises propagate through coupling links, generating systemic instability, and how the proposed impulsive control scheme effectively suppresses chaos and restores synchronization across an entire network. Results highlight the efficiency of localized interventions for achieving global stability, offering new theoretical insights into mechanisms of financial correlation and design of control-based resilience strategies for complex economic systems.

2 October 2026 in Algorithms
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
PRPedro Misraim Gómez Rodríguez
Pedro Misraim Gómez Rodríguez
HVHugo G. Venegas
Hugo G. Venegas
AIAlejandra Ibarra
Alejandra Ibarra
Erasmo Gabriel Martinez SolteroErasmo Gabriel Martinez Soltero
Erasmo Gabriel Martinez Soltero
EMEduardo Mendez-Palos
Eduardo Mendez-Palos
Alma Y. AlanisAlma Y. Alanis
Alma Y. Alanis
Continuous arterial blood pressure (ABP) prediction is relevant to cardiovascular monitoring and development of adaptive patient-specific digital twins. This study presents an adaptive data-driven ABP prediction framework inspired by cardiovascular digital-twin principles for causal one-step-ahead prediction using a single physiological signal modality. The proposed methodology combines a seven-sample causal ABP representation, a compact 7–5–1 multilayer perceptron, recursive Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) adaptation of all neural-network weights and biases, and offline evolutionary optimization of EKF covariance hyperparameters. Model development and evaluation used invasive ABP recordings from five CHARIS subjects available in PhysioNet, with five non-overlapping 100 s windows per subject. A rotating 3/1/1 subject-wise protocol assigned three subjects to supervised MLP training, one independent subject to covariance-hyperparameter selection, and one completely unseen subject to final testing in each fold. A fixed MLP achieved a mean test RMSE of 3.4123 mmHg. Recursive EKF adaptation using identical manually selected covariance hyperparameters across folds reduced mean RMSE to 3.0033 mmHg, corresponding to an average improvement of 11.98%. Offline optimization of P0, Q0, and R0 further reduced mean RMSE to 2.1546 mmHg with Differential Evolution, 2.1548 mmHg with Particle Swarm Optimization, and 2.1546 mmHg with Genetic Algorithm, representing an overall improvement of approximately 35.9% relative to the fixed-MLP baseline. Despite differences in selected covariance values, all three evolutionary methods produced nearly identical final predictive performance. These results show that recursive neural-parameter adaptation and systematic covariance tuning provide complementary improvements in causal ABP prediction while preserving strict subject-level separation among training, hyperparameter selection, and final evaluation.