Fraudulent financial reporting continues to undermine market integrity and threaten stakeholder interests globally. Conventional analytical methodologies demonstrate limited effectiveness in recognizing intricate temporal relationships and nuanced irregularities characteristic of accounting manipulation. This research introduces an enhanced recurrent neural architecture incorporating multi-head attention layers with bidirectional LSTM components, specifically engineered for identifying accounting anomalies. Our architectural design combines attention-weighted feature selection with dual-directional temporal processing to simultaneously extract prolonged sequential patterns and pivotal indicators spanning multiple reporting cycles. Through rigorous evaluation using a dataset of 2,500 corporate entities across 12 reporting cycles, our methodology achieves 93.87% classification accuracy, 92.41% positive predictive value, 91.56% sensitivity, and 91.98% harmonic mean of precision-recall. These metrics surpass conventional statistical methods and standard deep architectures by substantial margins. The attention weight distributions offer transparent interpretability, revealing which specific accounting ratios and temporal windows contribute decisively to fraud predictions, thereby enhancing practical deployment feasibility in professional audit environments.
This study proposes a prediction model based on a dynamic spatiotemporal causal graph neural network to address the challenges of complex dynamic dependencies, strong structural correlations, and ambiguous causal relationships in corporate revenue forecasting. The model constructs a time-varying enterprise association graph, where enterprises are represented as nodes and industry or supply chain relationships as edges. A graph convolutional network is used to extract structural dependency features, while a gated recurrent unit captures temporal evolution patterns, achieving joint modeling of structural and temporal features. On this basis, a causal reasoning mechanism is introduced to model and adjust potential influence paths among enterprises. A learnable causal weight matrix is used to describe the strength of economic transmission, suppress spurious correlations, and strengthen key causal paths. The model also employs multi-scale temporal aggregation and attention fusion mechanisms to dynamically integrate multidimensional information, enhancing adaptability to both long-term trends and short-term fluctuations. Experimental results show that the proposed model outperforms mainstream methods in multiple metrics, including MSE, MAE, MAPE, and RMAE, verifying its effectiveness in capturing corporate revenue dynamics, modeling economic causal dependencies, and improving prediction accuracy. This study establishes a unified framework that integrates spatiotemporal dependency modeling with causal structure reasoning, providing new insights and methodological foundations for intelligent forecasting in complex economic systems.
This paper addresses the challenges in traditional enterprise performance analysis, including complex multi-source data structures, ambiguous indicator correlations, and poor decision interpretability. It proposes an enterprise performance optimization decision model that integrates knowledge graphs with causal inference. The model constructs a multi-entity and multi-relation knowledge graph to semantically integrate heterogeneous information from financial, market, and operational dimensions, enabling high-level representation of structured relationships among enterprise features. It further incorporates causal structure learning and inference mechanisms to identify key performance drivers and estimate intervention effects, revealing the true causal pathways among variables. In the optimization layer, the model combines knowledge representation with causal relationships to establish an interpretable decision objective function, ensuring that predictions possess both numerical accuracy and causal consistency with logical traceability. Experiments conducted on public enterprise datasets demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms mainstream deep learning and sequence modeling approaches in terms of error control and generalization performance, showing higher robustness and stability. Sensitivity analysis further confirms that the model maintains strong adaptability and consistent performance under different embedding dimensions, noise levels, and optimization strategies. This study provides a novel methodological framework and theoretical foundation for building interpretable and intervention-oriented intelligent decision systems, offering significant implications for data-driven performance evaluation and decision optimization.
This study addresses the challenges of market non-stationarity, risk uncertainty, and dynamic inter-asset relationships in dynamic portfolio optimization by proposing an adaptive investment decision model based on multi-agent reinforcement learning. The research constructs a multi-agent architecture that combines centralized training with decentralized execution, allowing each agent to perform local strategy optimization while sharing global information to achieve a dynamic balance between return and risk. The model embeds multi-dimensional features such as market states, price fluctuations, trading volume, and risk indicators into the reinforcement learning framework, where a reward function drives policy iteration and enhances learning efficiency and decision stability in complex environments. A dynamic risk penalty mechanism and return adjustment term are introduced to effectively suppress excessive risk-taking behavior under high volatility and improve system robustness. Experimental results show that the proposed model outperforms traditional reinforcement learning methods in annualized return, maximum drawdown, Sharpe ratio, and Hit Ratio, maintaining strong return stability and risk control in multi-asset and multi-timescale trading environments. The findings confirm the effectiveness of multi-agent collaborative learning in dynamic asset allocation and risk-constrained optimization, providing methodological support for building intelligent and data-driven investment decision systems.
This work targets open-world credit risk identification where few labeled samples and emerging fraud scenarios coexist. It proposes a unified detection framework that integrates meta learning and domain adaptation. The goal is to improve rapid adaptation and cross-scenario robustness in dynamic environments. The method uses a shared encoder for representation learning over multiple source transaction features. At the task level, it introduces a meta learning training paradigm. A support set-driven fast update mechanism is used to learn transferable initialization and efficient parameter adjustment. This enables the model to form an effective decision boundary quickly under limited target domain labels. To mitigate distribution shift caused by channel switching, temporal drift, and changes in business strategies, the framework adds domain alignment constraints at the representation level. It learns domain-invariant risk features by minimizing the discrepancy between source and target latent representations. This systematically presents stable ranges and behavioral patterns under different risk bias settings and scenario changes. The study provides a technical solution for credit fraud detection in open environments that supports unified modeling, fast adaptation, and cross-domain robustness.
This study proposes a dynamic graph enhancement framework designed for uncertainty conditions to address structural uncertainty, temporal nonlinearity, and multi-scale dependency in corporate financial health risk modeling, where accurately capturing the dynamic evolution of financial states under uncertainty has become a core scientific problem in the digital transformation of financial intelligence and corporate governance. The method starts from multi-source financial data and first performs multi-scale decomposition and normalization to achieve a hierarchical representation of financial time-series signals. Based on this, a dynamically updated enterprise correlation graph is constructed to capture potential risk transmission relationships among firms and to monitor industrial systematic risk. An uncertainty correction mechanism is then introduced to adaptively enhance the adjacency matrix, effectively mitigating modeling bias caused by data noise and structural perturbations. The main model adopts a time-aware graph convolutional network (T-GCN) to jointly learn temporal dependencies and graph topological features, combined with a contrastive learning constraint to strengthen feature consistency and the robustness of risk representation. Experimental results show that the proposed model significantly outperforms mainstream methods such as Transformer, GNN, GAT, and BiLSTM on multiple corporate financial datasets, achieving an average accuracy of 0.921 and improving the F1-Score by about 3.1%. These results verify its robustness and high-precision risk identification capability under dynamic uncertainty conditions. Overall, this study achieves dynamic modeling and structure-aware optimization of corporate financial health, providing an effective technical approach for financial risk monitoring, health assessment, and scenario analysis for financial forecasting and planning in complex economic environments.