Komlan Agbéko KPOGO-NUWOKLO

Dr. Komlan Agbéko KPOGO-NUWOKLO


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

1Year (2026-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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9 October 2026 in Atmosphere
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
SASena Apeke
Sena Apeke
KGKodjovi Gbafa
Kodjovi Gbafa
FWFelicien Kokou Wotodzo
Felicien Kokou Wotodzo
KKKomlan Agbéko KPOGO-NUWOKLO
Komlan Agbéko KPOGO-NUWOKLO
KAKomi Agboka
Komi Agboka
SOSanoussi S. Ouro-djobo
Sanoussi S. Ouro-djobo
Accurate short-term forecasting of meteorological variables remains a major challenge in tropical regions characterized by strong diurnal variability, seasonal transitions, intermittent atmospheric fluctuations, and highly non-stationary temporal dynamics. This study proposes a hybrid deep-learning framework combining the Stationary Wavelet Transform (SWT), Multi-Head Attention (MHA) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks’ forecasting layers for multivariate meteorological prediction over selected locations in Togo. The proposed architecture simultaneously forecasts temperature at 2 m, relative humidity, and wind speed using hourly ERA5 atmospheric variables enriched with lagged, rolling-statistical, and cyclic temporal features. SWT decomposition extracts multi-scale atmospheric structures while preserving temporal alignment, the attention mechanism dynamically emphasizes informative temporal sub-sequences, and the LSTM layers improve medium-range temporal dependency modeling. The forecasting task was reformulated under a strictly causal prediction protocol for 24 h and 72 h forecasting horizons. The proposed framework achieved competitive forecasting performance with MAE = 2.99, RMSE = 5.22, and R2=0.77 for the 24 h horizon, and MAE = 3.44, RMSE = 6.11, and R2=0.73 for the 72 h horizon. Temperature forecasting exhibited the highest stability, whereas wind-speed prediction remained more challenging because of stronger atmospheric intermittency. The results demonstrate the relevance of multi-scale temporal representation learning for ERA5-based tropical meteorological forecasting while highlighting important methodological and operational limitations.

14 April 2026 in Preprints.org
Verified
Preprint
Open access
PDF file
SASena Apeke
Sena Apeke
KGKodjovi Gbafa
Kodjovi Gbafa
WFWotodzo Kokou Felicien
Wotodzo Kokou Felicien
KKKomlan Agbéko KPOGO-NUWOKLO
Komlan Agbéko KPOGO-NUWOKLO
KAKomi AGBOKA
Komi AGBOKA
SOSanoussi S. Ouro-djobo
Sanoussi S. Ouro-djobo
Accurate short-term forecasting of key meteorological variables—air temperature, relative humidity, and wind speed—remains challenging in tropical and sub-Saharan regions due to strong diurnal cycles, seasonal variability, and non-stationary dynamics. To address these limitations, this study proposes a hybrid deep learning model combining Stationary Wavelet Transform (SWT), Multi-Head Attention (MHA), and LSTM networks. First, SWT decomposes meteorological time series into multi-scale components, capturing both low-frequency trends and high-frequency fluctuations while preserving temporal resolution. Then, the attention mechanism dynamically weights the importance of these multi-scale features across time, enhancing the model’s ability to focus on the most relevant patterns and interactions. Finally, LSTM layers model long-term dependencies and nonlinear temporal structures to generate multi-output predictions. The model is trained on hourly data enriched with lagged and statistical features. Experimental results show strong predictive performance (MAE = 1.21, RMSE = 2.01, R² = 94%), with notable improvements in modeling rapid variations, especially for wind speed and humidity. This work represents one of the first integrations of SWT, attention mechanisms, and LSTM for multi-variable forecasting in tropical climates, with practical applications in energy forecasting and precision agriculture.