Vehicle trajectory prediction is a keystone for the application of the internet of vehicles (IoV). With the help of deep learning and big data, it is possible to understand the between-vehicle interaction pattern hidden in the complex traffic environment. In this paper, we propose a novel spatial-temporal dynamic attention network for vehicle trajectory prediction, which can comprehensively capture temporal and social patterns in a hierarchical manner. The social relation between vehicles is captured at each timestamp and thus retains the dynamic variation of interaction. The temporal correlation in terms of individual motion state as well as social interaction is captured by different sequential models. Furthermore, a driving intention-specific feature fusion mechanism is proposed such that the extracted temporal and social features can be integrated adaptively for the maneuver-based multi-modal trajectory prediction. Experimental results on two real-world datasets show that compared with the state-of-the-art algorithms, our proposal achieves comparable prediction performance for short-term prediction, however, works much better for long-term prediction. Additionally, various ablation analysis is provided to evaluate the effectiveness of our proposed network components. The code will be available at https://xbchen82.github.io/resource/ .
As a core function of autonomous driving (AD) and the Internet of Vehicles (IoV), accurately predicting the trajectory of vehicles can significantly improve traffic safety and reduce crash injuries. In this article, we propose an intention-aware non-autoregressive Transformer model with multi-attention learning for multimodal vehicle trajectory prediction. We first present social attention learning (SAL) where graph attention is properly integrated with the Transformer encoder so as to model the social interaction between vehicles. Then, the social and temporal dependency across consecutive frames is captured by temporal attention learning (TAL). The above social and temporal attention modules can be interleaved and stacked to achieve the coupled modeling and thus extract abundant features from trajectory data. To implement precise prediction as well as efficient inference, we further put forward an intention-aware decoder query generation approach to produce multiple possible trajectories concurrently. Finally, cross-attention learning (CAL) is devised to make full use of the encoded features, therefore, yielding future predictions. The proposed model is evaluated on two large-scale vehicle trajectory datasets and the experimental results verify that our algorithm achieves better performance compared with some state-of-the-art models. The root-mean-square error (RMSE) of the predicted trajectory over 5-s time horizon for the next generation simulation (NGSIM) and HighD datasets is 3.43 and 1.10 m, respectively.