Accurate short-term wind power forecasting plays a critical role in maintaining grid stability due to the inherently irregular and fluctuating nature of wind resources. Deep learning models such as LSTM, GRU, and CNN are widely used to learn temporal dynamics; however, their ability to capture or adapt to the underlying symmetries and asymmetries inherent in real-world wind energy data remains insufficiently explored. In this study, we evaluate and compare these models using authentic production and meteorological data from the Tokat Wind Farm in Türkiye. The forecasting scenarios were designed to reflect the temporal structure of the dataset, including seasonal patterns, recurrent behaviors, and the symmetry-breaking effects caused by abrupt changes in wind speed and operational variability. The results demonstrate that the LSTM model most effectively captures the temporal relationships and partial symmetries within the data, yielding the lowest error metrics (RMSE = 0.2355, MAE = 0.1249, MAPE = 25.16%, R2 = 0.8199). GRU and CNN offer moderate performance but show reduced sensitivity to asymmetric fluctuations, particularly during periods of high variability. The comparative findings highlight how symmetry-informed model behavior—specifically the ability to learn repeating temporal structures and respond to symmetry-breaking events—can significantly influence forecasting accuracy. This study provides practical insights into the interplay between data symmetries and model performance, supporting the development of more robust deep learning approaches for real-world wind energy forecasting.
Accurate short- and medium-term forecasting of photovoltaic (PV) power generation is vital for grid stability and renewable energy integration. This study presents a comparative scenario-based approach using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Convolutional Neural Network (CNN), and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) models trained with one year of real-time meteorological and production data from a 250 kWp grid-connected PV system located at Dicle University in Diyarbakır, Southeastern Anatolia, Turkey. The dataset includes hourly measurements of solar irradiance (average annual GHI 5.4 kWh/m2/day), ambient temperature, humidity, and wind speed, with missing data below 2% after preprocessing. Six forecasting scenarios were designed for different horizons (6 h to 1 month). Results indicate that the LSTM model achieved the best performance in short-term scenarios, reaching R2 values above 0.90 and lower MAE and RMSE compared to CNN and GRU. The GRU model showed similar accuracy with faster training time, while CNN produced higher errors due to the dominant temporal nature of PV output. These results align with recent studies that emphasize selecting suitable deep learning architectures for time-series energy forecasting. This work highlights the benefit of integrating real local meteorological data with deep learning models in a scenario-based design and provides practical insights for regional grid operators and energy planners to reduce production uncertainty. Future studies can improve forecast reliability by testing hybrid models and implementing real-time adaptive training strategies to better handle extreme weather fluctuations.