The Land and Property Register (LPR) of Poland contains information on land use for the entire country. Additionally, a sample-based National Forest Inventory (NFI) provides statistical data for forest areas and detailed information on numerous forest parameters. However, until 2014 NFI plots were established only on areas classified as forest in the LPR. In this article, we present results of an estimation of forest area by extending the NFI measurements on all theoretical points in a grid, and compare the results with LPR information for one province (the Podlaskie voivodeship). At each point, we assess land use with recent aerial photographs and verify the ambiguous points in the field. Forest area in Poland is increasing due to afforestation and natural expansion of forest. Delays in the updating process of the LPR, and unwillingness of the owners to agree to reclassification of their land, have led to an underestimation of overall forest area. Our results demonstrate that forest area estimates made by the improved NFI are higher than those based upon the LPR. The modified NFI may be an appropriate tool for monitoring forest area changes in Poland.
Long-term monitoring provides a unique opportunity to distinguish persistent ecological processes from short-term fluctuations in forest insect dynamics. However, the extent to which local insect populations persist through time and the mechanisms regulating their occupancy remain poorly understood. Using a 13-year dataset from the Polish ICP Forests network, we investigated temporal and spatial dynamics of insect occurrence in alder stands. We quantified persistence at tree and plot levels, evaluated signatures of density-dependent regulation, and assessed spatial structure using generalized additive models, logistic regression, transition analyses, and spatial autocorrelation metrics. Insect occurrence exhibited exceptionally strong temporal persistence. Occurrence in the previous year was the dominant predictor of current occurrence across all modeling approaches. Persistence patterns differed between plot and tree levels, with transition analyses revealing greater long-term stability at the level of monitoring plots, consistent with the long-term stability of local populations despite turnover among host trees. Occupancy dynamics were consistent with negative density-dependent regulation, with local populations fluctuating around a stable equilibrium occupancy of approximately 75%. Although year-to-year changes occurred regularly, most fluctuations were relatively small and rarely resulted in complete disappearance of populations from occupied locations. Insect occurrence also exhibited pronounced spatial structure. Occupancy remained significantly clustered throughout the study period, indicating persistent regional differences in local population abundance. In contrast, annual changes in occupancy showed only weak spatial autocorrelation, suggesting that short-term dynamics were driven primarily by local ecological processes rather than by highly synchronized regional fluctuations. Our results indicate that infestation patterns in alder stands are consistent with persistent and self-regulating local herbivore populations that remain associated with the same forest stands over extended periods. Long-term dynamics are governed primarily by temporal persistence, density-dependent feedback, and stable spatial structure rather than by repeated cycles of colonization and extinction. These findings highlight the importance of long-term monitoring for understanding population persistence and provide new insight into the processes maintaining herbivore populations in forest ecosystems.
Long-term monitoring of tree crown condition is essential for assessing forest resilience under increasing climatic variability. This study presents a comprehensive evaluation of oak (Quercus spp.) defoliation trends in Poland from 2015 to 2024, based on national forest health monitoring data. Mean defoliation remained relatively stable until 2018, followed by a significant increase in 2019 (+5.1 percentage points; p < 0.001), coinciding with a major drought event across Central Europe. In subsequent years, defoliation gradually decreased and stabilised, indicating partial canopy recovery. Segmented regression and spline models revealed a consistent breakpoint in 2019 across all age classes, with the most severe crown damage recorded in stands older than 100 years. Younger stands showed lower defoliation levels and higher regenerative capacity. A nonlinear relationship between defoliation and growing-season precipitation was also identified, showing that when rainfall fell below 40 mm, canopy loss exceeded 30%. The results confirm that oak defoliation reflects both short-term climatic stress and long-term structural changes. Integrating monitoring data with climatic analyses and statistical modelling improves the detection of stress-related drivers and the assessment of recovery processes. The combined use of these approaches supports adaptive forest management strategies, including the promotion of mixed-species and multi-aged stands, improvement of soil nutrient conditions, and targeted monitoring of drought-sensitive age classes, thereby enhancing the resilience of oak ecosystems to climate change.
Long-term monitoring data provide an opportunity to distinguish between the prevalence of herbivorous insects and the ecological consequences of their activity. Using observations collected in alder stands within the Polish ICP Forests network during 2013–2025, we investigated temporal patterns of insect-related damage, recovery dynamics, and evidence for delayed density-dependent regulation. Damage severity exhibited strong interannual persistence, although transitions toward lower damage classes occurred more frequently than shifts toward higher classes. Ordinal regression analyses identified contrasting effects of infestation prevalence, with positive contemporaneous effects and negative lagged effects on subsequent damage severity. Plot-level analyses revealed negative feedback and convergence towards an equilibrium damage level, supporting the presence of delayed regulatory processes. Infestation prevalence and damage severity remained strongly associated through time, yet damage declined more rapidly following peak infestation, indicating stronger recovery of ecological impact than of occurrence itself. Spatial analyses revealed persistent clustering of damage levels but comparatively weak spatial structure in annual damage change. Overall, the results demonstrate that persistence, recovery, and delayed feedback jointly shape long-term herbivore impacts in alder ecosystems and highlight the value of assessing both infestation prevalence and damage severity in forest monitoring programmes.