The aim of this study was to develop a radiomics signature for prediction of progression-free survival (PFS) in lower-grade gliomas and to investigate the genetic background behind the radiomics signature. In this retrospective study, training (n = 216) and validation (n = 84) cohorts were collected from the Chinese Glioma Genome Atlas and the Cancer Genome Atlas, respectively. For each patient, a total of 431 radiomics features were extracted from preoperative T2-weighted magnetic resonance images. A radiomics signature was generated in the training cohort, and its prognostic value was evaluated in both the training and validation cohorts. The genetic characteristics of the group with high-risk scores were identified by radiogenomic analysis, and a nomogram was established for prediction of PFS. There was a significant association between the radiomics signature (including 9 screened radiomics features) and PFS, which was independent of other clinicopathologic factors in both the training (P < 0.001, multivariable Cox regression) and validation (P = 0.045, multivariable Cox regression) cohorts. Radiogenomic analysis revealed that the radiomics signature was associated with the immune response, programmed cell death, cell proliferation, and vasculature development. A nomogram established using the radiomics signature and clinicopathologic risk factors demonstrated high accuracy and good calibration for prediction of PFS in both the training (C-index, 0.684) and validation (C-index, 0.823) cohorts. PFS can be predicted non-invasively in patients with LGGs by a group of radiomics features that could reflect the biological processes of these tumors.

P53 mutation status is a pivotal biomarker for gliomas. Here, we developed a machine-learning model to predict p53 status in lower-grade gliomas based on radiomic features extracted from conventional magnetic resonance (MR) images. Preoperative MR images were retrospectively obtained from 272 patients with primary grade II/III gliomas. The patients were randomly allocated in a 2:1 ratio to a training (n = 180) or validation (n = 92) set. A total of 431 radiomic features were extracted from each patient. The lest absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method was used for feature selection and radiomic signature construction. Subsequently, a machine-learning model to predict p53 status was established using the selected features and a Support Vector Machine classifier. The predictive performance of all individual features and the model was calculated using receiver operating characteristic curves in both the training and validation sets. The p53-related radiomic signature was built using the LASSO algorithm; this procedure consisted of four first-order statistics or related wavelet features (including Maximum, Median, Minimum, and Uniformity), a shape and size-based feature (Spherical Disproportion), and ten textural features or related wavelet features (including Correlation, Run Percentage, and Sum Entropy). The prediction accuracies based on the area under the curve were 89.6% in the training set and 76.3% in the validation set, which were better than individual features. These results demonstrate that MR image texture features are predictive of p53 mutation status in lower-grade gliomas. Thus, our procedure can be conveniently used to facilitate presurgical molecular pathological diagnosis.

Unravelling the heterogeneity is the central challenge for glioma precession oncology. In this study, we extracted quantitative image features from T2-weighted MR images and revealed that the isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) wild type and mutant lower grade gliomas (LGGs) differed in their expression of 146 radiomic descriptors. The logistic regression model algorithm further reduced these to 86 features. The classification model could discriminate the two types in both the training and validation sets with area under the curve values of 1.0000 and 0.9932, respectively. The transcriptome-radiomic analysis revealed that these features were associated with the immune response, biological adhesion, and several malignant behaviors, all of which are consistent with biological processes that are differentially expressed in IDH wild type and IDH mutant LGGs. Finally, a prognostic signature showed an ability to stratify IDH mutant LGGs into high and low risk groups with distinctive outcomes. By extracting a large number of radiomic features, we identified an IDH mutation-specific radiomic signature with prognostic implications. This radiomic signature may provide a way to non-invasively discriminate lower-grade gliomas as with or without the IDH mutation.