Sebastiaan van de Velde

Sebastiaan van de Velde


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

13Years (2014-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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13 May 2026 in Earth System Science Data
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PFPierre Friedlingstein
Pierre Friedlingstein
MOMichael O'SUllivan
Michael O'SUllivan
MJMatthew W. Jones
Matthew W. Jones
RARobbie M. Andrew
Robbie M. Andrew
DBDorothee C. E. Bakker
Dorothee C. E. Bakker
JZJiye Zeng
Jiye Zeng
Accurate assessment of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions and their redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere in a changing climate is critical to better understand the global carbon cycle, support the development of climate policies, and project future climate change. Here we describe and synthesise datasets and methodologies to quantify the five major components of the global carbon budget and their uncertainties. Fossil CO 2 emissions ( E FOS ) are based on energy and cement production data. Emissions from land-use change ( E LUC ) are estimated by bookkeeping models based on land-use data. The global atmospheric CO 2 growth rate ( G ATM ) is computed from changes in concentration measured at surface stations. The global net uptake of CO 2 by the ocean ( S OCEAN ) is estimated with global ocean biogeochemistry models and observation-based f CO 2 -products. The global net uptake of CO 2 by the land ( S LAND ) is estimated with dynamic global vegetation models. Additional lines of evidence are provided by atmospheric inversions, atmospheric oxygen measurements, ocean interior observation-based estimates, and Earth System Models. This year, we introduced corrections on the E LUC , S OCEAN and S LAND estimates. The sum of all sources and sinks results in the carbon budget imbalance ( B IM ), a measure of imperfect data and incomplete understanding of the contemporary carbon cycle. All uncertainties are reported as ± 1 σ . For the year 2024, E FOS increased by 1.1 % relative to 2023, with fossil emissions at 10.3 ± 0.5 GtC yr −1 (including the cement carbonation sink, 0.2 GtC yr −1 ), E LUC was 1.3 ± 0.7 GtC yr −1 , for total anthropogenic CO 2 emissions of 11.6 ± 0.9 GtC yr −1 (42.4 ± 3.2 GtCO 2 yr −1 ). Also, for 2024, G ATM was 7.9 ± 0.2 GtC yr −1 (3.73 ± 0.1 ppm yr −1 ), 2.2 GtC above the 2023 growth rate. S OCEAN was 3.4 ± 0.4 GtC yr −1 and S LAND was 1.9 ± 1.1 GtC yr −1 , leaving a large negative B IM (−1.7 GtC yr −1 ), suggesting that the total sink or G ATM is strongly overestimated in 2024. The global atmospheric CO 2 concentration averaged over 2024 reached 422.8 ± 0.1 ppm. Preliminary data for 2025 suggest an increase in E FOS relative to 2024 of +1.0 % (0.2 % to 1.7 %) globally, and atmospheric CO 2 concentration increasing by 2.1 ppm reaching 425.6 ppm, 53 % above the pre-industrial level (around 278 ppm in 1750). Overall, the mean and trend in the components of the global carbon budget are consistently estimated over the period 1959–2024, with a near-zero overall budget imbalance, although discrepancies of up to around 1 GtC yr −1 persist for the representation of annual to decadal variability in CO 2 fluxes. Comparison of estimates from multiple approaches and observations shows: (1) a persistent large uncertainty in the estimate of land-use change emissions, (2) a low agreement between the different methods on the magnitude of the land CO 2 flux in the northern extra-tropics, and (3) a discrepancy between the different methods on the mean ocean sink. This living data update documents changes in methods and datasets applied to this most-recent global carbon budget as well as evolving community understanding of the global carbon cycle. The data presented in this work are available at https://doi.org/10.18160/GCP-2025 (Friedlingstein et al., 2025c).

10 September 2016 in Aquatic Geochemistry
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SVSebastiaan van de Velde
Sebastiaan van de Velde
FMFilip J. R. Meysman
Filip J. R. Meysman

3 April 2018 in Scientific Reports
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SVSebastiaan van de Velde
Sebastiaan van de Velde
VLVera Van Lancker
Vera Van Lancker
SHSilvia Hidalgo-Martinez
Silvia Hidalgo-Martinez
WBWilliam M. Berelson
William M. Berelson
FMFilip J. R. Meysman
Filip J. R. Meysman
Coastal sediments and continental shelves play a crucial role in global biogeochemistry, as they form the prime site of organic carbon burial. Bottom trawling and dredging are known to increasingly impact the coastal seafloor through relocation and homogenisation of sediments, yet little is known about the effects of such anthropogenic sediment reworking on the overall cycling of carbon and other elements within the coastal seafloor. Here, we document the transient recovery of the seafloor biogeochemistry after an in situ disturbance. Evidence from pore-water data and model simulations reveal a short-term increase in the overall carbon mineralisation rate, as well as a longer-term shift in the redox pathways of organic matter mineralisation, favouring organoclastic sulphate reduction over methane formation. This data suggests that anthropogenic sediment reworking could have a sizeable impact on the carbon cycle in cohesive sediments on continental shelves. This imprint will increase in the near future, along with the growing economic exploitation of the coastal ocean.

1 December 2016 in Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta
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SVSebastiaan van de Velde
Sebastiaan van de Velde
LLLudovic Lesven
Ludovic Lesven
LBLaurine D.W. Burdorf
Laurine D.W. Burdorf
SHSilvia Hidalgo-Martinez
Silvia Hidalgo-Martinez
JGJeanine S. Geelhoed
Jeanine S. Geelhoed
FMFilip J.R. Meysman
Filip J.R. Meysman

2 July 2018 in Nature Communications
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SVSebastiaan van de Velde
Sebastiaan van de Velde
BMBenjamin J. W. Mills
Benjamin J. W. Mills
FMFilip J. R. Meysman
Filip J. R. Meysman
TLTimothy M. Lenton
Timothy M. Lenton
SPSimon W. Poulton
Simon W. Poulton
The evolution of burrowing animals forms a defining event in the history of the Earth. It has been hypothesised that the expansion of seafloor burrowing during the Palaeozoic altered the biogeochemistry of the oceans and atmosphere. However, whilst potential impacts of bioturbation on the individual phosphorus, oxygen and sulphur cycles have been considered, combined effects have not been investigated, leading to major uncertainty over the timing and magnitude of the Earth system response to the evolution of bioturbation. Here we integrate the evolution of bioturbation into the COPSE model of global biogeochemical cycling, and compare quantitative model predictions to multiple geochemical proxies. Our results suggest that the advent of shallow burrowing in the early Cambrian contributed to a global low-oxygen state, which prevailed for ~100 million years. This impact of bioturbation on global biogeochemistry likely affected animal evolution through expanded ocean anoxia, high atmospheric CO2 levels and global warming.

1 March 2015 in TrAC Trends in Analytical Chemistry
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YGYue Gao
Yue Gao
SVSebastiaan van de Velde
Sebastiaan van de Velde
PWPaul Williams
Paul Williams
WBWilly Baeyens
Willy Baeyens
HZHao Zhang
Hao Zhang