Objective: Emergency department (ED) overcrowding is acknowledged as an increasingly important issue worldwide. Hospital managers are increasingly paying attention to ED crowding in order to provide higher quality medical services to patients. One of the crucial elements for a good management strategy is demand forecasting. Our study sought to construct an adequate model and to forecast monthly ED visits. Methods: We retrospectively gathered monthly ED visits from January 2009 to December 2016 to carry out a time series autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) analysis. Initial development of the model was based on past ED visits from 2009 to 2016. A best-fit model was further employed to forecast the monthly data of ED visits for the next year (2016). Finally, we evaluated the predicted accuracy of the identified model with the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The software packages SAS/ETS V.9.4 and Office Excel 2016 were used for all statistical analyses. Results: A series of statistical tests showed that six models, including ARIMA (0, 0, 1), ARIMA (1, 0, 0), ARIMA (1, 0, 1), ARIMA (2, 0, 1), ARIMA (3, 0, 1) and ARIMA (5, 0, 1), were candidate models. The model that gave the minimum Akaike information criterion and Schwartz Bayesian criterion and followed the assumptions of residual independence was selected as the adequate model. Finally, a suitable ARIMA (0, 0, 1) structure, yielding a MAPE of 8.91%, was identified and obtained as Visit _t =7111.161+(a _t +0.37462 a _t −1). Conclusion: The ARIMA (0, 0, 1) model can be considered adequate for predicting future ED visits, and its forecast results can be used to aid decision-making processes.

Background: Inflammation is a common pathophysiological trait found in both hypertension and cardiac vascular disease. Recent evidence indicates that fractalkine (FKN) and its receptor CX3CR1 have been linked to inflammatory response in the brain of hypertensive animal models. Here, we investigated the role of CX3CR1-microglia in nitric oxide (NO) generation during chronic inflammation and systemic blood pressure recovery in the nucleus tractus solitarii (NTS). Methods: The hypertensive rat model was used to study the role of CX3CR1-microglia in NTS inflammation following hypertension induction by oral administration of 10% fructose water. The systolic blood pressure was measured by tail-cuff method of non-invasive blood pressure. The CX3CR1 inhibitor AZD8797 was administered intracerebroventricularly (ICV) in the fructose-induced hypertensive rat. Using immunoblotting, we studied the nitric oxide synthase signaling pathway, NO concentration, and the levels of FKN and CX3CR1, and pro-inflammatory cytokines were analyzed by immunohistochemistry staining. Results: The level of pro-inflammatory cytokines IL-1β, IL-6, TNF-α, FKN, and CX3CR1 were elevated two weeks after fructose feeding. AZD8797 inhibited CX3CR1-microglia, which improved the regulation of systemic blood pressure and NO generation in the NTS. We also found that IL-1β, IL-6, and TNF-α levels were recovered by AZD8797 addition. Conclusion: We conclude that CX3CR1-microglia represses the nNOS signaling pathway and promotes chronic inflammation in fructose-induced hypertension. Collectively, our results reveal the role of chemokines such as IL-1β, IL-6, and TNF-α in NTS neuroinflammation with the involvement of FKN and CX3CR1.

The dynamics of a living body enables organs to experience mechanical stimulation at cellular level. The human cardiomyocytes cell line provides a source for simulating heart dynamics; however, a limited understanding of the mechanical stimulation effect on them has restricted potential applications. Here, we investigated the effect of mechanical stimulation on the cardiac function-associated protein expressions in human cardiomyocytes. Human cardiomyocyte cell line AC16 was subjected to different stresses: 5% mild and 25% aggressive, at 1 Hz for 24 h. The stretched cardiomyocytes showed down-regulated Piezo1, phosphorylated-Ak transforming serine473 (P-AKT^S473), and phosphorylated-glycogen synthase kinase-3 beta serine9 P-GSK3β^S9 compared to no stretch. In addition, the stretched cardiomyocytes showed increased low-density lipoprotein receptor-related protein 6 (LRP6), and phosphorylated-c-Jun N-terminal kinase threonine183/tyrosine185 (P-JNK^T183/Y185). When Piezo inhibitor was added to the cells, the LRP6, and P-JNK^T183/Y185 were further increased under 25%, but not 5%, suggesting that higher mechanical stress further activated the wingless integrated-(Wnt)-related signaling pathway when Piezo1 was inhibited. Supporting this idea, when Piezo1 was inhibited, the expression of phosphorylated-endothelial nitric oxide synthase serine1177 (P-eNOS^S1177) and release of calcium ions were reduced under 25% compared to 5%. These studies demonstrate that cyclic mechanical stimulation affects cardiac function-associated protein expressions, and Piezo1 plays a role in the protein regulation.

Recent studies have indicated that several anti-hypertensive drugs may delay the development and progression of Alzheimer’s disease (AD). However, the relationships among AD, hypertension, and oxidative stress remain to be elucidated. Here, we aimed to determine whether reactive oxygen species (ROS) reduction by resveratrol in the brain leads to cognitive impairment reduction in rats with angiotensin II (Ang-II)-induced early AD. Male Wistar Kyoto (WKY) rats with Ang-II-induced AD were treated with losartan or resveratrol for two weeks. Our results show decreased blood pressure, increased hippocampal brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF) level, and decreased nucleus tractus solitarius (NTS) ROS production in the Ang-II groups with losartan (10 mg/kg), or resveratrol (10 mg/kg/day) treatment. Furthermore, losartan inhibition of hippocampal Tau^T231 phosphorylation activated Akt^S473 phosphorylation, and significantly abolished Ang-II-induced Aβ precursors, active caspase 3, and glycogen synthase kinase 3β (GSK-3β)^Y216 expressions. Consistently, resveratrol showed similar effects compared to losartan. Both losartan and resveratrol restored hippocampal-dependent contextual memory by NADPH oxidase 2 (NOX2) deletion and superoxide dismutase 2 (SOD2) elevation. Our results suggest that both losartan and resveratrol exert neuroprotective effects against memory impairment and hippocampal damage by oxidative stress reduction in early stage AD rat model. These novel findings indicate that resveratrol may represent a pharmacological option similar to losartan for patients with hypertension at risk of AD during old age.

Hepatocarcinogenesis comprises of multiple, complex steps that occur after liver injury and usually involve several pathways, including telomere dysfunction, cell cycle, WNT/β-catenin signaling, oxidative stress and mitochondria dysfunction, autophagy, apoptosis, and AKT/mTOR signaling. Following liver injury, gene mutations, accumulation of oxidative stress, and local inflammation lead to cell proliferation, differentiation, apoptosis, and necrosis. The persistence of this vicious cycle in turn leads to further gene mutation and dysregulation of pro- and anti-inflammatory cytokines, such as interleukin (IL)-1β, IL-6, IL-10, IL-12, IL-13, IL-18, and transforming growth factor (TGF)-β, resulting in immune escape by means of the NF-κB and inflammasome signaling pathways. In this review, we summarize studies focusing on the roles of hepatocarcinogenesis and the immune system in liver cancer. In addition, we furnish an overview of recent basic and clinical studies to provide a strong foundation to develop novel anti-carcinogenesis targets for further treatment interventions.

Purpose: Cataracts are a major cause of visual acuity deterioration in diabetes mellitus (DM) in developed and developing countries. Studies have demonstrated that overproduction of AKR1B1 and receptor for advanced glycation end products (RAGE) plays a major role in the pathogenesis of diabetic cataracts, but it is unclear whether the prevalence of diabetic cataracts is related to epithelial–mesenchymal transition (EMT) in lens epithelial cells. This study aimed to analyze the role of EMT in cataract formation of DM patients. Methods: Immunofluorescence and immunohistochemistry assays were used to estimate AKR1B1, RAGE, AMPK, and EMT levels in epithelial human lens of DM or non-DM cataracts. Results: Immunohistochemical staining demonstrated that pathologic phases and N-cadherin expression levels were significantly higher in epithelial human lens of DM (+) compared to DM (−) cataracts. Immunofluorescent staining showed that AKR1B1 and RAGE were significantly higher in epithelial human lens of DM (+) compared to DM (−) cataracts. Interestingly, acetyl superoxide dismutase 2 (AcSOD2) levels were significantly higher in DM patients’ lens epithelial cells (LECs), whereas AMPKT172 phosphorylation was significantly increased in non-DM patients. This indicates that AMPKT172 might be related to superoxide reduction and diabetic cataract formation. Conclusions: Our results suggest that AKR1B1 overexpression can decrease AMPK activation, thereby increasing AcSOD2 and RAGE-induced EMT in epithelial human lens of DM cataracts. These novel findings suggest that AKR inhibitors may be candidates for the pharmacological prevention of cataracts in patients with DM.