Nattakron Seetha

Mr. Nattakron Seetha


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

1Year (2026-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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23 January 2026 in Forecasting
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
LPLersak Phothong
Lersak Phothong
ASAnupong Sukprasert
Anupong Sukprasert
SBSutana Boonlua
Sutana Boonlua
PCPrapaporn Chubsuwan
Prapaporn Chubsuwan
NSNattakron Seetha
Nattakron Seetha
RKRotcharin Kunsrison
Rotcharin Kunsrison
Accurate early-warning forecasting of corporate financial distress remains a critical challenge due to nonlinear financial relationships, severe data imbalance, and the high operational costs of false alarms in risk-monitoring systems. This study proposes an explainable voting ensemble framework for early-warning forecasting of corporate financial distress using lagged accounting-based financial information. The proposed framework integrates heterogeneous base learners, including Decision Tree, Neural Network, and k-Nearest Neighbors models, and is evaluated using financial statement data from 752 publicly listed firms in Thailand, comprising sixteen financial ratios across six dimensions: liquidity, operating efficiency, debt management, profitability, earnings quality, and solvency. To ensure robustness under imbalanced and rare-event conditions, the study employs feature selection, data normalization, stratified cross-validation, resampling techniques, and repeated validation procedures. Empirical results demonstrate that the proposed Voting Ensemble delivers a precision-oriented and decision-relevant forecasting profile, outperforming classical classifiers and maintaining greater early-warning reliability when benchmarked against advanced tree-based ensemble models. Probability-based evaluation further confirms the robustness and calibration stability of the proposed framework under repeated cross-validation. By adopting a forward-looking, early-warning perspective and integrating ensemble learning with explainable machine learning principles, this study offers a transparent and scalable approach to financial distress forecasting. The findings offer practical implications for auditors, investors, and regulators seeking reliable early-warning tools for corporate risk assessment, particularly in emerging market environments characterized by data imbalance and heightened uncertainty.