Matthieu Vernay

Mr. Matthieu Vernay


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

5Years (2022-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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13 April 2022 in Earth System Science Data
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
MVMatthieu Vernay
Matthieu Vernay
MLMatthieu Lafaysse
Matthieu Lafaysse
DMDiego Monteiro
Diego Monteiro
PHPascal Hagenmuller
Pascal Hagenmuller
RNRafife Nheili
Rafife Nheili
SMSamuel Morin
Samuel Morin
This work introduces the S2M (SAFRAN–SURFEX/ISBA–Crocus–MEPRA) meteorological and snow cover reanalysis in the French Alps, Pyrenees and Corsica, spanning the time period from 1958 to 2021. The simulations are made over elementary areas, referred to as massifs, designed to represent the main drivers of the spatial variability observed in mountain ranges (elevation, slope and aspect). The meteorological reanalysis is performed by the SAFRAN system, which combines information from numerical weather prediction models (ERA-40 reanalysis from 1958 to 2002, ARPEGE from 2002 to 2021) and the best possible set of available in situ meteorological observations. SAFRAN outputs are used to drive the Crocus detailed snow cover model, which is part of the land surface scheme SURFEX/ISBA. This model chain provides simulations of the evolution of the snow cover, underlying ground and the associated avalanche hazard using the MEPRA model. This contribution describes and discusses the main climatological characteristics (climatology, variability and trends) and the main limitations of this dataset. We provide a short overview of the scientific applications using this reanalysis in various scientific fields related to meteorological conditions and the snow cover in mountain areas. An evaluation of the skill of S2M is also displayed, in particular through comparison to 665 independent in situ snow depth observations. Further, we describe the technical handling of this open-access dataset, available at https://doi.org/10.25326/37#v2020.2. The S2M data are provided by Météo-France – CNRS, CNRM, Centre d'Études de la Neige, through AERIS (Vernay et al., 2022).

22 April 2025 in Atmospheric Measurement Techniques
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
MVMatthieu Vernay
Matthieu Vernay
MLMatthieu Lafaysse
Matthieu Lafaysse
CAClotilde Augros
Clotilde Augros
Reliable estimation of precipitation fields at high resolution is a key issue for snow cover modelling in mountainous areas, where the density of precipitation networks is far too low to capture the complex variability of these fields with topography. Adequate quantification of the remaining uncertainty in precipitation estimates is also necessary for further assimilation of complementary snow observations in snow models. Radar observations provide spatialised estimates of precipitation with high spatial and temporal resolution and are often combined with rain gauge observations to improve the accuracy of the estimate. However, radar measurements suffer from significant shortcomings in mountainous areas (in particular, unrealistic spatial patterns due to ground clutter, leading to local systematic biases). Precipitation fields simulated by high-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) models provide an alternative estimate but suffer from widespread systematic biases and positioning errors. Even though these uncertainties can be partially described by ensemble NWP systems and systematic errors can be reduced by statistical post-processing, NWP precipitation estimates are still not reliable enough for the requirements of high-resolution snow cover modelling. In this study, better precipitation estimates are obtained through a specific analysis based on a combination of all these available products. First, a pre-processing step is proposed to mitigate the main deficiencies of precipitation estimates by radar and gauges, focusing on reducing unrealistic spatial patterns. This method also provides a spatialised estimate of the associated error in mountainous areas, based on a climatological analysis of both radar and NWP-estimated precipitation. Three ensemble daily precipitation analysis methods are then proposed, first using only the modified precipitation estimates and associated errors, then combining them with ensemble NWP simulations based on the particle filter and ensemble Kalman filter data assimilation algorithms. The performance of the different precipitation analysis methods is evaluated at a local scale using independent ski-resort precipitation observations. The evaluation of the pre-processing step shows its ability to remove the main spatial artefacts coming from the radar measurements and to improve the precipitation estimates at the local scale. The local-scale evaluations of the ensemble analyses do not demonstrate an additional benefit of ensemble NWP forecasts, but their contrasted spatial patterns are challenging to evaluate with the available data.

29 January 2026 in Remote Sensing
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
FAFrancesc Polls i Agell
Francesc Polls i Agell
BBBrice Boudevillain
Brice Boudevillain
MUMireia Udina
Mireia Udina
FVFrancisco J. Ruiz Vegas
Francisco J. Ruiz Vegas
ABALBERT GARCIA BENADÍ
ALBERT GARCIA BENADÍ
JBJoan Bech
Joan Bech
Accurate classification of precipitation phase (liquid, mixed, or solid) is essential in high mountain environments, where rapid changes in elevation can lead to abrupt phase transitions over short distances, significantly affecting hydro-meteorological, ecological, and socio-economic activities. However, most existing classification schemes have not been evaluated over long periods using real observational data, but mainly through simulations. This study addresses this gap by introducing a new methodology based on X-band polarimetric radar and by validating it against real precipitation events over an extended time period. The machine learning model is trained and tested using a four-year dataset including X-band radar, Micro Rain Radar, disdrometer, and temperature profile data from the Grenoble region (French Alps). To improve the classification accuracy, three temperature profile sources were tested: lapse rates obtained from automatic weather stations, interpolation of the temperature profile from the freezing level detected by the Micro Rain Radar, and temperature profiles from the operational AROME model forecast. Three different phase classification schemes were tested: two existing schemes based on fuzzy-logic, and the new method based on random forest. Results show that the random forest method, trained with radar polarimetric variables, AROME temperature profiles, and target labels derived from Micro Rain Radar observations, achieves the highest accuracy. Despite the overall good classification results, limitations persist in identifying mixed-phase precipitation due to its transitional nature and vertical variability. Feature importance analysis indicates that temperature is the most influential variable in the classification scheme, followed by reflectivity factor measured in the horizontal plane (Ze) and differential reflectivity (Zdr). This methodology demonstrates the potential of combining machine learning techniques with multi-instrument observations to improve hydrometeor classification in complex terrain. The approach offers valuable insights for operational forecasting, water resource management, and climate impact assessments in mountainous regions.

2 April 2024 in EGUsphere
Verified
Preprint
Open access
PDF file
MVMatthieu Vernay
Matthieu Vernay
MLMatthieu Lafaysse
Matthieu Lafaysse
CAClotilde Augros
Clotilde Augros
Reliable estimation of precipitation fields at high resolution is a key issue for snow cover modelling in mountainous areas, where the density of precipitation networks is far too low to capture their complex variability with topography. Adequate quantification of the remaining uncertainty in precipitation estimates is also necessary for further assimilation of complementary snow observations in snow models. Radar observations provide spatialised estimates of precipitation with high spatial and temporal resolution, and are often combined with rain gauge observations to improve the accuracy of the estimate. However, radar measurements suffer from significant shortcomings in mountainous areas (in particular, unrealistic spatial patterns due to ground clutter). Precipitation fields simulated by high-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) models provide an alternative estimate, but suffer from systematic biases and positioning errors. Even though these uncertainties can be partially described by ensemble NWP systems and systematic errors can be reduced by statistical post-processing, NWP precipitation estimates are still not reliable enough for the requirements of high resolution snow cover modelling. In this study, better precipitation estimates are obtained through a specific analysis based on a combination of all these available products. First, a pre-processing step is proposed to mitigate the main deficiencies of radar and gauges precipitation estimation products, focusing on reducing unrealistic spatial patterns. This method also provides a spatialised estimate of the associated error in mountainous areas, based on a climatological analysis of both radar and NWP-estimated precipitation. Three ensemble daily precipitation analysis methods are then proposed, first using only the modified precipitation estimates and associated errors, then combining them with ensemble NWP simulations based on the Particle Filter and Ensemble Kalman Filter data assimilation algorithms. The performance of the different precipitation analysis methods is evaluated at a local scale using independent ski resort precipitation observations. The evaluation of the pre-processing step shows its ability to remove the main spatial artefacts coming from the radar measurements and to improve the precipitation estimates at the local scale. The local scale evaluations of the ensemble analyses do not demonstrate an additional benefit of ensemble NWP forecasts, but their contrasted spatial patterns are challenging to evaluate with the available data.

17 October 2024
Verified
Other
Open access
PDF file
MVMatthieu Vernay
Matthieu Vernay
MLMatthieu Lafaysse
Matthieu Lafaysse
CAClotilde Augros
Clotilde Augros
Reliable estimation of precipitation fields at high resolution is a key issue for snow cover modelling in mountainous areas, where the density of precipitation networks is far too low to capture their complex variability with topography. Adequate quantification of the remaining uncertainty in precipitation estimates is also necessary for further assimilation of complementary snow observations in snow models. Radar observations provide spatialised estimates of precipitation with high spatial and temporal resolution, and are often combined with rain gauge observations to improve the accuracy of the estimate. However, radar measurements suffer from significant shortcomings in mountainous areas (in particular, unrealistic spatial patterns due to ground clutter). Precipitation fields simulated by high-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) models provide an alternative estimate, but suffer from systematic biases and positioning errors. Even though these uncertainties can be partially described by ensemble NWP systems and systematic errors can be reduced by statistical post-processing, NWP precipitation estimates are still not reliable enough for the requirements of high resolution snow cover modelling. In this study, better precipitation estimates are obtained through a specific analysis based on a combination of all these available products. First, a pre-processing step is proposed to mitigate the main deficiencies of radar and gauges precipitation estimation products, focusing on reducing unrealistic spatial patterns. This method also provides a spatialised estimate of the associated error in mountainous areas, based on a climatological analysis of both radar and NWP-estimated precipitation. Three ensemble daily precipitation analysis methods are then proposed, first using only the modified precipitation estimates and associated errors, then combining them with ensemble NWP simulations based on the Particle Filter and Ensemble Kalman Filter data assimilation algorithms. The performance of the different precipitation analysis methods is evaluated at a local scale using independent ski resort precipitation observations. The evaluation of the pre-processing step shows its ability to remove the main spatial artefacts coming from the radar measurements and to improve the precipitation estimates at the local scale. The local scale evaluations of the ensemble analyses do not demonstrate an additional benefit of ensemble NWP forecasts, but their contrasted spatial patterns are challenging to evaluate with the available data.

13 May 2024
Verified
Other
Open access
PDF file
MVMatthieu Vernay
Matthieu Vernay
MLMatthieu Lafaysse
Matthieu Lafaysse
CAClotilde Augros
Clotilde Augros
Reliable estimation of precipitation fields at high resolution is a key issue for snow cover modelling in mountainous areas, where the density of precipitation networks is far too low to capture their complex variability with topography. Adequate quantification of the remaining uncertainty in precipitation estimates is also necessary for further assimilation of complementary snow observations in snow models. Radar observations provide spatialised estimates of precipitation with high spatial and temporal resolution, and are often combined with rain gauge observations to improve the accuracy of the estimate. However, radar measurements suffer from significant shortcomings in mountainous areas (in particular, unrealistic spatial patterns due to ground clutter). Precipitation fields simulated by high-resolution numerical weather prediction (NWP) models provide an alternative estimate, but suffer from systematic biases and positioning errors. Even though these uncertainties can be partially described by ensemble NWP systems and systematic errors can be reduced by statistical post-processing, NWP precipitation estimates are still not reliable enough for the requirements of high resolution snow cover modelling. In this study, better precipitation estimates are obtained through a specific analysis based on a combination of all these available products. First, a pre-processing step is proposed to mitigate the main deficiencies of radar and gauges precipitation estimation products, focusing on reducing unrealistic spatial patterns. This method also provides a spatialised estimate of the associated error in mountainous areas, based on a climatological analysis of both radar and NWP-estimated precipitation. Three ensemble daily precipitation analysis methods are then proposed, first using only the modified precipitation estimates and associated errors, then combining them with ensemble NWP simulations based on the Particle Filter and Ensemble Kalman Filter data assimilation algorithms. The performance of the different precipitation analysis methods is evaluated at a local scale using independent ski resort precipitation observations. The evaluation of the pre-processing step shows its ability to remove the main spatial artefacts coming from the radar measurements and to improve the precipitation estimates at the local scale. The local scale evaluations of the ensemble analyses do not demonstrate an additional benefit of ensemble NWP forecasts, but their contrasted spatial patterns are challenging to evaluate with the available data.