The rupture behavior of large‐scale thrust faults has become an increasingly important topic in active tectonic and seismic studies. This is especially true for the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake (Mw 7.9), which occurred along the Longmenshan thrust fault (LMS) in China. While this earthquake has been the subject of many studies to date, paleoseismic studies along the LMS are still lacking. In this study, results from trenching at the town of Bailu, as well as radiocarbon and Optical‐Stimulated Luminescence dating, are used to constrain the timing of the penultimate and earlier events, respectively: 3.3 ± 0.6 to 4.4 ± 0.6 ka and 4.8 ± 0.6 to 5.8 ± 0.8 ka. Further, coseismic displacement produced by the two events is similar to that produced by the 2008 event. The results suggest that fault segments along the Yingxiu‐Beichuan and Jiangyou‐Guanxian faults likely ruptured coseismically with similar offsets and that the northern segment of the LMS possesses independent rupture behavior. The magnitude of the penultimate seismic event was likely lower than that of the 2008 event, which indicates a characteristic slip‐rupture pattern along the LMS.
3 November 2022 in International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
In mainland China, approximately 86% of earthquakes have occurred in the block boundary zone, which has been well explained by active block theory. However, a few large earthquakes have occurred within the active block, which provides us with an opportunity to better study the deformation of the Tibetan Plateau. The Litang Fault (LTF) is a strike-slip fault within the Sichuan-Yunnan Active Block and produced the 1948 Litang M7.3 earthquake. We presented the Holocene rupture behavior of the LTF based on detailed field investigations, paleoearthquake trenching, and radiocarbon dating. Specifically, we revealed 13 Holocene paleoearthquake events at four trenching sites and divided these events into 3 rupture cycles at the whole-fault scale. The seismic rupture behavior of the LTF is characterized by recurrent southeastward migration, and since the Holocene, the period of each rupture cycle has decreased rapidly from 8000 years to 500 years. Our results may provide geologic evidence for understanding the intrablock stress patterns and material transfer of the southeastern region of the Tibetan Plateau. The rapidly enhanced fault activity of the LTF since the late Holocene indicates that the LTF may have played an important role in accommodating the deformation of the southeastern region of the Tibetan Plateau.
The northeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau (NE Tibetan Plateau) exhibits active geological structures and has experienced multiple strong earthquakes, with M ≥ 7, throughout history. Particularly noteworthy is the 1920 M81/2 earthquake in the Haiyuan region that occurred a century ago and is documented as one of the deadliest earthquakes. Consequently, analyzing seismic risks in the northeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau holds significant importance. The b value, a crucial parameter for seismic activity, plays a pivotal role in seismic hazard analyses. This study calculates the spatial b values in this region based on earthquake catalogs since 1970. The study area encompasses several major active faults, and due to variations in b values across different fault types, traditional grid-search methods may introduce significant errors in calculating the spatial b value within complex fault systems. To address this, we employed the hierarchical space–time point–process (HIST-PPM) method proposed by Ogata. This method avoids partitioning earthquake samples, optimizes parameters using Akaike’s Bayesian Information Criterion (ABIC) with entropy maximization, and theoretically allows for a higher spatial resolution and more accurate b value calculations. The results indicate a high spatial heterogeneity in b values within the study area. The northwestern and southeastern regions exhibit higher b values. Along the Haiyuan fault zone, the central rupture zone of the Haiyuan earthquake has relatively higher b values than other regions of this fault zone, which is possibly related to the sufficient release of stress during the main rupture of the Haiyuan earthquake. The b values vary from high in the west to low in the east along the Zhongwei fault. On the West Qinling fault zone, the epicenter of the recent Minxian–Zhangxian earthquake is associated with a low b value. In general, regions with low b values correspond well to areas with moderate–strong seismic events in the past 50 years. The spatial differences in b values may reflect variances in seismic hazards among fault zones and regions within the same fault zone.
According to historical earthquake records, the Luhuo segment of the Xianshuihe fault has produced two large earthquakes: the 1816 M7.5 earthquake and the 1973 M7.6 earthquake. The surface ruptures caused by these events remain well preserved. This study focused on the rupture behavior of the Luhuo segment. Based on field investigations, trench excavations and analysis of historical earthquakes, we identified six seismic events that occurred within the past 3000 years, which are dated at 769 BC, 318–545 AD, 677–833 AD, 1008–1444 AD, 1816 AD and 1973 AD. The recurrence intervals of these events, from oldest to youngest, are approximately 1200, 324, 471, 590 and 157 years. Thus, the recurrence behavior of the fault segment appears inconsistent with time- or slip-predictable models, whereas, the revealed seismic sequence appears consistent with clustering and abnormal accelerating stress release behavior. The fault strike-slip rate during the period of anomalous stress release is approximately 2–3 times faster than the average rate of 8.4 mm/a. Moreover, the Luhuo segment has experienced ongoing high levels of seismic activity over the past 3000 years, and the entire Xianshuihe fault currently shows a high degree of seismic activity. Therefore, we suggest there was a long period of earthquake quiescence prior to 3000 years ago, which might have balanced the high activity and accelerating stress release of current earthquakes.