Coastal evolutions are expected to have a significant impact on storm tides, disproportionately aggravating coastal flooding. In this study, we utilize a nested storm tide model to provide an integrated investigation of storm tide responses to changes in coastline and bathymetry along the Zhejiang coasts. We selected coastline and bathymetry data from 1980 and 2016, as well as data from three typical typhoon events (i.e., Winnie, Haikui, and Chan-hom) for simulating the storm surge processes. The results indicate that changes in the coastline and bathymetry from 1980 to 2016 have resulted in an increase in storm tides in the northern part and a decrease in the central part of Zhejiang. Specifically, storm tides in Hangzhou Bay have increased significantly, with an average increase of about 0.3 m in the maximum storm tides primarily attributed to coastline changes. On the contrary, in smaller basins like Sanmen Bay, while reclamation itself has reduced peak storm surges, rapid siltation has consequently exacerbated the storm surge. By decomposing storm tides into astronomical tides and storm surges, we discovered that the change in tidal levels was twice as significant as the surge change. Moreover, the nonlinear tide–surge interaction was nearly four times that of the pure surge, significantly contributing to storm surge variation. Alterations in the momentum balance reveal that the water depth-induced bottom friction and wind stress increase contributes to the local enlargement of storm tides at the bay head, while the coastline changes exaggerate nearshore storm tides through an increase in the advection term.

Sea level rise (SLR) due to climate change is expected to alter tidal processes and energy transport, disproportionately affecting coastal communities. Utilizing a nested hydrodynamics model, we provided an integrated investigation of tidal responses to SLR in the Hangzhou Bay (HZB). The scenarios of SLR in the next hundred years count for both non-uniform trends based on historical altimetry data and uniform trends from the latest IPCC projections. In a comparison of model results under different SLR scenarios, we found that the tidal range is amplified by SLR in HZB with stronger amplification at the shallow southern coast. Tidal range change generally increases with the SLR scale; however, neglecting the heterogeneities in the spatial distribution of SLR tends to overestimate the SLR effects. The harmonic analysis illustrates that SLR exaggerates the dominated semidiurnal tides (M₂ and S₂) but dampens their overtides and compound tides (M₄, M₆, and MS₄), of which M₂ amplitude amplification explains 71.2–90.0% of tidal range change. SLR tends to promote tidal energy entering HZB through the Zhoushan Archipelago (ZA) compared to the prototype, while dampened sea-bed roughness and reduced tidal velocity come with a less dissipative environment in HZB, resulting in 6–18% more tidal energy exported upstream. Numerical experiments indicate ZA has significant effects on tidal responses and energy flux generation, therefore, its quantitative influences and physical mechanism are also discussed in this paper.

Coastal reclamation reshapes tidal hydrodynamics in semi-enclosed bays by removing intertidal storage, modifying channel conveyance, and redistributing tidal exchange among connected sub-regions. This study quantifies the multi-decadal cumulative impacts of reclamation on tidal currents and tidal prism in Yueqing Bay, China, using shoreline and bathymetric reconstructions for 1978, 2002, 2013, and 2020; hydrological observations; and a two-dimensional MIKE21 FM tidal hydrodynamic model. Characteristic cross-sections were used to estimate bay-wide and sub-regional tidal prisms, and representative stations were used to diagnose current-speed responses. The bay-wide tidal prism decreased from 15.235 × 10⁸ m³ in 1978 to 12.316 × 10⁸ m³ in 2020, corresponding to a reduction of 2.919 × 10⁸ m³ (19.16%). The strongest loss occurred during 1978–2002, when large-scale reclamation and closure of the Xuanmen Channel removed tidal storage and redirected flow into the remaining main-channel system. Although reclamation intensity weakened after 2013, mean current speed still changed by −0.050 to 0.033 m/s and sub-regional tidal-prism shares continued to adjust, indicating delayed hydrodynamic reorganization rather than immediate stabilization. These results show that reclamation impacts cannot be explained by reclaimed area alone; they depend on project timing, spatial layout, and the connectivity with key tidal pathways. The findings support staged assessment and pathway-sensitive shoreline management in reclaimed semi-enclosed bays.